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Reinforced processes are known to provide a stochastic representation for the quasi-stationary distribution of a given killed Markov process - describing the killed Markov process at fixed time instants. In this paper we shall adapt the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Oliver Tough

Filtering---estimating the state of a partially observable Markov process from a sequence of observations---is one of the most widely studied problems in control theory, AI, and computational statistics. Exact computation of the posterior…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Bhaskara Marthi , Hanna Pasula , Stuart Russell , Yuval Peres

In this work, we focus on the stationary analysis of a specific class of continuous time Markov-modulated reflected random walks in the quarter plane with applications in the modelling of two-node Markov-modulated queueing networks with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Ioannis Dimitriou

Master equations are common descriptions of mesoscopic systems. Analytical solutions to these equations can rarely be obtained. We here derive an analytical approximation of the time-dependent probability distribution of the master equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-05 Philipp Thomas , Ramon Grima

We give two results for deducing dynamical properties of piecewise M\"obius interval maps from their related planar extensions. First, eventual expansivity and the existence of an ergodic invariant probability measure equivalent to Lebesgue…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Kariane Calta , Cor Kraaikamp , Thomas A. Schmidt

We study the almost sure convergence of the occupation measure of evolution models where mutation rates decrease over time. We show that if the mutation parameter vanishes at a controlled rate, then the empirical occupation measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Michel Benaïm , Mario Bravo , Mathieu Faure

We explore the concept of a consistent exchangeable survival process - a joint distribution of survival times in which the risk set evolves as a continuous-time Markov process with homogeneous transition rates. We show a correspondence with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

We introduce a Markov chain for sampling from the uniform distribution on a Riemannian manifold $\mathcal{M}$, which we call the $\textit{geodesic walk}$. We prove that the mixing time of this walk on any manifold with positive sectional…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Oren Mangoubi , Aaron Smith

Let $(M,d,\mu)$ be a uniformly discrete metric measure space satisfying space homogeneous volume doubling condition. We consider discrete time Markov chains on $M$ symmetric with respect to $\mu$ and whose one-step transition density is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Mathav Murugan , Laurent Saloff-Coste

By viewing the $N$-simplex as the set of positions of $N-1$ ordered particles on the unit interval, the adjacent walk is the continuous time Markov chain obtained by updating independently at rate 1 the position of each particle with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Pietro Caputo , Cyril Labbé , Hubert Lacoin

We show how to map the states of an ergodic Markov chain to Euclidean space so that the squared distance between states is the expected commuting time. We find a minimax characterization of commuting times, and from this we get monotonicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-27 Peter G. Doyle , Jean Steiner

Consider a sequence (indexed by n) of Markov chains Z^n in R^d characterized by transition kernels that approximately (in n) depend only on the rescaled state n^{-1} Z^n. Subject to a smoothness condition, such a family can be closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-17 Kamil Szczegot

What can one say on convergence to stationarity of a finite state Markov chain that behaves "locally" like a nearest neighbor random walk on ${\mathbb Z}$ ? The model we consider is a version of nearest neighbor lazy random walk on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Iddo Ben-Ari , Hugo Panzo , Elizabeth Tripp

We revisit the classical problem of approximating a stochastic differential equation by a discrete-time and discrete-space Markov chain. Our construction iterates Caratheodory's theorem over time to match the moments of the increments…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Francesco Cosentino , Harald Oberhauser , Alessandro Abate

This work develops a rigorous framework for analysing ergodicity and mixing in time-inhomogeneous quantum dynamics. It considers quantum evolutions generated by sequences of quantum channels and examines in detail the relationship between…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-03-25 Abdessatar Souissi

We introduce the concept of a Markov influence system (MIS) and analyze its dynamics. An MIS models a random walk in a graph whose edges and transition probabilities change endogenously as a function of the current distribution. This…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-03-28 Bernard Chazelle

Consider a piecewise smooth expanding map of the interval possessing several invariant subintervals and the same number of ergodic absolutely continuous invariant probability measures (ACIMs). After this system is perturbed to make the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-11-25 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Paul Wright

We consider Markovian models on graphs with local dynamics. We show that, under suitable conditions, such Markov chains exhibit both rapid convergence to equilibrium and strong concentration of measure in the stationary distribution. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-30 Malwina J. Luczak

Consider a filtering process associated to a hidden Markov model with densities for which both the state space and the observation space are complete, separable, metric spaces. If the underlying, hidden Markov chain is strongly ergodic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Thomas Kaijser

Consider a continuous time Markov chain with rates Q in the state space \Lambda\cup\{0\} with 0 as an absorbing state. In the associated Fleming-Viot process N particles evolve independently in \Lambda with rates Q until one of them…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Amine Asselah , Pablo A. Ferrari , Pablo Groisman
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