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We introduce a multidimensional walk with memory and random tendency. The asymptotic behaviour is characterized, proving a law of large numbers and showing a phase transition from diffusive to superdiffusive regimes. In first case, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Manuel González-Navarrete

We study statistical properties of the random variables $X_{\sigma}(\pi)$, the number of occurrences of the pattern $\sigma$ in the permutation $\pi$. We present two contrasting approaches to this problem: traditional probability theory and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Svante Janson , Brian Nakamura , Doron Zeilberger

To detect changes in the mean of a time series, one may use previsible detection procedures based on nonparametric kernel prediction smoothers which cover various classic detection statistics as special cases. Bandwidth selection,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we analyze approximations to the non-asymptotic fundamental limits of statistical classification. In the binary version of this problem, given two training sequences generated according…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Lin Zhou , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Mehul Motani

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated, in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Fabien Brosset , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

Let ${Z_n}_{n\ge 0}$ be a random walk with a negative drift and i.i.d. increments with heavy-tailed distribution and let $M=\sup_{n\ge 0}Z_n$ be its supremum. Asmussen & Kl{\"u}ppelberg (1996) considered the behavior of the random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-09 Søren Asmussen , Sergey Foss

The "large p, small n" paradigm arises in microarray studies, where expression levels of thousands of genes are monitored for a small number of subjects. There has been an increasing demand for study of asymptotics for the various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Michael R. Kosorok , Shuangge Ma

We treat the problem of testing independence between m continuous variables when m can be larger than the available sample size n. We consider three types of test statistics that are constructed as sums or sums of squares of pairwise rank…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-05 Dennis Leung , Mathias Drton

We study asymptotic properties of spatially non-homogeneous random walks with non-integrable increments, including transience, almost-sure bounds, and existence and non-existence of moments for first-passage and last-exit times. In our…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-03 Ostap Hryniv , Iain M. MacPhee , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr)$ be the predictive distributions of a sequence $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ of $p$-dimensional random vectors. Suppose $$\alpha_n= \mathcal{N} _p (M_n,Q_n)$$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Samuele Garelli , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

We examine the asymptotic behaviour of the sample autocovariance in a continuous-time moving average model with long-range dependence. We show that it is either asymptotically Rosenblatt distributed or stable distributed. This shows that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Felix Spangenberg

A random walk in random scenery $(Y_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ is given by $Y_n=\xi_{S_n}$ for a random walk $(S_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ and iid random variables $(\xi_n)_{n\in\mathbb{Z}}$. In this paper, we will show the weak convergence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-20 Martin Wendler

This paper considers the asymptotic behaviour of volumes of excursion sets of subordinated Gaussian random fields with (possibly) infinite variance. Actually, we consider integral functionals of such fields and obtain their limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Vitalii Makogin , Evgeny Spodarev

Given a bounded operator $T$ on a Banach space $X$, we study the existence of a probability measure $\mu$ on $X$ such that, for many functions $f:X\to\mathbb K$, the sequence $(f+\dots+f\circ T^{n-1})/\sqrt n$ converges in distribution to a…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2013-04-10 Frédéric Bayart

Consider a family of random walks $S_n^{(a)}=X_1^{(a)}+\cdots+X_n^{(a)}$ with negative drift $\mathbf E X_1^{(a)}=-a<0$ and finite variance $\mbox{var}(X_1^{(a)})=\sigma^2<\infty$.Let $M^{(a)}=\max_{n\ge 0} S_n^{(a)}$ be the maximums of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Denis Denisov , Johannes Kugler

The statistical theory of extremes is extended to observations that are non-stationary and not independent. The non-stationarity over time and space is controlled via the scedasis (tail scale) in the marginal distributions. Spatial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 John H. J. Einmahl , Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan , Claudia Neves , Chen Zhou

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

This article proposes a bivariate Simplex distribution for modeling continuous outcomes constrained to the interval $(0,1)$, which can represent proportions, rates, or indices. We derive analytical expressions to calculate the dependence…

We consider first passage times $\tau_u = \inf\{n:\; Y_n>u\}$ for the perpetuity sequence $$ Y_n = B_1 + A_1 B_2 + \cdots + (A_1\ldots A_{n-1})B_n, $$ where $(A_n,B_n)$ are i.i.d. random variables with values in ${\mathbb R} ^+\times…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-13 Dariusz Buraczewski , Ewa Damek , Jacek Zienkiewicz

We provide a means of computing and estimating the asymptotic distributions of statistics based on an outer minimization of an inner maximization. Such test statistics, which arise frequently in moment models, are of special interest in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-17 Isaac Loh