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Distributions derived from non-extensive Tsallis statistics are closely connected with dynamics described by a nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation. The combination shows promise in describing stochastic processes with power-law distributions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fredrick Michael , M. D. Johnson

We report empirical studies on the personal income distribution, and clarify that the distribution pattern of the lognormal with power law tail is the universal structure. We analyze the temporal change of Pareto index and Gibrat index to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Wataru Souma

In this paper we discuss the problem of the estimation of extreme event occurrence probability for data drawn from some multifractal process. We also study the heavy (power-law) tail behavior of probability density function associated with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jean-Francois Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry , Alexey Kozhemyak

For a fixed positive integer $\;k,\;$ limit laws of linearly normalized $\;k$-th upper order statistics are well known. In this article, a comprehensive study of tail behaviours of limit laws of normalized $k$-th upper order statistics…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-11 Sreenivasan Ravi , Mandagere Chandrashekhar Manohar

The power law distribution is usually used to fit data in the upper tail of the distribution. However, commonly it is not valid to model data in all the range. In this paper, we present a new family of distributions, the so-called…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-09-21 Faustino Prieto , José María Sarabia

The total number of fatalities of an epidemic outbreak is a dramatic but extremely informative quantity. Knowledge of the statistics of this quantity allows the calculation of the mean total number of fatalities conditioned to the fact that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-06 Alvaro Corral

Taylors Law (TL) describes the scaling relationship between the mean and variance of populations as a power-law. TL is widely observed in ecological systems across space and time with exponents varying largely between 1 and 2. Many…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-24 Xiao Xiao , Kenneth J. Locey , Ethan P. White

Systems described by equations involving both multiplicative and additive noise are common in nature. Examples include convection of a passive scalar field, polymersin turbulent flow, and noise in dye lasers. In this paper the one component…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 J. M. Deutsch

Power-law tail behavior and the summation scheme of Levy-stable distributions is the basis for their frequent use as models when fat tails above a Gaussian distribution are observed. However, recent studies suggest that financial asset…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-12-21 Rafal Weron

Investigations of inverse statistics (a concept borrowed from turbulence) in stock markets, exemplified with filtered Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and NASDAQ, have uncovered a novel stylized fact that the distribution of exit time…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Wei-Xing Zhou , Wei-Kang Yuan

Following findings by Ormerod and Mounfield, Wright rises the problem whether a power or an exponential law describes the distribution of occurrences of economic recession periods. In order to clarify the controversy a different set of GDP…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Marcel Ausloos , Janusz Miskiewicz , Michele Sanglier

We study decades-long historic distributions of accumulated S\&P500 returns, from daily returns to those over several weeks. The time series of the returns emphasize major upheavals in the markets -- Black Monday, Tech Bubble, Financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-30 Hamed Farahani , R. A. Serota

Explaining empirically observed wealth and income distributions, featuring power-law tails alongside gamma or log-normal bulk shapes, challenges models that focus on either pairwise competition or individual investment mechanisms. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-19 Yuri Ono , Atsushi Ishida

Two separate statistical tests are described and developed in order to test un-binned data sets for adherence to the power-law form. The first test employs the TP-statistic, a function defined to deviate from zero when the sample deviates…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-10-22 J. D. Hague , B. R. Becker , M. S. Gold , J. A. J. Matthews , J. Urbář

Distributions following a power-law are an ubiquitous phenomenon. Methods for determining the exponent of a power-law tail by graphical means are often used in practice but are intrinsically unreliable. Maximum likelihood estimators for the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-08-11 Heiko Bauke

This paper offers a two-pronged critique of the empirical investigation of the income distribution performed by physicists over the past decade. Their finding rely on the graphical analysis of the observed distribution of normalized…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-04-18 Markus P. A. Schneider

The size distribution of planned and forced outages and following restoration times in power systems have been studied for almost two decades and has drawn great interest as they display heavy tails. Understanding of this phenomenon has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-09 Bálint Hartmann , Shengfeng Deng , Géza Ódor , Jeffrey Kelling

The use of objective prior in Bayesian applications has become a common practice to analyze data without subjective information. Formal rules usually obtain these priors distributions, and the data provide the dominant information in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Eduardo Ramos , Dipak K. Dey , Francisco Louzada

Power laws have been found to describe a wide variety of natural (physical, biological, astronomic, meteorological, geological) and man-made (social, financial, computational) phenomena over a wide range of magnitudes, although their…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Sam Ma

One of the first steps to understand and forecast economic downturns is identifying their frequency distribution, but it remains uncertain. This problem is common in phenomena displaying power-law-like distributions. Power laws play a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-10-10 Salvador Pueyo