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Uncertainty Sampling is an Active Learning strategy that aims to improve the data efficiency of machine learning models by iteratively acquiring labels of data points with the highest uncertainty. While it has proven effective for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Dominik Fuchsgruber , Tom Wollschläger , Bertrand Charpentier , Antonio Oroz , Stephan Günnemann

When collaborating with an AI system, we need to assess when to trust its recommendations. If we mistakenly trust it in regions where it is likely to err, catastrophic failures may occur, hence the need for Bayesian approaches for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Federico Cerutti , Lance M. Kaplan , Angelika Kimmig , Murat Sensoy

In system development, epistemic uncertainty is an ever-present possibility when reasoning about the causal factors during hazard analysis. Such uncertainty is common when complicated systems interact with one another, and it is dangerous…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Chris Leong , Tim Kelly , Rob Alexander

Quantitative characterizations and estimations of uncertainty are of fundamental importance in optimization and decision-making processes. Herein, we propose intuitive scores, which we call certainty and doubt, that can be used in both a…

Robustness of linear systems with constant coefficients is considered. There exist methods and tools for analyzing the stability of systems with random or deterministic uncertainties. At the same time, there are no approaches for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Andrey Tremba

The apparent dichotomy between information-processing and dynamical approaches to complexity science forces researchers to choose between two diverging sets of tools and explanations, creating conflict and often hindering scientific…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-26 Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando E. Rosas , Juan Carlos Farah , Murray Shanahan , Daniel Bor , Adam B. Barrett

Event data, often stored in the form of event logs, serve as the starting point for process mining and other evidence-based process improvements. However, event data in logs are often tainted by noise, errors, and missing data. Recently, a…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-04-11 Marco Pegoraro , Merih Seran Uysal , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

The map-matching is an essential preprocessing step for most of the trajectory-based applications. Although it has been an active topic for more than two decades and, driven by the emerging applications, is still under development. There is…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Pingfu Chao , Yehong Xu , Wen Hua , Xiaofang Zhou

Information exploration tasks are inherently complex, ill-structured, and involve sequences of actions usually spread over many sessions. When exploring a dataset, users tend to experiment higher degrees of uncertainty, mostly raised by…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Thiago Nunes , Daniel Schwabe

Energy infrastructure planning under uncertainty has become increasingly complex as electrification, interdependence between energy carriers, decarbonization, and extreme weather events reshape long-term investment decisions. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Rahman Khorramfar , Aron Brenner , Lara Booth , Ana Rivera , Ruaridh Macdonald , Priya Donti , Saurabh Amin

With the widespread adoption of process mining in organizations, the field of process science is seeing an increase in the demand for ad-hoc analysis techniques of non-standard event data. An example of such data are uncertain event data:…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-11 Marco Pegoraro

The objective of this work is to quantify the uncertainty in probability of failure estimates resulting from incomplete knowledge of the probability distributions for the input random variables. We propose a framework that couples the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Michael Shields

A crucial step in fitting a regression model to data is determining the model's structure, i.e., the subset of explanatory variables to be included. However, the uncertainty in this step is often overlooked due to a lack of satisfactory…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Ryan Martin , Naomi Singer , Jonathan Williams

Interpreting uncertain data can be difficult, particularly if the data presentation is complex. We investigate the efficacy of different modalities for representing data and how to combine the strengths of each modality to facilitate the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Chase Stokes , Chelsea Sanker , Bridget Cogley , Vidya Setlur

Software development projects management is a complex endeavor because it requires dealing with numerous unforeseen events that constantly arise along the way and that go against the expectations that had been established at the beginning.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Fernando Pinciroli

Recent advances in autonomous driving are moving towards mapless approaches, where High-Definition (HD) maps are generated online directly from sensor data, reducing the need for expensive labeling and maintenance. However, the reliability…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Zongzheng Zhang , Xuchong Qiu , Boran Zhang , Guantian Zheng , Xunjiang Gu , Guoxuan Chi , Huan-ang Gao , Leichen Wang , Ziming Liu , Xinrun Li , Igor Gilitschenski , Hongyang Li , Hang Zhao , Hao Zhao

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification for an unknown low-rank matrix $\mathbf{X}$, given a partial and noisy observation of its entries. This quantification of uncertainty is essential for many real-world problems, including…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-28 Henry Shaowu Yuchi , Simon Mak , Yao Xie

Developing machine learning enabled smart manufacturing is promising for composite structures assembly process. To improve production quality and efficiency of the assembly process, accurate predictive analysis on dimensional deviations and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-24 Cheolhei Lee , Jianguo Wu , Wenjia Wang , Xiaowei Yue

In this paper, we extend the recent body of work on planning under uncertainty to include the fact that sensors may not provide any measurement owing to misdetection. This is caused either by adverse environmental conditions that prevent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2013-09-17 Shaunak D. Bopardikar , Brendan J. Englot , Alberto Speranzon

Quantification of the impact of uncertainty in material properties as well as the input ground motion on structural responses is an important step in implementing a performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework. Among various…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-12 Mohammad Amin Hariri-Ardebili , Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Siamak Sattar