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Attempts to replicate probabilistic reasoning in expert systems have typically overlooked a critical ingredient of that process. Probabilistic analysis typically requires extensive judgments regarding interdependencies among hypotheses and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Marvin S. Cohen

Future urban transportation concepts include a mixture of ground and air vehicles with varying degrees of autonomy in a congested environment. In such dynamic environments, occupancy maps alone are not sufficient for safe path planning.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Ransalu Senanayake , Kyle Beltran Hatch , Jason Zheng , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Neutrosophic Statistics means statistical analysis of population or sample that has indeterminate (imprecise, ambiguous, vague, incomplete, unknown) data. For example, the population or sample size might not be exactly determinate because…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-06-10 Florentin Smarandache

This paper presents a novel framework for characterizing dissipativity of uncertain systems whose dynamics evolve according to differential-algebraic equations. Sufficient conditions for dissipativity (specializing to, e.g., stability or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-13 Emily Jensen , Neelay Junnarkar , Murat Arcak , Xiaofan Wu , Suat Gumussoy

Estimating the uncertainty in (probabilistic) image registration enables, e.g., surgeons to assess the operative risk based on the trustworthiness of the registered image data. If surgeons receive inaccurately calculated registration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-27 Jie Luo , Alireza Sedghi , Karteek Popuri , Dana Cobzas , Miaomiao Zhang , Frank Preiswerk , Matthew Toews , Alexandra Golby , Masashi Sugiyama , William M. Wells , Sarah Frisken

Turning pass-through network architectures into iterative ones, which use their own output as input, is a well-known approach for boosting performance. In this paper, we argue that such architectures offer an additional benefit: The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Nikita Durasov , Doruk Oner , Jonathan Donier , Hieu Le , Pascal Fua

Assessing uncertainty is an important step towards ensuring the safety and reliability of machine learning systems. Existing uncertainty estimation techniques may fail when their modeling assumptions are not met, e.g. when the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Stefano Ermon

AI has been dealing with uncertainty to have highly accurate results. This becomes even worse with reasonably small data sets or a variation in the data sets. This has far-reaching effects on decision-making, forecasting and learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Keivan Shariatmadar

Inverse optimization (IO) is used to estimate unknown parameters of an optimization model from observed decisions. In the data-driven context, the estimated parameters are inherently uncertain, yet quantifying this uncertainty has received…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Nathan Sandholtz , Nasrin Yousefi

Security engineering in the software lifecycle aims at protecting information and systems to guarantee confidentiality, integrity, and availability. As security engineering matures and the number of research papers grows, there is an…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-01-23 Michael Felderer , Jeffrey C. Carver

Imprecise-information processing will play an indispensable role in intelligent systems, especially in the anthropomorphic intelligent systems (as intelligent robots). A new theoretical and technological system of imprecise-information…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-10-11 Shiyou Lian

The Improbability Scale (IS) is proposed as a way of communicating to the general public the improbability (and by implication, the probability) of events predicted as the result of scientific research. Through the use of the Improbability…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 David J. Ritchie

This paper deals with developing tests for checking whether an unknown system has certain structural properties. The tests that we are aiming at are in terms of noisy input-state-output data obtained from the unknown system. Since, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Jaap Eising , Harry Trentelman

Stereo matching plays a crucial role in various applications, where understanding uncertainty can enhance both safety and reliability. Despite this, the estimation and analysis of uncertainty in stereo matching have been largely overlooked.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Wenxiao Cai , Dongting Hu , Ruoyan Yin , Jiankang Deng , Huan Fu , Wankou Yang , Mingming Gong

Deep neural networks have seen enormous success in various real-world applications. Beyond their predictions as point estimates, increasing attention has been focused on quantifying the uncertainty of their predictions. In this review, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Chengyu Dong

Several recent works encourage the use of a Bayesian framework when assessing performance and fairness metrics of a classification algorithm in a supervised setting. We propose the Uncertainty Matters (UM) framework that generalizes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-03 Ainhize Barrainkua , Paula Gordaliza , Jose A. Lozano , Novi Quadrianto

As large language models (LLMs) continue to evolve, understanding and quantifying the uncertainty in their predictions is critical for enhancing application credibility. However, the existing literature relevant to LLM uncertainty…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Hsiu-Yuan Huang , Yutong Yang , Zhaoxi Zhang , Sanwoo Lee , Yunfang Wu

Quantifying and managing uncertainties that occur when data-driven models such as those provided by AI and machine learning methods are applied is crucial. This whitepaper provides a brief motivation and first overview of the state of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Michael Kläs

The paper investigates whether and how AI systems can realize states of uncertainty. By adopting a functionalist and behavioral perspective, it examines how symbolic, connectionist and hybrid architectures make room for uncertainty. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Luis Rosa

We present a novel, input-output data-driven approach to uncertainty model identification. As the true bounds and distributions of system uncertainties ultimately remain unknown, we depart from the goal of identifying the uncertainty model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-29 Jannes Hühnerbein , Jad Wehbeh , Eric C. Kerrigan
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