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Quantitative estimates of the contributions of the anthropogenic forcing, characterized by changes in the radiative forcing of atmospheric greenhouse gases (CO2, in particular), and solar activity variations to the trends of the global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-11 Igor I. Mokhov , Dmitry A. Smirnov

In this paper we derive a new formula for the global temperature change and major feedback portions in the climate response. In our earlier paper we calculated from the experimental values the sensitivity about ${\rm 0.058~K/(W/m^2)}$. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-01-01 Jyrki Kauppinen , Pekka Malmi

Earth's energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere is a key climate system metric, but its natural variability is poorly constrained by the short observational record and large uncertainty in coupled climate models. While existing ocean…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Dominik Stiller , Gregory J. Hakim

As photovoltaic power is expanding rapidly worldwide, it is imperative to assess its promise under future climate scenarios. While a great deal of research has been devoted to trends of mean solar radiation, less attention has been paid to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-13 Jun Yin , Annalisa Molini , Amilcare Porporato

When evaluating the effect of CO2 changes on the earth's climate, it is widely assumed that instantaneous radiative forcing from a doubling of a given CO2 concentration (IRF2xCO2) is constant and that variances in climate sensitivity arise…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-25 Haozhe He , Ryan J. Kramer , Brian J. Soden , Nadir Jeevanjee

We examine the results linking cosmic ray flux (CRF) variations to global climate change. We then proceed to study various periods over which there are estimates for the radiative forcing, temperature change and CRF variations relative to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Nir J. Shaviv

A recent study has suggested a link between the surface level diurnal temperature range (DTR) and variations in the cosmic ray (CR) flux. As the DTR is an effective proxy for cloud cover, this result supports the notion that widespread…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-12-14 Benjamin A. Laken , Jasa Čalogović , Tariq Shahbaz , Enric Pallé

Improving observations of ocean heat content show that Earth is absorbing more energy from the sun than it is radiating to space as heat, even during the recent solar minimum. The inferred planetary energy imbalance, 0.59 \pm 0.15 W/m2…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-09-12 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Pushker Kharecha , Karina von Schuckmann

Variation in total solar irradiance is thought to have little effect on the Earth's surface temperature because of the thermal time constant--the characteristic response time of the Earth's global surface temperature to changes in forcing.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-04 Gerald E. Marsh

Orbital forcing plays a key role in pacing the glacial-interglacial cycles. However, the mechanistic linkages between the orbital parameters - eccentricity, obliquity, and precession - and global ice volume remain unclear. Here, we…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-12-05 Liam Wheen , Oscar Benjamin , Thomas Gernon , Cameron Hall , Jerry Wright

System identification method (SIM) was used to evaluate the Earth equilibrium climate sensitivity. According to our simulations, the equilibrium climate sensitivity was found to be between 2 deg C and 7 deg C. Analysis of the changes in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-16 Alexei V Karnaukhov , Sergei F Lyuksyutov , Artem V Aliakin , Mikhail E Prokhorov , Sergei I Blinnikov

We argue that earth's short-term temperature anomalies and the solar flare intermittency are linked. The analysis is based upon the study of the scaling of both the spreading and the entropy of the diffusion generated by the fluctuations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Nicola Scafetta , Bruce J. West

The climate change attribution problem is addressed using empirical decomposition. Cycles in solar motion and activity of 60 and 20 years were used to develop an empirical model of Earth temperature variations. The model was fit to the…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-06-27 Craig Loehle , Nicola Scafetta

The lack of long and reliable time series of solar spectral irradiance (SSI) measurements makes an accurate quantification of solar contributions to recent climate change difficult. Whereas earlier SSI observations and models provided a…

Recently published, precise stellar photometry of 72 Sun-like stars obtained at the Fairborn Observatory between 1993 and 2017 is used to set limits on the solar forcing of Earth's atmosphere of $\pm$ 4.5 W m$^{-2}$ since 1750. This…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-18 P. G. Judge , R. Egeland , G. W. Henry

Several complicated non-linear models exist which simulate the physical processes leading to fluctuations in global climate. Some of these more advanced models use observations to constrain various parameters involved. However, they tend to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-27 Rajashik Tarafder , Dibyendu Nandy

The variability in the magnetic activity of the Sun is the main source of the observed changes in the plasma and electromagnetic environments within the heliosphere. The primary way in which solar activity affects the Earth's environment is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-27 Raffaele Reda , Mirko Stumpo , Luca Giovannelli , Tommaso Alberti , Giuseppe Consolini

A linearized energy-balance model for global temperature is formulated, featuring a scale-free long-range memory (LRM) response and stochastic forcing representing the influence on the ocean heat reservoir from atmospheric weather systems.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-16 Martin Rypdal , Kristoffer Rypdal

The inherent stochastic and nonlinear nature of the solar dynamo makes the strength of the solar cycles vary in a wide range, making it difficult to predict the strength of an upcoming solar cycle. Recently, our work has shown that by using…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-25 Akash Biswas

Oceanic atmospheric oscillations and climate variability are tightly linked and both exhibit broad band spectral content that ranges, with roughly equal strength, from annual to centennial periodicity. The explanation for variability based…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-23 Ian R. Edmonds