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Inspired by the recent viral epidemic outbreak and its consequent worldwide pandemic, we devise a model to capture the dynamics and the universality of the spread of such infectious diseases. The transition from a pre-critical to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-21 Mohadeseh Feshanjerdi , Abbas Ali Saberi

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

Critical, or scale independent, systems are so ubiquitous, that gaining theoretical insights on their nature and properties has many direct repercussions in social and natural sciences. In this report, we start from the simplest possible…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-07 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard , Louis J. Dubé

We analyze the properties of Degree-Ordered Percolation (DOP), a model in which the nodes of a network are occupied in degree-descending order. This rule is the opposite of the much studied degree-ascending protocol, used to investigate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-18 Annalisa Caligiuri , Claudio Castellano

In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent p-coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-26 Steven P. Lalley

The renowned general epidemic process describes the stochastic evolution of a population of individuals which are either susceptible, infected or dead. A second order phase transition belonging to the universality class of dynamic isotropic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Hans-Karl Janssen , Martin Mueller , Olaf Stenull

In this paper, we outline the theory of epidemic percolation networks and their use in the analysis of stochastic SIR epidemic models on undirected contact networks. We then show how the same theory can be used to analyze stochastic SIR…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

Population-size dependent branching processes (PSDBP) and controlled branching processes (CBP) are two classes of branching processes widely used to model biological populations that exhibit logistic growth. In this paper we develop…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-03 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , James Kerlidis

A simple model of biological extinction with variable system size is presented that exhibits a power-law distribution of extinction event sizes. The model is a generalization of a model recently introduced by Newman (Proc. R. Soc. Lond.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 C. Wilke , T. Martinetz

Pathogen introduction in plant communities can cause serious impact and biodiversity losses that may take long time to manage and restore. Effective control of epidemic spreading in the wild is a problem of paramount importance, because of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-15 Ignacio Taguas , José A. Capitán , Juan C. Nuño

A sandpile model with stochastic toppling rule is studied. The control parameters and the phase diagram are determined through a MF approach, the subcritical and critical regions are analyzed. The model is found to have some similarities…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Alexei Vazquez , Oscar Sotolongo-Costa

A new model ecosystem consisting of many interacting species is introduced. The species are connected through a random matrix with a given connectivity. It is shown that the system is organized close to a boundary of marginal stability in…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Ricard V. Sole , David Alonso , Alan McKane

Most infectious diseases including more than half of known human pathogens are not restricted to just one host, yet much of the mathematical modeling of infections has been limited to a single species. We investigate consequences of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-30 Sergei Maslov , Kim Sneppen

Deterministic rate equations are widely used in the study of stochastic, interacting particles systems. This approach assumes that the inherent noise, associated with the discreteness of the elementary constituents, may be neglected when…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-01-26 David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

We analyse the cluster discovered by invasion percolation on a branching process with a power-law offspring distribution. Invasion percolation is a paradigm model of self-organised criticality, where criticality is approached without tuning…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-20 Rowel Gündlach , Remco van der Hofstad

We prove existence of the scaling limit of the invasion percolation cluster (IPC) on a regular tree. The limit is a random real tree with a single end. The contour and height functions of the limit are described as certain diffusive…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-05 Omer Angel , Jesse Goodman , Mathieu Merle

Near the beginning of the century, Wright and Fisher devised an elegant, mathematically tractable model of gene reproduction and replacement that laid the foundation for contemporary population genetics. The Wright-Fisher model and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Todd L. Parsons

We formulate a general SEIR epidemic model in a heterogenous population characterized by some trait in a discrete or continuous subset of a space R d. The incubation and recovery rates governing the evolution of each homogenous…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Luís Almeida , Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Grégoire Nadin , Benoît Perthame , Nicolas Vauchelet

We derive a central limit theorem for a spatial $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot model with fluctuating population size. At each reproduction, a proportion of the population dies and is replaced by a not necessarily equal mass of new individuals. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Raphaël Forien , Bastian Wiederhold

In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent $p-$coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Steven P. Lalley