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Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 A. Diaw , M. McKerns , I. Sagert , L. G. Stanton , M. S. Murillo

Parametric inference posits a statistical model that is a specified family of probability distributions. Restricted inference, e.g., restricted likelihood ratio testing, attempts to exploit the structure of a statistical submodel that is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Michael W. Trosset , Carey E. Priebe

Adaptive subgroup enrichment design is an efficient design framework that allows accelerated development for investigational treatments while also having flexibility in population selection within the course of the trial. The adaptive…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-21 Liwen Wu , Qing Li , Mengya Liu , Jianchang Lin

Motivated by increasing pressure for decision makers to shorten the time required to evaluate the efficacy of a treatment such that treatments deemed safe and effective can be made publicly available, there has been substantial recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Xuan Wang , Layla Parast , Lu Tian , Tianxi Cai

A common approach to synthetic data is to sample from a fitted model. We show that under general assumptions, this approach results in a sample with inefficient estimators and whose joint distribution is inconsistent with the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Jordan Awan , Zhanrui Cai

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

Statistical hypothesis testing is the central method to demarcate scientific theories in both exploratory and inferential analyses. However, whether this method befits such purpose remains a matter of debate. Established approaches to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-10-29 Orestis Loukas , Ho-Ryun Chung

Anomaly detection in time-series has a wide range of practical applications. While numerous anomaly detection methods have been proposed in the literature, a recent survey concluded that no single method is the most accurate across various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Mononito Goswami , Cristian Challu , Laurent Callot , Lenon Minorics , Andrey Kan

Evaluation metrics in machine learning are often hardly taken as loss functions, as they could be non-differentiable and non-decomposable, e.g., average precision and F1 score. This paper aims to address this problem by revisiting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Tao Huang , Zekang Li , Hua Lu , Yong Shan , Shusheng Yang , Yang Feng , Fei Wang , Shan You , Chang Xu

Detecting and locating changes in highly multivariate data is a major concern in several current statistical applications. In this context, the first contribution of the paper is a novel non-parametric two-sample homogeneity test for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-13 Alexandre Lung-Yut-Fong , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Olivier Cappé

Two-sample testing is a fundamental problem in statistics. Despite its long history, there has been renewed interest in this problem with the advent of high-dimensional and complex data. Specifically, in the machine learning literature,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Ilmun Kim , Ann B. Lee , Jing Lei

Suppose that we are interested in the comparison of two independent categorical variables. Suppose also that the population is divided into subpopulations or groups. Notice that the distribution of the target variable may vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-08 M. V. Alba-Fernández , M. D. Jiménez--Gamero , F. J. Ariza-López

We study the detection capability of the weak-value amplification on the basis of the statistical hypothesis testing. We propose a reasonable testing method in the physical and statistical senses to find that the weak measurement with the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-08-17 Yuki Susa , Saki Tanaka

Hypothesis test plays a key role in uncertain statistics based on uncertain measure. This paper extends the parametric hypothesis of a single uncertain population to multiple cases, thereby addressing a broader range of scenarios. First, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-03 Fan Zhang , Zhiming Li

We consider an additive partially linear framework for modelling massive heterogeneous data. The major goal is to extract multiple common features simultaneously across all sub-populations while exploring heterogeneity of each…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-01 Binhuan Wang , Yixin Fang , Heng Lian , Hua Liang

Bayesian inverse modeling is important for a better understanding of hydrological processes. However, this approach can be computationally demanding, as it usually requires a large number of model evaluations. To address this issue, one can…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-24 Jiangjiang Zhang , Qiang Zheng , Dingjiang Chen , Laosheng Wu , Lingzao Zeng

Emulating high-accuracy computationally expensive models is crucial for tasks requiring numerous model evaluations, such as uncertainty quantification and optimization. When lower-fidelity models are available, they can be used to improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Katerina Giannoukou , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Genetic data are now routinely used to study the history of population size, subdivision, and gene flow. A variety of formal statistical methods is available for testing hypotheses and fitting models to data. Yet it is often unclear which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-11 Alan R. Rogers

Data integration methods aim to extract low-dimensional embeddings from high-dimensional outcomes to remove unwanted variations, such as batch effects and unmeasured covariates, across heterogeneous datasets. However, multiple hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Jin-Hong Du , Kathryn Roeder , Larry Wasserman

The asymptotically optimal hypothesis testing problem with the general sources as the null and alternative hypotheses is studied under exponential-type error constraints on the first kind of error probability. Our fundamental philosophy in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Te Sun Han