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This paper is concerned with a natural variant of the contact process modeling the spread of knowledge on the integer lattice. Each site is characterized by its knowledge, measured by a real number ranging from 0 = ignorant to 1 =…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer , Hyunsik Yun

We consider a time-inhomogeneous diffusion process able to describe the dynamics of infected people in a susceptible-infectious epidemic model in which the transmission intensity function is time-dependent. Such a model is well suited to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Giuseppina Albano , Virginia Giorno , Francisco Torres-Ruiz

Cells of the human body have nearly identical genome but exhibit very different phenotypes that allow them to carry out specific functions and react to changes in their surrounding environment. This division of labour is achieved by…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-24 Hanan Dreiwi , Flavia Feliciangeli , Mario Castro , Grant Lythe , Carmen Molina-París , Martín López-García

In this paper, we consider the threshold-one contact process and the threshold-one voter model w/o spontaneous death on homogeneous trees $\mathbb{T}_d$, $d\ge 2$. Mainly inspired by the corresponding arguments for ordinary contact…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Yingxin Mu , Yuan Zhang

We consider a stochastic individual-based population model with competition, trait-structure affecting reproduction and survival, and changing environment. The changes of traits are described by jump processes, and the dynamics can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-17 Benoît Henry , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

Pathogen genome data offers valuable structure for spatial models, but its utility is limited by incomplete sequencing coverage. We propose a probabilistic framework for inferring genetic distances between unsequenced cases and known…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-10 Haley Stone , Jing Du , Hao Xue , Matthew Scotch , David Heslop , Andreas Züfle , Chandini Raina MacIntyre , Flora Salim

Whole genome sequencing of pathogens from multiple hosts in an epidemic offers the potential to investigate who infected whom with unparalleled resolution, potentially yielding important insights into disease dynamics and the impact of…

Many pathogens spread primarily via direct contact between infected and susceptible hosts. Thus, the patterns of contacts or contact network of a population fundamentally shapes the course of epidemics. While there is a robust and growing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-01 Shweta Bansal , Lauren Ancel Meyers

When an infectious disease outbreak is of a relatively small size, describing the ancestry of a sample of infected individuals is difficult because most ancestral models assume large population sizes. Given a set of infected individuals, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-31 Xavier Didelot , David Helekal , Ian Roberts

A stochastic model, describing the growth of two competing infections on $\mathbb{R}^d$, is introduced. The growth is driven by outbursts in the infected region, an outburst in the type 1 (2) infected region transmitting the type 1 (2)…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-24 Maria Deijfen , Olle Häggström , Jonathan Bagley

Immunotherapy has recently shown important clinical successes in a substantial number of oncology indications. Additionally, the tumor somatic mutation load has been shown to associate with response to these therapeutic agents, and specific…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-19 Ehsan Ebrahimzadeh , Maggie Engler , David Tse , Razvan Cristescu , Aslan Tchamkerten

Liggett and Steif (2006) proved that, for the supercritical contact process on certain graphs, the upper invariant measure stochastically dominates an i.i.d.\ Bernoulli product measure. In particular, they proved this for $\mathbb{Z}^d$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-17 Jacob van den Berg , Stein Andreas Bethuelsen

Typically, contagion strength is modeled by a transmission rate $\lambda$, whereby all nodes in a network are treated uniformly in a mean-field approximation. However, local agents react differently to the same contagion based on their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-28 Pouya Manshour , Afshin Montakhab

We present a model for host-parasite dynamics which incorporates both vertical and horizontal transmission as well as spatial structure. Our model consists of stacked contact processes (CP), where the dynamics of the host is a simple CP on…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-05-26 Steven J. Court , Richard A. Blythe , Rosalind J. Allen

Movement behavior of biological entities plays a crucial role in their destiny through regulating their intraspecific and interspecific interactions as well as their interaction with surrounding environment. In spite of various models for…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-10 Youness Azimzade

A little over 25 years ago Pemantle pioneered the study of the contact process on trees, and showed that on homogeneous trees the critical values $\lambda_1$ and $\lambda_2$ for global and local survival were different. He also considered…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Xiangying Huang , Rick Durrett

Ben-Ari and Schinazi (2016) introduced a stochastic model to study `virus-like evolving population with high mutation rate'. This model is a birth and death model with an individual at birth being either a mutant with a random fitness…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Rahul Roy , Hideki Tanemura

Capturing the structure of a population and characterising contacts within the population are key to reliable projections of infectious disease. Two main elements of population structure -- contact heterogeneity and age -- have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L. Davis , Matt J. Keeling

The basic contact process with parameter $\mu$ altered so that infections of sites that have not been previously infected occur at rate proportional to $\lambda$ instead is considered. Emergence of an infinite epidemic starting out from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Achillefs Tzioufas

A stochastic comparison result that makes progress towards understanding the classical multitype contact process with unequal death rates is given. It has long been conjectured that the particle type with the largest birth to death rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Joseph P. Stover