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The exact mechanisms leading to an earthquake are not fully understood and the space-time structural features are non-trivial. Previous studies suggest the seismicity of very low intensity earthquakes, known as micro-earthquakes, may…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-12 Arash Andalib , Raheleh Baharloo , Jose C. Principe

Megathrusts host Earth's largest earthquakes. Understanding the physical conditions controlling their rupture dynamics is critical for assessing seismic and tsunami hazards. These earthquakes often display complex rupture dynamics,…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-12 Jeremy Wing Ching Wong , Alice-Agnes Gabriel , Wenyuan Fan

Planning based on long and short term time series forecasts is a common practice across many industries. In this context, temporal aggregation and reconciliation techniques have been useful in improving forecasts, reducing model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Himanshi Charotia , Abhishek Garg , Gaurav Dhama , Naman Maheshwari

Seismicity catalogs are larger than ever due to an explosion of techniques for enhanced earthquake detection and an abundance of high-quality datasets. Bayesian inference is an appealing framework for locating earthquakes due to its ability…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-02 Zachary E. Ross , John D. Wilding , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli , Aitaro Kato

We review previous approaches to nowcasting earthquakes and introduce new approaches based on deep learning using three distinct models based on recurrent neural networks and transformers. We discuss different choices for observables and…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-01-07 Geoffrey Fox , John Rundle , Andrea Donnellan , Bo Feng

The hypocentral depth is a key requirement in seismology and earthquake engineering, but it is very difficult to be determined. The current accepted improvement is taking advantage of the depth phases, such as the pP, to constrain this…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-08-23 Rong Qiang Wei

Previous papers have outlined nowcasting methods to track the current state of earthquake hazard using only observed seismic catalogs. The basis for one of these methods, the "counting method", is the Gutenberg-Richter (GR)…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-10-20 John B Rundle , Ian Baughman , Andrea Donnellan , Lisa Grant , Geoffrey Fox

Accurate P-wave detection is critical for earthquake early warning, yet strong-motion records pose challenges due to high noise levels, limited labeled data, and complex waveform characteristics. This study reframes P-wave arrival detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Turkan Simge Ispak , Salih Tileylioglu , Erdem Akagunduz

Recent observations show that certain rupture phase can propagate backward relative to the earlier one during a single earthquake event. Such back-propagating rupture (BPR) was not well considered by the conventional earthquake source…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-29 Xiaotian Ding , Shiqing Xu , Eiichi Fukuyama , Futoshi Yamashita

Relative relocation methods are commonly used to precisely relocate earthquake clusters consisting of similar waveforms. Repeating waveforms are often recorded at volcanoes, where, however, the crust structure is expected to contain strong…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-11-03 Giulia Sgattoni , Ólafur Guðmundsson , Páll Einarsson , Federico Lucchi

The accurate and automated determination of earthquake locations is still a challenging endeavor. However, such information is critical for monitoring seismic activity and assessing potential hazards in real time. Recently, a convolutional…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-03-03 Xiong Zhang , Jie Zhang , Congcong Yuan , Sen Liu , Zhibo Chen , Weiping Li

Earthquakes are a complex spatiotemporal phenomenon, the underlying mechanism for which is still not fully understood despite decades of research and analysis. We propose and develop a network approach to earthquake events. In this network,…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Joel N. Tenenbaum , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

Predicting tsunami impacts at remote coasts largely relies on tsunami en-route measurements in an open ocean. In this work, these measurements are used to generate instant tsunami predictions in deep water and near the coast. The…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-12-06 Elena Tolkova , Dmitry Nicolsky , Dailin Wang

Learning in MDPs with highly complex state representations is currently possible due to multiple advancements in reinforcement learning algorithm design. However, this incline in complexity, and furthermore the increase in the dimensions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Ezgi Korkmaz , Jonah Brown-Cohen

The normalized raw data of the Earth's electric field, monitored at PYR, ATH, HIO monitoring sites in Greece, are studied as far as it concerns the presence of electric seismic precursors. Electric preseismic pulses, plateau-like anomalous…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-08-31 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis , N. Zymaris

We present two models for estimating the probabilities of future earthquakes in California, to be tested in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). The first, time-independent model, modified from Helmstetter et…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 M. J. Werner , A. Helmstetter , D. D. Jackson , Y. Y. Kagan

This study tries to develop new attenuation relationships of peak ground velocity using machine learning methods; random forest and neural network. In order to compare with the predictors obtained by machine learning, we have also…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-11-02 Junjie Wu , Yoshihisa Maruyama , Wen Liu

Ground motion prediction (GMP) models are critical for hazard reduction before, during and after destructive earthquakes. In these three stages, intensity forecasting, early warning and interpolation models are corresponding employed to…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-12-03 Yitian Feng , Weiqiang Zhu , Xinzheng Lu

Over the last decades strong efforts have been made to apply new spaceborn technologies to the study and possible forecast of strong earthquakes. In this study we use ASTER/TERRA multispectral satellite images for detection and analysis of…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-06-14 A. A. Arellano-Baeza , R. V. Garcia , M. Trejo-Soto

Foreshock events provide valuable insight to predict imminent major earthquakes. However, it is difficult to identify them in real time. In this paper, I propose an algorithm based on deep learning to instantaneously classify a seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-11-29 K. Vikraman