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The minimax theory for estimating linear functionals is extended to the case of a finite union of convex parameter spaces. Upper and lower bounds for the minimax risk can still be described in terms of a modulus of continuity. However in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low

Adaptive confidence intervals for regression functions are constructed under shape constraints of monotonicity and convexity. A natural benchmark is established for the minimum expected length of confidence intervals at a given function in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-27 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low , Yin Xia

We consider the problem of adaptive inference on a regression function at a point under a multivariate nonparametric regression setting. The regression function belongs to a H\"older class and is assumed to be monotone with respect to some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Koohyun Kwon , Soonwoo Kwon

Adaptive estimation of linear functionals over a collection of parameter spaces is considered. A between-class modulus of continuity, a geometric quantity, is shown to be instrumental in characterizing the degree of adaptability over two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low

Confidence sets play a fundamental role in statistical inference. In this paper, we consider confidence intervals for high dimensional linear regression with random design. We first establish the convergence rates of the minimax expected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo

We provide general adaptive upper bounds for estimating nonparametric functionals based on second order U-statistics arising from finite dimensional approximation of the infinite dimensional models. We then provide examples of functionals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Lin Liu , Rajarshi Mukherjee , James Robins , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

A theory of superefficiency and adaptation is developed under flexible performance measures which give a multiresolution view of risk and bridge the gap between pointwise and global estimation. This theory provides a useful benchmark for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low

Since Stein's 1956 seminal paper, shrinkage has played a fundamental role in both parametric and nonparametric inference. This article discusses minimaxity and adaptive minimaxity in nonparametric function estimation. Three interrelated…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-23 T. Tony Cai

We construct honest confidence regions for a Hilbert space-valued parameter in various statistical models. The confidence sets can be centered at arbitrary adaptive estimators, and have diameter which adapts optimally to a given selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 James Robins , Aad van der Vaart

Optimal estimation and inference for both the minimizer and minimum of a convex regression function under the white noise and nonparametric regression models are studied in a nonasymptotic local minimax framework, where the performance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 T. Tony Cai , Ran Chen , Yuancheng Zhu

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for nonparametric functional data analysis using empirical likelihood. In this doubly infinite-dimensional context, we demonstrate the Wilks's phenomenon and propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-07 Heng Lian

We propose a framework for analyzing the sensitivity of counterfactuals to parametric assumptions about the distribution of latent variables in structural models. In particular, we derive bounds on counterfactuals as the distribution of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-26 Timothy Christensen , Benjamin Connault

In the need for low assumption inferential methods in infinite-dimensional settings, Bayesian adaptive estimation via a prior distribution that does not depend on the regularity of the function to be estimated nor on the sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-23 Catia Scricciolo

We provide adaptive confidence intervals on a parameter of interest in the presence of nuisance parameters when some of the nuisance parameters have known signs. The confidence intervals are adaptive in the sense that they tend to be short…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-20 Philipp Ketz , Adam McCloskey

The paper considers so-called adaptive estimations of regression, distribution density and spectral density of a Gaussian stationary sequence, asymptotically optimal in order at a growing number of observation on any regular subspace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

We present a robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) framework for nonlinear continuous-time systems with bounded parametric uncertainty and additive disturbance. We utilize general control contraction metrics (CCMs) to parameterize…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-12 András Sasfi , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

The problem of constructing confidence sets that are adaptive in L^2-loss over a continuous scale of Sobolev classes of probability densities is considered. Adaptation holds, where possible, with respect to both the radius of the Sobolev…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Adam D. Bull , Richard Nickl

This paper introduces a parameter adaptation-based control law for a class of nonlinear, control-affine, safety-critical systems subject to additive, parameter-affine model uncertainty. It is shown that the uncertainty is learned in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-02 Mitchell Black , Ehsan Arabi , Dimitra Panagou

A prediction interval covers a future observation from a random process in repeated sampling, and is typically constructed by identifying a pivotal quantity that is also an ancillary statistic. Analogously, a tolerance interval covers a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Geoffrey S Johnson

This work presents a new sufficient condition for synthesizing nonlinear controllers that yield bounded closed-loop tracking error transients despite the presence of unmatched uncertainties that are concurrently being learned online. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-23 Samuel G. Gessow , Brett T. Lopez
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