English

SIR epidemics on evolving graphs

Probability 2019-01-23 v1

Abstract

We consider evoSIR, a variant of the SIR model, on Erd\H os-Renyi random graphs in which susceptibles with an infected neighbor break that connection at rate ρ\rho and rewire to a randomly chosen individual. We compute the critical infection rate λc\lambda_c and the probability of a large epidemic by showing that they are the same for the delSIR model in which SIS-I connections are deleted instead of rewired. The final size of a large delSIR epidemic has a continuous transition. Simulations suggest that the final size of a large evoSIR epidemic is discontinuous at λc\lambda_c.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1901.06568,
  title  = {SIR epidemics on evolving graphs},
  author = {Yufeng Jiang and Remy Kassem and Grayson York and Matthew Junge and Rick Durrett},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1901.06568},
  year   = {2019}
}

Comments

24 pages, 12 pictures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T07:16:41.752Z