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Multi-fidelity methods leverage low-cost surrogate models to speed up computations and make occasional recourse to expensive high-fidelity models to establish accuracy guarantees. Because surrogate and high-fidelity models are used…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Terrence Alsup , Benjamin Peherstorfer

A surrogate endpoint S in a clinical trial is an outcome that may be measured earlier or more easily than the true outcome of interest T. In this work, we extend causal inference approaches to validate such a surrogate using potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-04 Emily Roberts , Michael Elliott , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Machine learning classification techniques have been used widely to recognize the feasible design domain and discover hidden patterns in engineering design. An accurate classification model needs a large dataset; however, generating a large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-07-13 Xianping Du , Kai Zhang , Onur Bilgen , Laurent Burlion , Hongyi Xu

Randomness is one of the important key concepts of statistics. In epidemiology or medical science, we investigate our hypotheses and interpret results through this statistical randomness. We hypothesized by imposing some conditions to this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-11 T. Usuzaki , M. Shimoyama S. Chiba , S. Hotta

This paper introduces a decision-theoretic framework for constructing and evaluating test statistics based on their relationship with ancillary statistics-quantities whose distributions remain fixed under the null and alternative…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Albert Vexler , Douglas Landsittel

We present a Bayesian surrogate model for the analysis of periodic or quasi-periodic time series data. We describe a computationally efficient implementation that enables Bayesian model comparison. We apply this model to simulated and real…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-21 Eric B. Ford , Althea V. Moorhead , Dimitri Veras

Machine learning surrogates are increasingly employed to replace expensive computational models for physics-based reliability analysis. However, their use introduces epistemic uncertainty from model approximation errors, which couples with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Amirreza Tootchi , Xiaoping Du

We study the identification and estimation of long-term treatment effects under unobserved confounding by combining an experimental sample, where the long-term outcome is missing, with an observational sample, where the treatment assignment…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-27 Ting-Chih Hung , Yu-Chang Chen

Auxiliary data sources have become increasingly important in epidemiological surveillance, as they are often available at a finer spatial and temporal resolution, larger coverage, and lower latency than traditional surveillance signals. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Aaron Rumack , Roni Rosenfeld , F. William Townes

We consider the problem of testing the equality of conditional distributions of a response variable given a vector of covariates between two populations. Such a hypothesis testing problem can be motivated from various machine learning and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Xiaoyu Hu , Jing Lei

Stochastic unit commitment models typically handle uncertainties in forecast demand by considering a finite number of realizations from a stochastic process model for loads. Accurate evaluations of expectations or higher moments for the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-09 Cosmin Safta , Richard L. Chen , Habib N. Najm , Ali Pinar , Jean-paul watson

A popular approach to significance testing proposes to decide whether the given hypothesized statistical model is likely to be true (or false). Statistical decision theory provides a basis for this approach by requiring every significance…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-08 William Perkins , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

We study linear subset regression in the context of the high-dimensional overall model $y = \vartheta+\theta' z + \epsilon$ with univariate response $y$ and a $d$-vector of random regressors $z$, independent of $\epsilon$. Here,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Hannes Leeb , Lukas Steinberger

We tested the natural combination of surrogate data analysis with the ApEn regularity statistic developed by Pincus [Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 88 (1991) 2297] by applying it to some popular models of nonlinear dynamics and publicly…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Randall A. LaViolette , Charles R. Tolle , Timothy R. McJunkin , Daphne L. Stoner

Rank-based inference methods are applied in various disciplines, typically when procedures relying on standard normal theory are not justifiable, for example when data are not symmetrically distributed, contain outliers, or responses are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-16 Edgar Brunner , Frank Konietschke , Arne C. Bathke , Markus Pauly

A surrogate function is often employed to reduce the number of objective function evaluations for optimization. However, the effect of using a surrogate model in evolutionary approaches has not been theoretically investigated. This paper…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Youhei Akimoto

High-quality labeled data are essential for reliable statistical inference, but are often limited by validation costs. While surrogate labels provide cost-effective alternatives, their noise can introduce non-negligible bias. To address…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Jianmin Chen , Huiyuan Wang , Thomas Lumley , Xiaowu Dai , Yong Chen

In meta-analytic modeling, the functional relationship between a primary and surrogate endpoint is estimated using summary data from a set of completed clinical trials. Parameters in the meta-analytic model are used to assess the quality of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 James P. Long , Abhishikta Roy , Ehsan Irajizad , Kim-Anh Do , Yu Shen

Subsampling methods aim to select a subsample as a surrogate for the observed sample. As a powerful technique for large-scale data analysis, various subsampling methods are developed for more effective coefficient estimation and model…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-05 Tao Li , Cheng Meng

Algorithmic statistics considers the following problem: given a binary string $x$ (e.g., some experimental data), find a "good" explanation of this data. It uses algorithmic information theory to define formally what is a good explanation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-21 Alexey Milovanov