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We propose a novel complex-analytic method for sums of i.i.d. random variables that are heavy-tailed and integer-valued. The method combines singularity analysis, Lindel\"of integrals, and bivariate saddle points. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Nicholas M. Ercolani , Sabine Jansen , Daniel Ueltschi

In this paper we prove large deviations results for partial sums constructed from the solution to a stochastic recurrence equation. We assume Kesten's condition [Acta Math. 131 (1973) 207-248] under which the solution of the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 D. Buraczewski , E. Damek , T. Mikosch , J. Zienkiewicz

In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Nina Gantert , Joscha Prochno , Philipp Tuchel

It is well-known that large deviations of random walks driven by independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables are governed by the so-called principle of one large jump. We note that further subtleties hold for such…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-30 Harald Bernhard , Bikramjit Das

We study large deviation probabilities for a sum of dependent random variables from a heavy-tailed factor model, assuming that the components are regularly varying. We identify conditions where both the factor and the idiosyncratic terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-05 Boualem Djehiche , Jens Svensson

We study functional convergence of sums of moving averages with random coefficients and heavy-tailed innovations. Under some standard moment conditions and the assumption that all partial sums of the series of coefficients are a.s. bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Danijel Krizmanić

We prove a version of Nagaev's theorem for the branching random walk with heavy-tailed associated random walk. For a branching random walk on $\mathbb{R}$ we consider the random measure $Z_n = \sum_{|u|=n} e^{-V_u} \delta_{V_u}$ where…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Jakob Stonner

The large deviations theory for heavy-tailed processes has seen significant advances in the recent past. In particular, Rhee et al. (2019) and Bazhba et al. (2020) established large deviation asymptotics at the sample-path level for L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Zhe Su , Chang-Han Rhee

Let $X$ be a L\'evy process with regularly varying L\'evy measure $\nu$. We obtain sample-path large deviations for scaled processes $\bar X_n(t) \triangleq X(nt)/n$ and obtain a similar result for random walks. Our results yield detailed…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Chang-Han Rhee , Jose Blanchet , Bert Zwart

We establish functional limit theorems for ergodic sums of observables with power singularities for expanding circle maps. In the regime where the observables have infinite variance, we show that when rescaled by $N^{1/s}(\ln N)^\alpha$,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Sixu Liu

For moving average processes with random coefficients and heavy-tailed innovations that are weakly dependent in the sense of strong mixing and local dependence condition $D'$ we study joint functional convergence of partial sums and maxima.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Danijel Krizmanic

We reduced the large deviation problem for a self-normalized random walk to one for an auxiliary usual bivariate random walk. This enabled us to prove the classical theorem for self-normalized walks by Q.-M. Shao (1997) under slightly more…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Konstantin Borovkov

In this paper we propose a framework that enables the study of large deviations for point processes based on stationary sequences with regularly varying tails. This framework allows us to keep track not of the magnitude of the extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Henrik Hult , Gennady Samorodnitsky

The tail behavior of aggregates of heavy-tailed random vectors is known to be determined by the so-called principle of "one large jump'', be it for finite sums, random sums, or, L\'evy processes. We establish that, in fact, a more general…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-26 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

We establish large deviation principles and phase transition results for both quenched and annealed settings of nearest-neighbor random walks with constant drift in random nonnegative potentials on $\mathbb Z^d$. We complement the analysis…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Markus Flury

We consider weighted geodesic random walks in a complete Riemannian manifold $(M,g)$. We show that for almost all sequences of weights (with respect to a suitable measure), these weighted geodesic random walks satisfy, when suitably scaled,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Rik Versendaal

In this paper, we obtain some results on precise large deviations for non-random and random sums of widely dependent random variables with common dominatedly varying tail distribution or consistently varying tail distribution on…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

We study a precise large deviation principle for a stationary regularly varying sequence of random variables. This principle extends the classical results of A.V. Nagaev (1969) and S.V. Nagaev (1979) for iid regularly varying sequences. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-11 Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

Recently a functional limit theorem for sums of moving averages with random coefficients and i.i.d. heavy tailed innovations has been obtained under the assumption that all partial sums of the series of coefficients are a.s. bounded between…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-27 Danijel Krizmanić
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