English

Toward a Theory of Markov Influence Systems and their Renormalization

Multiagent Systems 2019-03-28 v3 Probability Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems

Abstract

We introduce the concept of a Markov influence system (MIS) and analyze its dynamics. An MIS models a random walk in a graph whose edges and transition probabilities change endogenously as a function of the current distribution. This article consists of two independent parts: in the first one, we generalize the standard classification of Markov chain states to the time-varying case by showing how to "parse" graph sequences; in the second part, we use this framework to carry out the bifurcation analysis of a few important MIS families. We show that, in general, these systems can be chaotic but that irreducible MIS are almost always asymptotically periodic. We give an example of "hyper-torpid" mixing, where a stationary distribution is reached in super-exponential time, a timescale beyond the reach of any Markov chain.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1802.01208,
  title  = {Toward a Theory of Markov Influence Systems and their Renormalization},
  author = {Bernard Chazelle},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1802.01208},
  year   = {2019}
}