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Highly non-linear, chaotic or near chaotic, dynamic models are important in fields such as ecology and epidemiology: for example, pest species and diseases often display highly non-linear dynamics. However, such models are problematic from…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-24 Matteo Fasiolo , Natalya Pya , Simon N. Wood

This paper studies a distributed state estimation problem for both continuous- and discrete-time linear systems. A simply structured distributed estimator (comprising interconnected local estimators) is first described for estimating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Lili Wang , Ji Liu , Brian B. O. Anderson , A. Stephen Morse

This paper presents a robust version of the stratified sampling method when multiple uncertain input models are considered for stochastic simulation. Various variance reduction techniques have demonstrated their superior performance in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Seung Min Baik , Eunshin Byon , Young Myoung Ko

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We present an optimal control-based strategy to enhance the estimation of impulse-like disturbances in continuously monitored linear classical and quantum systems by exploiting non-equilibrium states. Using optimal estimation techniques for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-13 Kaspar Schmerling , Andreas Kugi , Andreas Deutschmann-Olek

An important question that often arises in the operation of networked systems is whether to collect the real-time data or to estimate them based on the previously collected data. Various factors should be taken into account such as how…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Jalal Arabneydi , Amir G. Aghdam

Literatures in state space models focus on parametric inference and prediction, which fail if the state space model is not fully specified and the maximum likelihood estimation does not work. In this paper, we assume the state transition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Yunyi Zhang , Tingting Wang , Dimitris N. Politis

Dynamical models underpin our ability to understand and predict the behavior of natural systems. Whether dynamical models are developed from first-principles derivations or from observational data, they are predicated on our choice of state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Daniel Floryan , Michael D. Graham

Iterative geostatistical seismic inversion integrates seismic and well data to infer the spatial distribution of subsurface elastic properties. These methods provide limited assessment to the spatial uncertainty of the inverted elastic…

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

State space models contain time-indexed parameters, termed states, as well as static parameters, simply termed parameters. The problem of inferring both static parameters as well as states simultaneously, based on time-indexed observations,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-28 Anthony Ebert , Pierre Pudlo , Kerrie Mengersen , Paul Wu , Christopher Drovandi

We study the problem of collaboratively estimating the state of a discrete-time LTI process by a network of sensor nodes interacting over a time-varying directed communication graph. Existing approaches to this problem either (i) make…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Aritra Mitra , John A. Richards , Saurabh Bagchi , Shreyas Sundaram

We consider a stochastic process model with time trend and measurement error. We establish consistency and derive the limiting distributions of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the covariance function parameters under a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

Starting from limited measurements of a turbulent flow, data assimilation (DA) attempts to estimate all the spatio-temporal scales of motion. Success is dependent on whether the system is observable from the measurements, or how much of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-16 Andrew Cleary , Qi Wang , Tamer A. Zaki

The paper considers the problem of distributed adaptive linear parameter estimation in multi-agent inference networks. Local sensing model information is only partially available at the agents and inter-agent communication is assumed to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Soummya Kar , Jose' M. F. Moura , H. Vincent Poor

A recently new intelligent optimization algorithm called discrete state transition algorithm is considered in this study, for solving unconstrained integer optimization problems. Firstly, some key elements for discrete state transition…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Xiaojun Zhou

We examine the use of synchronization as a mechanism for extracting parameter and state information from experimental systems. We focus on important aspects of this problem that have received little attention previously, and we explore them…

This paper studies the estimation and inference of treatment effects in panel data settings when treatments change dynamically over time. We propose a balancing method that allows for (i) treatments to be assigned dynamically over time…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Davide Viviano , Jelena Bradic

This paper addresses data-driven control of continuous-time systems. We develop a framework based on synthesis operators associated with input and state trajectories. A key advantage of the proposed method is that it does not require the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Masashi Wakaiki

Safety control of dynamical systems using barrier functions relies on knowing the full state information. This paper introduces a novel approach for safety control in uncertain MIMO systems with partial state information. The proposed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-01 Binghan He , Takashi Tanaka
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