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This paper proposes a statistical framework of using artificial intelligence to improve human decision making. The performance of each human decision maker is benchmarked against that of machine predictions. We replace the diagnoses made by…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-10 Kai Feng , Han Hong , Ke Tang , Jingyuan Wang

Collecting large quantities of high-quality data can be prohibitively expensive or impractical, and a bottleneck in machine learning. One may instead augment a small set of $n$ data points from the target distribution with data from more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Ayush Jain , Andrea Montanari , Eren Sasoglu

Spectral estimators have been broadly applied to statistical network analysis, but they do not incorporate the likelihood information of the network sampling model. This paper proposes a novel surrogate likelihood function for statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Dingbo Wu , Fangzheng Xie

Policy makers typically face the problem of wanting to estimate the long-term effects of novel treatments, while only having historical data of older treatment options. We assume access to a long-term dataset where only past treatments were…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-11 Keith Battocchi , Eleanor Dillon , Maggie Hei , Greg Lewis , Miruna Oprescu , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Test inputs fail not only when the system under test is faulty but also when the inputs are invalid or unrealistic. Failures resulting from invalid or unrealistic test inputs are spurious. Avoiding spurious failures improves the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Baharin Aliashrafi Jodat , Abhishek Chandar , Shiva Nejati , Mehrdad Sabetzadeh

We consider the predictive problem of supervised ranking, where the task is to rank sets of candidate items returned in response to queries. Although there exist statistical procedures that come with guarantees of consistency in this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-27 John C. Duchi , Lester Mackey , Michael I. Jordan

A growing body of literature attempts to learn about contagion using observational (i.e. non-experimental) data collected from a single social network. While the conclusions of these studies may be correct, the methods rely on assumptions…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-30 Elizabeth L. Ogburn

A common practice in clinical trials is to evaluate a treatment effect on an intermediate endpoint when the true outcome of interest would be difficult or costly to measure. We consider how to validate intermediate endpoints in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Emily K. Roberts , Michael R. Elliott , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Permutation tests are a distribution free way of performing hypothesis tests. These tests rely on the condition that the observed data are exchangeable among the groups being tested under the null hypothesis. This assumption is easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-14 Daniell Toth

Chaotic systems pose fundamental challenges for data-driven dynamics discovery, as small modeling errors lead to exponentially growing trajectory discrepancies. Since exact long-term prediction is unattainable, it is natural to ask what a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Joon-Hyuk Ko , Andrus Giraldo , Deok-Sun Lee

A new method based on the rejection sampling for finding statistical tests is proposed. This method is conceptually intuitive, easy to implement, and applicable for arbitrary dimension. To illustrate its potential applicability, three…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Markku Kuismin

The method of surrogates is widely used in the field of nonlinear data analysis for testing for weak nonlinearities. The two most commonly used algorithms for generating surrogates are the amplitude adjusted Fourier transform (AAFT) and the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-21 Christoph Raeth , Roberto A. Monetti

In multicenter research, individual-level data are often protected against sharing across sites. To overcome the barrier of data sharing, many distributed algorithms, which only require sharing aggregated information, have been developed.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Rui Duan , Yang Ning , Yong Chen

Rank-based approaches are among the most popular nonparametric methods for univariate data in tackling statistical problems such as hypothesis testing due to their robustness and effectiveness. However, they are unsatisfactory for more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 Doudou Zhou , Hao Chen

Graph-theoretical analyses of complex brain networks is a rapidly evolving field with a strong impact for neuroscientific and related clinical research. Due to a number of confounding variables, however, a reliable and meaningful…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-27 Gerrit Ansmann , Klaus Lehnertz

Risk modeling with EHR data is challenging due to a lack of direct observations on the disease outcome, and the high dimensionality of the candidate predictors. In this paper, we develop a surrogate assisted semi-supervised-learning (SAS)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Jue Hou , Zijian Guo , Tianxi Cai

In climate systems, physiological models, optics, and many more, surrogate models are developed to reconstruct chaotic dynamical systems. We introduce four data-driven measures using global attractor properties to evaluate the quality of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 Luci Fumagalli , Kathy Lüdge , Jana de Wiljes , Heikki Haario , Lina Jaurigue

Surrogate models are widely used to approximate complex systems across science and engineering to reduce computational costs. Despite their widespread adoption, the field lacks standardisation across key stages of the modelling pipeline,…

In this communication a new algorithm is proposed to produce surrogates for pseudoperiodic time series. By imposing a few constraints on the noise components of pseudoperiodic data sets, we devise an effective method to generate surrogates.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Xiaodong Luo , Tomomichi Nakamura , Michael Small

We present an algorithm for a class of statistical inference problems. The main idea is to reformulate the inference problem as an optimization procedure, based on the generation of surrogate (auxiliary) functions. This approach is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Rodrigo Carvajal , Rafael Orellana , Dimitrios Katselis , Pedro Escárate , Juan. C. Agüero
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