Related papers: Processing Uncertainty and Indeterminacy in Inform…
Motivated by certain applications from physics, biochemistry, economics, and computer science, in which the objects under investigation are not accessible because of various limitations, we propose a trial-and-error model to examine…
When systems use data-based models that are based on machine learning (ML), errors in their results cannot be ruled out. This is particularly critical if it remains unclear to the user how these models arrived at their decisions and if…
The uncertainty quantification and risk modeling are hot topics in the operation and planning of energy systems. The system operators and planners are decision-makers that need to handle the uncertainty of input data of their models. As an…
Accurate software cost and schedule estimation are essential for software project success. Often it referred to as the "black art" because of its complexity and uncertainty, software estimation is not as difficult or puzzling as people…
The growing integration of large language models across professional domains transforms how experts make critical decisions in healthcare, education, and law. While significant research effort focuses on getting these systems to communicate…
This paper argues the need for research to realize uncertainty-aware artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI\&ML) systems for decision support by describing a number of motivating scenarios. Furthermore, the paper defines…
This paper presents NeutroSENSE, a neutrosophic-enhanced ensemble framework for interpretable intrusion detection in IoT environments. By integrating Random Forest, XGBoost, and Logistic Regression with neutrosophic logic, the system…
Language models (LMs) can perform complex reasoning either end-to-end, with hidden latent state, or compositionally, with transparent intermediate state. Composition offers benefits for interpretability and safety, but may need workflow…
A general notion of information-related complexity applicable to both natural and man-made systems is proposed. The overall approach is to explicitly consider a rational agent performing a certain task with a quantifiable degree of success.…
We consider solving linear optimization (LO) problems with uncertain objective coefficients. For such problems, we often employ robust optimization (RO) approaches by introducing an uncertainty set for the unknown coefficients. Typical RO…
Context: Successfully addressing stakeholder concerns that are related to software system development and operation is crucial to achieving development goals. The importance of using a systematic approach to addressing these concerns…
IT systems of today are becoming larger and more complex, rendering their human supervision more difficult. Artificial Intelligence for IT Operations (AIOps) has been proposed to tackle modern IT administration challenges thanks to AI and…
The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…
The scheduling problem is a key class of optimization problems and has various kinds of applications both in practical and theoretical scenarios. In the scheduling problem, probabilistic analysis is a basic tool for investigating…
The comprehensive integration of machine learning healthcare models within clinical practice remains suboptimal, notwithstanding the proliferation of high-performing solutions reported in the literature. A predominant factor hindering…
This work investigates the role of uncertainty in Slay the Spire using an information-theoretic framework. Focusing on the entropy of game paths (which are based on procedurally-generated maps) we analyze how randomness influences player…
Uncertainty is a pervasive challenge in decision and risk management and it is usually studied by quantification and modeling. Interestingly, engineers and other decision makers usually manage uncertainty with strategies such as…
Complex events originate from other primitive events combined according to defined patterns and rules. Instead of using specialists' manual work to compose the model rules, we use machine learning (ML) to self-define these patterns and…
Useless paths are a chronic problem for marker-passing techniques. We use a probabilistic analysis to justify a method for quickly identifying and rejecting useless paths. Using the same analysis, we identify key conditions and assumptions…
Understanding the uncertainty of a neural network's (NN) predictions is essential for many purposes. The Bayesian framework provides a principled approach to this, however applying it to NNs is challenging due to large numbers of parameters…