On the occupation measure of evolution models with vanishing mutations
Probability
2026-04-30 v2
Abstract
We study the almost sure convergence of the occupation measure of evolution models where mutation rates decrease over time. We show that if the mutation parameter vanishes at a controlled rate, then the empirical occupation measure converges almost surely to a specific invariant distribution of a limiting Markov chain. Our results are obtained through the analysis of a larger class of time-inhomogeneous Markov chains with finite state space, where the control on the mutation parameter is explained by the energy barrier of the limit process. Additionally, we derive an explicit convergence rate, explained through the tree-optimality gap, that may be of independent interest.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2602.06829,
title = {On the occupation measure of evolution models with vanishing mutations},
author = {Michel Benaïm and Mario Bravo and Mathieu Faure},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.06829},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
32 pages, typos corrected, former Propositions 1 and 2 merged now