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Interpretation of empirical results based on a taxa's lifetime distribution shows apparently conflicting results. Species' lifetime is reported to be exponentially distributed, whereas higher order taxa, such as families or genera, follow a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 S. Pigolotti , A. Flammini , M. Marsili , A. Maritan

In a family of random variables, Taylor's law or Taylor's power law offluctuation scaling is a variance function that gives the variance $\sigma^{2}>0$ of a random variable (rv) $X$ with expectation $\mu >0$ as a powerof $\mu$: $\sigma…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Joel E. Cohen , Thierry E Huillet

This note presents an operational measure of fat-tailedness for univariate probability distributions, in $[0,1]$ where 0 is maximally thin-tailed (Gaussian) and 1 is maximally fat-tailed. Among others,1) it helps assess the sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The daily volume of transaction on the New York Stock Exchange and its day-to-day fluctuations are analysed with respect to power-law tails as well long-term trends. We also model the transition to a Gaussian distribution for longer time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Caglar Tuncay , Dietrich Stauffer

We consider the tail distribution of the edge cover time of a specific non-Markov process, $\delta$ once-reinforced random walk, on finite connected graphs, whose transition probability is proportional to weights of edges. Here the weights…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Xiangyu Huang , Yong Liu , Kainan Xiang

The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Pavlina Jordanova

Many man-made and natural phenomena, including the intensity of earthquakes, population of cities and size of international wars, are believed to follow power-law distributions. The accurate identification of power-law patterns has…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-04-15 Yogesh Virkar , Aaron Clauset

Power law or generalized polynomial regressions with unknown real-valued exponents and coefficients, and weakly dependent errors, are considered for observations over time, space or space--time. Consistency and asymptotic normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-14 Peter M. Robinson

We propose a mean functional which exists for any probability distributions, and which characterizes the Pareto distribution within the set of distributions with finite left endpoint. This is in sharp contrast to the mean excess plot which…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Bernhard Klar

Effects of randomness on non-integer power law tails in multiplicatively interacting stochastic processes are investigated theoretically. Generally, randomness causes decrease of the exponent of tails and the growth rate of processes.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Toshiya Ohtsuki , Akihiro Fujihara , Hiroshi Yamamoto

Statistical distributions with heavy tails are ubiquitous in natural and social phenomena. Since the entries in heavy tail have disproportional significance, the knowledge of its exact shape is very important. Citations of scientific papers…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Michael Golosovsky , Sorin Solomon

Starting from the model of continuous time random walk, we focus our interest on random walks in which the probability distributions of the waiting times and jumps have fat tails characterized by power laws with exponent between 0 and 1 for…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 Rudolf Gorenflo , Entsar A. A. Abdel-Rehim

Power-law distributions with various exponents are studied. We first introduce a simple and generic model that reproduces Zipf's law. We can regard this model both as the time evolution of the population of cities and that of the asset…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kenji Kawamura , Naomichi Hatano

Power law scaling is observed in many physical, biological and socio-economical complex systems and is now considered as an important property of these systems. In general, power law exists in the central part of the distribution. It has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Hari M. Gupta , Jose R. Campanha , Sidney J. Schinaider

We develop a novel fixed-k tail regression method that accommodates the unique feature in the Forbes 400 data that observations are truncated from below at the 400th largest order statistic. Applying this method, we find that higher maximum…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-15 Ji Hyung Lee , Yuya Sasaki , Alexis Akira Toda , Yulong Wang

We analyze the cumulative distribution of total personal income of USA counties, and gross domestic product of Brazilian, German and United Kingdom counties, and also of world countries. We verify that generalized exponential distributions,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Ernesto P. Borges

We show that size-rank distributions with power-law decay (often only over a limited extent) observed in a vast number of instances in a widespread family of systems obey Tsallis statistics. The theoretical framework for these distributions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-29 G. Cigdem Yalcin , Alberto Robledo , Murray Gell-Mann

The quantitative analysis of financial time series often reveals two distinct features that standard Gaussian frameworks fail to capture: heavy-tailed marginal distributions and the phenomenon of extreme co-movements.While extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Debanjana Datta , Diganta Mukherjee

We investigate the probability distribution of order imbalance calculated from the order flow data of 43 Chinese stocks traded on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. Two definitions of order imbalance are considered based on the order number and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-19 T. Zhang , G. -F. Gu , H. -C. Xu , X. Xiong , W. Chen , W. -X. Zhou

This paper introduces a flexible framework for the estimation of the conditional tail index of heavy tailed distributions. In this framework, the tail index is computed from an auxiliary linear regression model that facilitates estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-23 João Nicolau , Paulo M. M. Rodrigues
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