English

Susceptible-Infected Epidemics on Evolving Graphs

Probability 2023-10-03 v3

Abstract

The evoSIR model is a modification of the usual SIR process on a graph GG in which SIS-I connections are broken at rate ρ\rho and the SS connects to a randomly chosen vertex. The evoSI model is the same as evoSIR but recovery is impossible. In \cite{DOMath} the critical value for evoSIR was computed and simulations showed that when GG is an Erd\H os-R\'enyi graph with mean degree 5, the system has a discontinuous phase transition, i.e., as the infection rate λ\lambda decreases to λc\lambda_c, the fraction of individuals infected during the epidemic does not converge to 0. In this paper we study evoSI dynamics on graphs generated by the configuration model. We show that there is a quantity Δ\Delta determined by the first three moments of the degree distribution, so that the phase transition is discontinuous if Δ>0\Delta>0 and continuous if Δ<0\Delta<0.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2003.08534,
  title  = {Susceptible-Infected Epidemics on Evolving Graphs},
  author = {Rick Durrett and Dong Yao},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.08534},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

Updated to match the journal version. 66 pages, 8 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T14:19:29.445Z