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We study the problem of constructing honest and adaptive confidence intervals for the tail coefficient in the second order Pareto model, when the second order coefficient is unknown. This problem is translated into a testing problem on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-18 Alexandra Carpentier , Arlene K. H. Kim

Nonparametric series regression often involves specification search over the tuning parameter, i.e., evaluating estimates and confidence intervals with a different number of series terms. This paper develops pointwise and uniform inferences…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-26 Byunghoon Kang

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

A class of estimating functions is introduced for the regression parameter of the Cox proportional hazards model to allow unknown failure statuses on some study subjects. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the resulting estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Irene Gijbels , Danyu Lin , Zhiliang Ying

Given observations from a circular random variable contaminated by an additive measurement error, we consider the problem of minimax optimal goodness-of-fit testing in a non-asymptotic framework. We propose direct and indirect testing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Sandra Schluttenhofer , Jan Johannes

This paper shows how the theory of nonlinear adaptive observers can be effectively used in the design of internal models for nonlinear output regulation. The theory substantially enhances the existing results in the context of {\em…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Francesco Delli Priscoli , Lorenzo Marconi , Alberto Isidori

The increasing popularity of regression discontinuity methods for causal inference in observational studies has led to a proliferation of different estimating strategies, most of which involve first fitting non-parametric regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-11 Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

Transfer learning for nonparametric regression is considered. We first study the non-asymptotic minimax risk for this problem and develop a novel estimator called the confidence thresholding estimator, which is shown to achieve the minimax…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-24 T. Tony Cai , Hongming Pu

We consider the nonparametric estimation problem of time-dependent multivariate functions observed in a presence of additive cylindrical Gaussian white noise of a small intensity. We derive minimax lower bounds for the $L^2$-risk in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-02 Jérémie Bigot , Theofanis Sapatinas

Tolerance intervals provide bounds that contain a specified proportion of a population with a given confidence level, yet their construction remains challenging when parametric assumptions fail or sample sizes are small. Traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Tony Pourmohamad , Robert Richardson , Bruno Sansó

The problem of behaviour prediction for linear parameter-varying systems is considered in the interval framework. It is assumed that the system is subject to uncertain inputs and the vector of scheduling parameters is unmeasurable, but all…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Edouard Leurent , Denis Efimov , Tarek Raïssi , Wilfrid Perruquetti

We consider non-parametric estimation problems in the presence of dependent data, notably non-parametric regression with random design and non-parametric density estimation. The proposed estimation procedure is based on a dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

We propose several prediction intervals procedures for the individual treatment effect with either finite-sample or asymptotic coverage guarantee in a non-parametric regression setting, where non-linear regression functions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-03 Danijel Kivaranovic , Robin Ristl , Martin Posch , Hannes Leeb

We propose a new adaptive hypothesis test for inequality (e.g., monotonicity, convexity) and equality (e.g., parametric, semiparametric) restrictions on a structural function in a nonparametric instrumental variables (NPIV) model. Our test…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-08 Christoph Breunig , Xiaohong Chen

In adaptive clinical trials, the conventional confidence interval (CI) for a treatment effect is prone to undesirable properties such as undercoverage and potential inconsistency with the final hypothesis testing decision. Accordingly, as…

In econometrics, many parameters of interest can be written as ratios of expectations. The main approach to construct confidence intervals for such parameters is the delta method. However, this asymptotic procedure yields intervals that may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Alexis Derumigny , Lucas Girard , Yannick Guyonvarch

Nonlinear expectation, including sublinear expectation as its special case, is a new and original framework of probability theory and has potential applications in some scientific fields, especially in finance risk measure and management.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-15 Lu Lin , Yufeng Shi , Xin Wang , Shuzhen Yang

Having a regression model, we are interested in finding two-sided intervals that are guaranteed to contain at least a desired proportion of the conditional distribution of the response variable given a specific combination of predictors. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Mohammad Ghasemi Hamed , Mathieu Serrurier , Nicolas Durand

Lyapunov stability theory is the bedrock of direct adaptive control. Fundamentally, Lyapunov stability requires constructing a distance-like function which must decrease with time to ensure stability. Feedback linearization, backstepping,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-18 Brett T. Lopez , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine

We consider nonparametric regression under covariate shift, where we observe samples from both the target distribution and a related but distinct source distribution. We introduce a novel object, the transfer function, and show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Petr Zamolodtchikov