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The variation with time from 1956-2002 of the globally averaged rate of ionization produced by cosmic rays in the atmosphere is deduced and shown to have a cyclic component of period roughly twice the 11 year solar cycle period. Long term…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. D. Erlykin , T. Sloan , A. W. Wolfendale

Model simulations of solar irradiance reaching the Earth's surface during a solar eclipse constitute a useful tool for studying the impact of this phenomenon on the radiance propagation through the atmosphere. A simple approach to extend…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-10-11 Boyan Petkov , Claudio Tomasi , Vito Vitale , Christian Lanconelli , Mauro Mazzola

Climate sensitivity is defined as the change in global mean equilibrium temperature after a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration and provides a simple measure of global warming. An early estimate of climate sensitivity, 1.5-4.5{\deg}C,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-04-24 Tamsin L. Edwards , Michel Crucifix , Sandy P. Harrison

Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell

Evaluating the magnitude of natural climate variations is important because it can greatly affect future climate policies. As an example, we examine the influence of changes in solar activity (solar wind in particular) on surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-07-12 Kiminori Itoh , Shinya Matsuo , Hiroshi Serizawa , Kazuyoshi Yamashita , Takashi Amemiya

Venus and Earth are similar in bulk properties yet followed dramatically different climatic trajectories. Reconstructing Venus's climate evolution requires understanding how rotation, obliquity, eccentricity, and solar luminosity shaped…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-13 Stephen R. Kane

Earth's climate can be understood as a dynamical system that changes due to external forcing and internal couplings. Essential climate variables, such as surface air temperature, describe this dynamics. Our current interglacial, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-24 Beatrice Ellerhoff , Kira Rehfeld

Starting from a classical Budyko-Sellers-Ghil energy balance model for the average surface temperature of the Earth, a nonautonomous version is designed by allowing the solar irradiance and the cloud cover coefficients to vary with time in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Iacopo P. Longo , Rafael Obaya , Ana M. Sanz

One of the important open questions in solar irradiance studies is whether long-term variability (i.e. on timescales of years and beyond) can be reconstructed by means of models that describe short-term variability (i.e. days) using solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-14 T. Dudok de Wit , G. Kopp , A. Shapiro , V. Witzke , M. Kretzschmar

The total and spectral irradiance varies over short time scales, i.e. from days to months, and longer time scales from years to decades, centuries, and beyond. In this talk we review the current understanding of irradiance changes from days…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-01-29 M. Haberreiter

Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is a key predictor of climate change. However, it is not very well constrained, either by climate models or by observational data. The reasons for this include strong internal variability and forcing on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-03-16 Anna S. von der Heydt , Peter Ashwin

Solar wind ion reflection at collisionless shocks regulates foreshock plasma dynamics, yet the quantitative dependence of reflected ion properties on upstream and shock-related parameters remains unclear, causing difficulties in predicting…

Space Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Runyi Liu , Terry Liu , Kun Zhang , Vassilis Angelopoulos , Siqi Zhao

It is shown that global climate exhibits chaotic response to solar forcing variability in a vast range of timescales: from annual to multi-millennium. Unlike linear systems, where periodic forcing leads to periodic response, nonlinear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-01-05 A. Bershadskii

Understanding the global rotational profile of the solar atmosphere and its variation is fundamental to uncovering a comprehensive understanding of the dynamics of the solar magnetic field and the extent of coupling between different layers…

We analyze solar, geomagnetic and cosmic ray flux data along with rainfall and temperature data for almost five solar cycles. We provide evidence of significant influence of solar variability on climate. Specifically, we demonstrate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-12-03 Badruddin , O. P. M. Aslam , M. Singh

The state of earth's climate is constrained by well-known physical principles such as energy balance and the conservation of energy. Increased greenhouse gas concentrations affect the atmospheric optical depth, and physical consistency…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-06-27 Rasmus E. Benestad

As the 21st century progresses, photovoltaic technology is becoming a major provider of the worlds electricity, while effects of global climate change unfold. This development begs the question: is climate change affecting the energy…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-20 Ian Marius Peters , Tonio Buonassisi

The Sun is the primary source of energy for Earth and one of the main external drivers of its climate. Solar irradiance -- the radiative power emitted by the Sun and received at 1-AU -- varies on all observable timescales. It is measured as…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-22 D. Temaj , N. A. Krivova , T. Chatzistergos , S. K. Solanki , B. Hofer

The two main drivers of climate change on sub-Milankovic time scales are re-assessed by means of a multiple regression analysis. Evaluating linear combinations of the logarithm of carbon dioxide concentration and the geomagnetic aa-index as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-14 Frank Stefani

The correlation between solar irradiance and the 11-year solar activity cycle is evident in the body of measurements made from space, which extend over the past four decades. Models relating variation in solar irradiance to photospheric…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-07 K. L. Yeo , N. A. Krivova , S. K. Solanki