Trading behavior and excess volatility in toy markets
Statistical Mechanics
2008-12-02 v2 Disordered Systems and Neural Networks
Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
Trading and Market Microstructure
Abstract
We study the relation between the trading behavior of agents and volatility in toy markets of adaptive inductively rational agents. We show that excess volatility, in such simplified markets, arises as a consequence of {\em i)} the neglect of market impact implicit in price taking behavior and of {\em ii)} excessive reactivity of agents. These issues are dealt with in detail in the simple case without public information. We also derive, for the general case, the critical learning rate above which trading behavior leads to turbulent dynamics of the market.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.cond-mat/0004376,
title = {Trading behavior and excess volatility in toy markets},
author = {M. Marsili and D. Challet},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:cond-mat/0004376},
year = {2008}
}
Comments
14 pages, 4 figures, minor changes