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Stability selection is a versatile framework for structure estimation and variable selection in high-dimensional setting, primarily grounded in frequentist principles. In this paper, we propose an enhanced methodology that integrates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mahdi Nouraie , Connor Smith , Samuel Muller

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

Relative State Estimation perform mutually localization between two mobile agents undergoing six-degree-of-freedom motion. Based on the principle of circular motion, the estimation accuracy is sensitive to nonlinear rotations of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Ruican Xia , Hailong Pei

We extend the notion of estimation entropy of autonomous dynamical systems proposed by Liberzon and Mitra [1] to nonlinear dynamical systems with uncertain inputs with bounded variation. We call this new notion the {$\epsilon$}-estimation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-14 Hussein Sibai , Sayan Mitra

Spatio-temporal processes in environmental applications are often assumed to follow a Gaussian model, possibly after some transformation. However, heterogeneity in space and time might have a pattern that will not be accommodated by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-15 Thaís C. O. da Fonseca , Viviana G. R. Lobo , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Differential equations based on physical principals are used to represent complex dynamic systems in all fields of science and engineering. Through repeated use in both academics and industry, these equations have been shown to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-08 Joshua S. North , Christopher K. Wikle , Erin M. Schliep

We propose a distributed algorithm to solve a dynamic programming problem with multiple agents, where each agent has only partial knowledge of the state transition probabilities and costs. We provide consensus proofs for the presented…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-19 Nikolaus Vertovec , Kostas Margellos

Many economic variables feature changes in their conditional mean and volatility, and Time Varying Vector Autoregressive Models are often used to handle such complexity in the data. Unfortunately, when the number of series grows, they…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 G. Cubadda , S. Grassi , B. Guardabascio

A novel approach to solve the problem of distributed state estimation of linear time-invariant systems is proposed in this paper. It relies on the application of parameter estimation-based observers, where the state observation task is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-28 Romeo Ortega , Emmanuel Nuño , Alexei Bobtsov

In this work, a strategy to estimate the information transfer between the elements of a complex system, from the time series associated to the evolution of this elements, is presented. By using the nearest neighbors of each state, the local…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-05 P. Garcia , R. Mujica

State estimation and sensor selection problems for nonlinear networks and systems are ubiquitous problems that are important for the control, monitoring, analysis, and prediction of a large number of engineered and physical systems. Sensor…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-23 Aleksandar Haber

A large variety of dynamical systems, such as chemical and biomolecular systems, can be seen as networks of nonlinear entities. Prediction, control, and identification of such nonlinear networks require knowledge of the state of the system.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-27 Aleksandar Haber , Ferenc Molnar , Adilson E. Motter

We study a general class of dynamic multi-agent decision problems with asymmetric information and non-strategic agents, which includes dynamic teams as a special case. When agents are non-strategic, an agent's strategy is known to the other…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-12-05 Hamidreza Tavafoghi , Yi Ouyang , Demosthenis Teneketzis

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

Text-based sentiment indicators are widely used to monitor public and market mood, but weekly sentiment series are noisy by construction. A main reason is that the amount of relevant news changes over time and across categories. As a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Ian Carbó Casals

The internal state of a dynamical system, a set of variables that defines its evolving configuration, is often hidden and cannot be fully measured, posing a central challenge for real-time monitoring and control. While observers are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-09 Yuan Zhang , Ziyuan Luo , Wenxuan Xu , Jiayu Wu , Wenqi Cao , Ranbo Cheng , Tingting Qin , Yuanqing Xia , Mohamed Darouach , Aming Li , Tyrone Fernando

Theoretical studies have shown that stochasticity can affect the dynamics of ecosystems in counter-intuitive ways. However, without knowing the equations governing the dynamics of populations or ecosystems, it is difficult to ascertain the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-24 Arshed Nabeel , Ashwin Karichannavar , Shuaib Palathingal , Jitesh Jhawar , David B. Brückner , Danny Raj M. , Vishwesha Guttal

Data valuation has garnered increasing attention in recent years, given the critical role of high-quality data in various applications. Among diverse data valuation approaches, Shapley value-based methods are predominant due to their strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Xiaoling Zhou , Ou Wu , Michael K. Ng , Hao Jiang

State-space models are used in a wide range of time series analysis formulations. Kalman filtering and smoothing are work-horse algorithms in these settings. While classic algorithms assume Gaussian errors to simplify estimation, recent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Jonathan Jonker , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Sarah Webster

In this paper it is showed that if a time-varying uncertain system is robustly completely detectable then there exists an estimator for this system, i.e. we can estimate asymptotically the state vector of the system. Moreover, if a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Iasson Karafyllis , Costas Kravaris
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