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A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

We present a unifying, consistent, finite-size-scaling picture for percolation theory bringing it into the framework of a general, renormalization-group-based, scaling scheme for systems above their upper critical dimensions $d_c$.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-16 Ralph Kenna , Bertrand Berche

In a recent study [arXiv:1011.3254] the contact process with a modified creation rate at a single site was shown to exhibit a non-universal scaling behavior with exponents varying with the creation rate at the special site. In the present…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-03-01 Andre Cardoso Barato , Haye Hinrichsen

Some epidemics have been empirically observed to exhibit outbreaks of all possible sizes, i.e., to be scalefree or scale-invariant. Different explanations for this finding have been put forward; among them there is a model for "accidental…

Biological Physics · Physics 2011-09-06 Oscar A. Pinto , Miguel A. Muñoz

In an important paper, M.E.J. Newman claimed that a general network-based stochastic Susceptible-Infectious-Removed (SIR) epidemic model is isomorphic to a bond percolation model, where the bonds are the edges of the contact network and the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

Originally motivated by the morphogenesis of bacterial microcolonies, the aim of this article is to explore models through different scales for a spatial population of interacting, growing and dividing particles. We start from a microscopic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Marie Doumic , Sophie Hecht , Marc Hoffmann , Diane Peurichard

In this chapter of the e-book "Self-Organized Criticality Systems" we summarize some theoretical approaches to self-organized criticality (SOC) phenomena that involve percolation as an essential key ingredient. Scaling arguments, random…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-07-24 Alexander V. Milovanov

The first chapter concerns monotype population models. We first study general birth and death processes and we give non-explosion and extinction criteria, moment computations and a pathwise representation. We then show how different scales…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-06 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard

A controlled branching process (CBP) is a modification of the standard Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process in which the number of progenitors in each generation is determined by a random mechanism. We consider a CBP starting from a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-26 González , M. , Martín-Chávez , P. , del Puerto , I

We build networks of genetic similarity in which the nodes are organisms sampled from biological populations. The procedure is illustrated by constructing networks from genetic data of a marine clonal plant. An important feature in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-23 E. Hernandez-Garcia , A. F. Rozenfeld , V. M. Eguiluz , S. Arnaud-Haond , C. M. Duarte

Realistic modeling of ecological population dynamics requires spatially explicit descriptions that can take into account spatial heterogeneity as well as long-distance dispersal. Here, we present Monte Carlo simulations and numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-07 R. Juhász , I. A. Kovács

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

In J. Shao et al., PRL 103, 108701 (2009) the authors claim that a model with majority rule coarsening exhibits in d=2 a percolation transition in the universality class of invasion percolation with trapping. In the present comment we give…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-11 A. Sattari , M. Paczuski , P. Grassberger

We consider the emergent behavior of viral spread when agents in a large population interact with each other over a contact network. When the number of agents is large and the contact network is a complete graph, it is well known that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-13 Anirudh Sridhar , Soummya Kar

We introduce a solvable model of randomly growing systems consisting of many independent subunits. Scaling relations and growth rate distributions in the limit of infinite subunits are analysed theoretically. Various types of scaling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Misako Takayasu , Hayafumi Watanabe , Hideki Takayasu

Disease control is of paramount importance in public health with infectious disease extinction as the ultimate goal. Although diseases may go extinct due to random loss of effective contacts where the infection is transmitted to new…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-15 Lora Billings , Luis Mier-y-Teran-Romero , Brandon Lindley , Ira B. Schwartz

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 in Mainland China is characterized by a distinctive algebraic, sub-exponential increase of confirmed cases during the early phase of the epidemic, contrasting an initial exponential growth expected for an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-12 Benjamin F. Maier , Dirk Brockmann

We introduce a broad class of spatial models to describe how spatially heterogeneous populations live, die, and reproduce. Individuals are represented by points of a point measure, whose birth and death rates can depend both on spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Alison M. Etheridge , Thomas G. Kurtz , Ian Letter , Peter L. Ralph , Terence Tsui Ho Lung

This survey concerns the study of quasi-stationary distributions with a specific focus on models derived from ecology and population dynamics. We are concerned with the long time behavior of different stochastic population size processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Sylvie Méléard , Denis Villemonais

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House
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