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We directly determine the sensitivity and time delay of Earth's surface temperature response to annual solar irradiance variations from 60 years of data. A two-layer energy balance model is developed to interpret the results. Explaining…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 David H. Douglass , Eric G. Blackman , Robert S. Knox

Severity of warming predicted by climate models depends on their Transient Climate Response (TCR). Inter-model spread of TCR has persisted at ~100% of its mean for decades. Existing observational constraints of TCR are based on observed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-25 King-Fai Li , Ka-Kit Tung

We use the technique of wavelet analysis to quantitatively investigate the role of solar variability in forcing terrestrial climate change on solar cycle timescales (roughly 11 years). We examine the connection between mean annual solar…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew J. Lewis , Katherine Freese

The variable Sun is the most likely candidate for natural forcing of past climate change on time scales of 50 to 1000 years. Evidence for this understanding is that the terrestrial climate correlates positively with solar activity. During…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 A. I. Shapiro , W. Schmutz , E. Rozanov , M. Schoell , M. Haberreiter , A. V. Shapiro , S. Nyeki

The attribution of part of global warming to changes in the total solar irradiance (TSI) is an important topic which is not, yet, fully understood. Here, we examine the TSI induced temperature (T) changes on a variety of time scales, from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Anatoly Erlykin , Arnold Wolfendale

Cenozoic temperature, sea level and CO2 co-variations provide insights into climate sensitivity to external forcings and sea level sensitivity to climate change. Climate sensitivity depends on the initial climate state, but potentially can…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-03-05 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Gary Russell , Pushker Kharecha

We determine the volcano climate sensitivity and response time for the Mount Pinatubo eruption. This is achieved using observational measurements of the temperature anomalies of the lower troposphere and the aerosol optical density (AOD) in…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-26 David H. Douglass , Robert S. Knox

Studies on Sun-climate connection have been carried out for several decades, and almost all of them focused on the effects of solar total irradiation energy. As the second major terrestrial energy source from outer space, the solar wind…

Space Physics · Physics 2017-09-19 Hui Li , Chi Wang , Shengping He , Huijun Wang , Cui Tu , Jiyao Xu , Fei Li , Xiaocheng Guo

A climate response function is introduced that consists of six exponential (low-pass) filters with weights depending as a power law on their e-folding times. The response of this two-parameter function to the combined forcings of solar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-10-24 J. H. van Hateren

Atmospheric ozone plays an important role on the temperature structure of the atmosphere. However, it has not been included in previous studies on the effect of an increasing solar radiation on the Earth's climate. Here we study the climate…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-11 Illeana Gomez-Leal , Lisa Kaltenegger , Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit

The Sun is the main energy source to Earth, and understanding its variability is of direct relevance to climate studies. Measurements of total solar irradiance exist since 1978, but this is too short compared to climate-relevant time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-17 Theodosios Chatzistergos , Natalie A. Krivova , Kok Leng Yeo

Recent precise observations of solar global parameters are used to calibrate an upgraded solar model which takes into account magnetic fields in the solar interior. Historical data about sunspot numbers (from 1500 to the present) and solar…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Sabatino Sofia , Linghuai H. Li

The long-term temperature response to a given change in CO2 forcing, or Earth-system sensitivity (ESS), is a key parameter quantifying our understanding about the relationship between changes in Earth's radiative forcing and the resulting…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-03-02 Tony E. Wong , Ying Cui , Dana L. Royer , Klaus Keller

Solar irradiance is considered one of the main natural factors affecting terrestrial climate, and its variations are included in most numerical models estimating the effects of natural versus anthropogenic factors for climate change. Solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-25 Katya Georgieva , Yury Nagovitsyn , Boian Kirov

The solar contribution to global mean air surface temperature change is analyzed by using an empirical bi-scale climate model characterized by both fast and slow characteristic time responses to solar forcing: $\tau_1 =0.4 \pm 0.1$ yr, and…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Nicola Scafetta

The inter-relation of clouds, solar irradiance and surface temperature is complex and subject to different interpretations. Here, we continue our recent work, which related mainly to the period from 1960 to the present, back to 1900 with…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-03-16 A. D. Erlykin , T. Sloan , A. W. Wolfendale

The energy balance for an atmospheric layer near the soil is evaluated. By integrating it over the whole day period a linear relationship between the global daily solar radiation incident on a horizontal surface and the product of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-01-31 Antonio Dumas , Andrea Andrisani , Maurizio Bonnici , Mauro Madonia , Michele Trancossi

The annual temperature cycle of the earth closely follows the annual cycle of solar flux. At temperate latitudes, both driving and response cycles are well described by a strong annual sinusoidal component and a non-vanishing semiannual…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-13 Yunxiang Song , Kyle B. Lawlor , Thomas A. Witten

In this last Paper III additional evidences that the solar high energetic particles radiation with energies higher as 100 MeV (the solar cosmic rays SCR) is an very important component for the "Sun- climate" relationship are given (see also…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2010-07-14 Boris Komitov

The Sun has long been considered a constant star, to the extent that its total irradiance was termed the solar constant. It required radiometers in space to detect the small variations in solar irradiance on timescales of the solar rotation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Sami K. Solanki , Yvonne C. Unruh
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