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We present a modelling framework for the spreading of epidemics on temporal networks from which both the individual-based and pair-based models can be recovered. The proposed temporal pair-based model that is systematically derived from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-17 Rory Humphries , Kieran Mulchrone , Jamie Tratalos , Simon More , Philipp Hövel

In this paper, we study the trajectory of a classic SIR epidemic on a family of dynamic random graphs of fixed size, whose set of edges continuously evolves over time. We set general infection and recovery times, and start the epidemic from…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Marta Milewska , Remco van der Hofstad , Bert Zwart

Studies about epidemic modelling have been conducted since before 19th century. Both deterministic and stochastiic model were used to capture the dynamic of infection in the population. The purpose of this project is to investigate the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-06 Kurnia Susvitasari

Recent studies on network geometry, a way of describing network structures as geometrical objects, are revolutionizing our way to understand dynamical processes on networked systems. Here, we cope with the problem of epidemic spreading,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-04 Joan T. Matamalas , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

Epidemiological processes are studied within a recently proposed hierarchical network model using the susceptible-infected-refractory dynamics of an epidemic. Within the network model, a population may be characterized by $H$ independent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-06-24 Dafang Zheng , P. M. Hui , Steffen Trimper , Bo Zheng

We extend a recent study of susceptible-infected-removed epidemic processes with long range infection (referred to as I in the following) from 1-dimensional lattices to lattices in two dimensions. As in I we use hashing to simulate very…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-16 Peter Grassberger

We consider evoSIR, a variant of the SIR model, on Erd\H os-Renyi random graphs in which susceptibles with an infected neighbor break that connection at rate $\rho$ and rewire to a randomly chosen individual. We compute the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Yufeng Jiang , Remy Kassem , Grayson York , Matthew Junge , Rick Durrett

We introduce the effect of site contamination in a model for spatial epidemic spread and show that the presence of site contamination may have a strict effect on the model in the sense that it can make an otherwise subcritical process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fabio Lopes

We study the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on directed complex networks within the quenched mean-field approximation. Combining results from random matrix theory with an analytic approach to the distribution of fixed-point…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-12 Vinícius B. Müller , Fernando L. Metz

We study an individual-based stochastic spatial epidemic model where the number of locations and the number of individuals at each location both grow to infinity. Each individual is associated with a random infection-age dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Guodong Pang , Etienne Pardoux

We study a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model with multiple seeds on a regular random graph. Many researchers have studied the epidemic threshold of epidemic models above which a global outbreak can occur, starting from an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-06 Takehisa Hasegawa , Koji Nemoto

This paper investigates a behavioral-feedback SIR model in which the infection rate adapts dynamically based on the fractions of susceptible and infected individuals. We introduce an invariant of motion and we characterize the peak of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-17 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Francesca Parise

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

We investigate an SIR model of epidemic propagation on networks in the context of mean-field games. In a real epidemic, individuals adjust their behavior depending on the epidemic level and the impact it might have on them in the future.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-27 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

The SIR model is a three-compartment model of the time development of an epidemic. After normalizing the dependent variables, the model is a system of two non-linear differential equations for the susceptible proportion $S$ and the infected…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-27 William G. Faris

Super-spreading events for infectious diseases occur when some infected individuals infect more than the average number of secondary cases. Several super-spreading individuals have been identified for the 2003 outbreak of severe acute…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-18 Thembinkosi Mkhatshwa , Anna Mummert

We study a stochastic spatial epidemic model where the $N$ individuals carry two features: a position and an infection state, interact and move in $\R^d$. In this Markovian model, the evolution of the infection states are described with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Yen V. Vuong , Maxime Hauray , Etienne Pardoux

We study the effect of external infection sources on phase transitions in epidemic processes. In particular, we consider an epidemic spreading on a network via the SIS/SIR dynamics, which in addition is aided by external agents - sources…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-12-05 Siddhartha Banerjee , Avhishek Chatterjee , Sanjay Shakkottai

We study extensions of the classical SIR model of epidemic spread. First, we consider a single population modified SIR epidemics model in which the contact rate is allowed to be an arbitrary function of the fraction of susceptible and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Martina Alutto , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani
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