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We deliver a call to arms for probabilistic numerical methods: algorithms for numerical tasks, including linear algebra, integration, optimization and solving differential equations, that return uncertainties in their calculations. Such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Philipp Hennig , Michael A Osborne , Mark Girolami

This paper considers the motion of an object subjected to dry friction and an external random force. The objective is to characterize the role of the correlation time of the external random force. We develop efficient stochastic simulation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-26 Josselin Garnier , Laurent Mertz

A system of interacting particles described by stochastic differential equations is considered. As oppopsed to the usual model, where the noise perturbations acting on different particles are independent, here the particles are subject to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Michele Coghi , Franco Flandoli

Over the last few years there have been dramatic advances in our understanding of mathematical and computational models of complex systems in the presence of uncertainty. This has led to a growth in the area of uncertainty quantification as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Maziar Raissi , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

Progressive Hedging is a popular decomposition algorithm for solving multi-stage stochastic optimization problems. A computational bottleneck of this algorithm is that all scenario subproblems have to be solved at each iteration. In this…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Gilles Bareilles , Yassine Laguel , Dmitry Grishchenko , Franck Iutzeler , Jérôme Malick

Splitting methods constitute a widely used class of numerical integrators for ordinary and partial differential equations, particularly well suited to problems that can be decomposed into simpler subproblems. High-order splitting schemes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Fernando Casas , Ander Murua

We propose a nonparametric method for detecting nonlinear causal relationship within a set of multidimensional discrete time series, by using sparse additive models (SpAMs). We show that, when the input to the SpAM is a $\beta$-mixing time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Yingxiang Yang , Adams Wei Yu , Zhaoran Wang , Tuo Zhao

Finite difference approximation, in addition to Taylor truncation errors, introduces numerical dispersion-and-dissipation errors into numerical solutions of partial differential equations. We analyze a class of finite difference schemes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Yi-Hung Kuo , Long Lee , Gregory Lyng

In this paper, we address the probabilistic error quantification of a general class of prediction methods. We consider a given prediction model and show how to obtain, through a sample-based approach, a probabilistic upper bound on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Victor Mirasierra , Martina Mammarella , Fabrizio Dabbene , Teodoro Alamo

This paper proposes a novel framework for causal discovery with asymmetric error control, called Neyman-Pearson causal discovery. Despite the importance of applications where different types of edge errors may have different importance,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-30 Joni Shaska , Urbashi Mitra

In text classification tasks, models often rely on spurious correlations for predictions, incorrectly associating irrelevant features with the target labels. This issue limits the robustness and generalization of models, especially when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Yuqing Zhou , Ziwei Zhu

Clustering is a widely used technique with a long and rich history in a variety of areas. However, most existing algorithms do not scale well to large datasets, or are missing theoretical guarantees of convergence. This paper introduces a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Yijia Zhou , Kyle A. Gallivan , Adrian Barbu

In this paper we introduce a family of stochastic gradient estimation techniques based of the perturbative expansion around the mean of the sampling distribution. We characterize the bias and variance of the resulting Taylor-corrected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-18 Luca Ambrogioni , Marcel A. J. van Gerven

The problem of statistical inference for open chaotic systems measured with error is complicated by the interaction of the uncertainty introduced by chaos, and the various sources of random or external variation. Here a method of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-11 Michael LuValle

Margin-based structured prediction commonly uses a maximum loss over all possible structured outputs \cite{Altun03,Collins04b,Taskar03}. In natural language processing, recent work \cite{Zhang14,Zhang15} has proposed the use of the maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-16 Jean Honorio , Tommi Jaakkola

Nonparametric Bayesian approaches provide a flexible framework for clustering without pre-specifying the number of groups, yet they are well known to overestimate the number of clusters, especially for functional data. We show that a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Fumiya Iwashige , Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Shintaro Hashimoto

The Stochastic Backscatter Model involves the generation of a set of random variables characterised by prescribed correlations in space and time. These variables are obtained by smoothing an initially uncorrelated random field, which…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-11-12 Angelo Passariello

A large toolbox of numerical schemes for dispersive equations has been established, based on different discretization techniques such as discretizing the variation-of-constants formula (e.g., exponential integrators) or splitting the full…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Frédéric Rousset , Katharina Schratz

Over the last few years there have been dramatic advances in our understanding of mathematical and computational models of complex systems in the presence of uncertainty. This has led to a growth in the area of uncertainty quantification as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-06-05 Maziar Raissi , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

We consider an infinite-dimensional stochastic clustering model on $\mathbb{R}$. In discrete time, each point of a unit-intensity simple point process moves halfway toward either of its left or right neighbors, chosen uniformly at random.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Partha S. Dey , S. Rasoul Etesami , Aditya S. Gopalan
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