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Cooperation and competition between pathogens can alter the amount of individuals affected by a co-infection. Nonetheless, the evolution of the pathogens' behavior has been overlooked. Here, we consider a co-evolutionary model where the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-23 Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Kai Seegers , Alessio Cardillo , Philipp Hövel

We present a contact-based model to study the spreading of epidemics by means of extending the dynamic message passing approach to temporal networks. The shift in perspective from node- to edge-centric quantities enables accurate modelling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-07 Andreas Koher , Hartmut H. K. Lentz , James P. Gleeson , Philipp Hövel

The quadratic contact process (QCP) is a natural extension of the well studied linear contact process where infected (1) individuals infect susceptible (0) neighbors at rate $\lambda$ and infected individuals recover ($1 \longrightarrow 0$)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-28 Chris Varghese , Rick Durrett

The key to our investigation is an improved (and in a sense sharp) understanding of the survival time of the contact process on star graphs. Using these results, we show that for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees, when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Xiangying Huang , Rick Durrett

Phylogenetics uses alignments of molecular sequence data to learn about evolutionary trees. Substitutions in sequences are modelled through a continuous-time Markov process, characterised by an instantaneous rate matrix, which standard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-20 Naomi E. Hannaford , Sarah E. Heaps , Tom M. W. Nye , Tom A. Williams , T. Martin Embley

We study the limiting behavior of an interacting particle system evolving on the lattice $Z^{d}$ for $d\ge 3$. The model is known as the contact process with rapid stirring. The process starts with a single particle at the origin. Each…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-31 Segev Shlomov , Leonid Mytnik

We study the random times between successive cases in a transmission chain of infectious diseases with asymptomatic carriers. We derive the probability distribution of this generation time (in days) from a discrete-time epidemic model with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-16 Jordi Ripoll , Joan Saldaña

This paper continues our previous study on spreading processes in inhomogeneous populations consisting of susceptible and immune individuals [V. Blavatska, Yu. Holovatch, Physica A 573, 125980 (2021)]. A special role in such populations is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-03-21 V. Blavatska , Yu. Holovatch

Spatial interactions between cancer and immune cells, as well as the recognition of tumour antigens by cells of the immune system, play a key role in the immune response against solid tumours. The existing mathematical models generally…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-05 Fiona R Macfarlane , Mark AJ Chaplain , Tommaso Lorenzi

Stochastic models of sequential mutation acquisition are widely used to quantify cancer and bacterial evolution. Across manifold scenarios, recurrent research questions are: how many cells are there with $n$ alterations, and how long will…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-07 Michael D. Nicholson , David Cheek , Tibor Antal

In unicellular organisms such as bacteria and in most viruses, mutations mainly occur during reproduction. Thus, genotypes with a high birth rate should have a higher mutation rate. However, standard models of asexual adaptation such as the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-11-10 Florian Patout , R Forien , M Alfaro , J Papaïx , L Roques

We present general results for the contact process by a method which applies to all transitive graphs of bounded degree, including graphs of exponential growth. The model's infection rates are varied through a control parameter, for which…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-29 Michael Aizenman , Paul Jung

Contact tracing can be thought of as a race between two processes: an infection process and a tracing process. In this paper, we study a simple model of infection spreading on a tree, and a tracer who stabilizes one node at a time. We focus…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Michela Meister , Jon Kleinberg

Motivated by questions regarding long range percolation, we investigate a non-Markovian analogue of the Harris contact process in $\mathbb{Z}^d$: an individual is attached to each site $x \in \mathbb{Z}^d$, and it can be infected or…

We study contact epidemic models for the spread of infective diseases in finite populations. The size dependence enters in the infection rate. The dynamics of such models is then analyzed within the deterministic approximation, as well as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-07 Ph. Blanchard , S. Nicolis

Most of the DNA that composes a complex organism is non-coding and defined as junk. Even the coding part is composed of genes that affect the phenotype differently. Therefore, a random mutation has an effect on the specimen fitness that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-19 Mattia Miotto , Lorenzo Monacelli

We study the contact process on a dynamic random~$d$-regular graph with an edge-switching mechanism, as well as an interacting particle system that arises from the local description of this process, called the herds process. Both these…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin

We study a contact process running in a random environment in $\mathbb {Z}^d$ where sites flip, independently of each other, between blocking and nonblocking states, and the contact process is restricted to live in the space given by…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-10 Daniel Remenik

Transmission models for infectious diseases are typically formulated in terms of dynamics between individuals or groups with processes such as disease progression or recovery for each individual captured phenomenologically, without…

Propagation of contagion in networks depends on the graph topology. This paper is concerned with studying the time-asymptotic behavior of the extended contact processes on static, undirected, finite-size networks. This is a contact process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-03 June Zhang , José M. F. Moura