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This paper presents a law of large numbers result, as the size of the population tends to infinity, of SIR stochastic epidemic models, for a population distributed over $L$ distinct patches (with migrations between them) and $K$ distinct…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Raphaël Forien , Guodong Pang , Étienne Pardoux

Data-driven epidemic simulation helps better policymaking. Compared with macro-scale simulations driven by statistical data, individual-level GPS data can afford finer and spatialized results. However, the big GPS data, usually collected…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Guixu Lin , Defan Feng , Peiran Li , Yicheng Zhao , Haoran Zhang , Xuan Song

A directed percolation process with two symmetric particle species exhibiting exclusion in one dimension is investigated numerically. It is shown that if the species are coupled by branching ($A\to AB$, $B\to BA$) a continuous phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Geza Odor

We introduce an interacting particle system that models the spread of an epidemic in terms of heterogeneous diffusive dynamics, rather than exogenous contact and transmission rates at the population level as in classical compartmental…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Eliana Fausti , Andreas Sojmark

We study a spatially explicit harvesting model in periodic or bounded environments. The model is governed by a parabolic equation with a spatially dependent nonlinearity of Kolmogorov--Petrovsky--Piskunov type, and a negative external…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Lionel Roques , Mickaël D. Chekroun

The mean size of exponentially dividing E. coli cells cultured in different nutrient conditions is known to depend on the mean growth rate only. However, the joint fluctuations relating cell size, doubling time and individual growth rate…

We propose a model for evolution aiming to reproduce statistical features of fossil data, in particular the distributions of extinction events, the distribution of species per genus and the distribution of lifetimes, all of which are known…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-06-06 Peter Klimek , Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel

The talk presented at ICMP 97 focused on the scaling limits of critical percolation models, and some other systems whose salient features can be described by collections of random lines. In the scaling limit we keep track of features seen…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Aizenman

We study a simple case of the susceptible-weakened-infected-removed model in regular random graphs in a situation where an epidemic starts from a finite fraction of initially infected nodes (seeds). Previous studies have shown that,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-03 Takehisa Hasegawa , Koji Nemoto

The crossover behavior of various models exhibiting phase transition to absorbing phase with parity conserving class has been investigated by numerical simulations and cluster mean-field method. In case of models exhibiting Z_2 symmetric…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Geza Odor , Nora Menyhard

In this paper, we focus on the influence of heterogeneity and stochasticity of the population on the dynamical structure of a basic susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model. First we prove that, upon a suitable mathematical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Andreas Widder , Christian Kuehn

We are interested in modeling some two-level population dynamics, resulting from the interplay of ecological interactions and phenotypic variation of individuals (or hosts) and the evolution of cells (or parasites) of two types living in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-21 Sylvie Méléard , Sylvie Roelly

Recent experimental results on spike avalanches measured in the urethane-anesthetized rat cortex have revealed scaling relations that indicate a phase transition at a specific level of cortical firing rate variability. The scaling relations…

We study the susceptible-infective-recovered (SIR) epidemic on a random graph chosen uniformly subject to having given vertex degrees. In this model infective vertices infect each of their susceptible neighbours, and recover, at a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Svante Janson , Malwina Luczak , Peter Windridge

When a small number of individuals of organism of single species is confined in a closed space with limited amount of indispensable resources, their breading may start initially under suitable conditions, and after peaking, the population…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Ryoitiro Huzimura , Toyoki Matsuyama

Percolation is the simplest fundamental model in statistical mechanics that exhibits phase transitions signaled by the emergence of a giant connected component. Despite its very simple rules, percolation theory has successfully been applied…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-09 Abbas Ali Saberi

The outcome of SIR epidemics with heterogeneous infective lifetimes, or heterogeneous susceptibilities, can be mapped onto a directed percolation process on the underlying contact network. In this paper we study SIR models where…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-01 G. J. Baxter , G. Timár

We present a population control method with sampling and regulation steps for Monte Carlo particles involved in the numerical simulation of a transport equation. We recall in the first section the difficulties related to the variance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Laetitia Laguzet , Gabriel Turinici

In this paper we introduce a novel description of the equilibrium state of a bond percolation process on random graphs using the exact method of generating functions. This allows us to find the expected size of the giant connected component…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-20 Peter Mann , V. Anne Smith , John Mitchell , Simon Dobson

We study the phase diagram and critical behavior of the one-dimensional pair contact process (PCP) with a particle source using cluster approximations and extensive simulations. The source creates isolated particles only, not pairs, and so…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Wilson R. M. Rabelo , Geza Odor
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