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In this work we propose an adaptive multilevel version of subset simulation to estimate the probability of rare events for complex physical systems. Given a sequence of nested failure domains of increasing size, the rare event probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-13 Daniel Elfverson , Robert Scheichl , Simon Weissmann , F. Alejandro DiazDelaO

We present a general mathematical framework for trajectory stratification for simulating rare events. Trajectory stratification involves decomposing trajectories of the underlying process into fragments limited to restricted regions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-15 Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Jeremy O. B. Tempkin , Brian Van Koten , Jonathan Weare

We present an approach for flux analysis in process algebra models of biological systems. We perceive flux as the flow of resources in stochastic simulations. We resort to an established correspondence between event structures, a broadly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2010-02-23 Ozan Kahramanoğullari

This article analyzes and compares two general techniques of rare event simulation for generating paths of Markov processes over fixed time horizons: exponential tilting and stochastic bridge. These two methods allow to accurately compute…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-27 Javier Aguilar , Riccardo Gatto

By their very nature, rare event probabilities are expensive to compute; they are also delicate to estimate as their value strongly depends on distributional assumptions on the model parameters. Hence, understanding the sensitivity of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Michael Merritt , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre Gremaud

Finding and sampling rare trajectories in dynamical systems is a difficult computational task underlying numerous problems and applications. In this paper we show how to construct Metropolis- Hastings Monte Carlo methods that can…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-10-16 Jorge C. Leitao , Joao M. Viana Parente Lopes , Eduardo G. Altmann

In this paper, we consider an importance sampling problem for a certain rare-event simulations involving the behavior of a diffusion process pertaining to a chain of distributed systems with random perturbations. We also assume that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Getachew K. Befekadu

Exploiting stochastic path integral theory, we obtain \emph{by simulation} substantial gains in efficiency for the computation of reaction rates in one-dimensional, bistable, overdamped stochastic systems. Using a well-defined measure of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Daniel M. Zuckerman , Thomas B. Woolf

A method is presented which allows for a tremendous speed-up of computer simulations of statistical systems by orders of magnitude. This speed-up is achieved by means of a new observable, while the algorithm of the simulation remains…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 M. Kastner , J. D. Munoz , M. Promberger

Many important chemical and biochemical processes in the condensed phase are notoriously difficult to simulate numerically. Often this difficulty arises from the complexity of simulating dynamics resulting from coupling to structured,…

The accurate and robust simulation of transcritical real-fluid flows is crucial for many engineering applications. Diffused interface methods are frequently employed and several numerical schemes have been developed for simulating…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-12-08 Peter C. Ma , Hao Wu , Daniel T. Banuti , Matthias Ihme

The paper presents a new efficient and robust method for rare event probability estimation for computational models of an engineering product or a process returning categorical information only, for example, either success or failure. For…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Miroslav Vořechovský

The goal of this paper is to develop provably efficient importance sampling Monte Carlo methods for the estimation of rare events within the class of linear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We find that if a spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Computing reactive trajectories and free energy (FE) landscapes associated to rare event kinetics is key to understanding the dynamics of complex systems. The analysis of the FE surface on which the underlying dynamics takes place has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-05 François Sicard

This Perspective describes current computational efforts in the field of simulating photodynamics of transition metal complexes. We present the typical workflows and feature the strengths and limitations of the different contemporary…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-07-27 J. Patrick Zobel , Leticia Gonzalez

Recent advances in steady-state analysis of power systems have introduced the equivalent split-circuit approach and corresponding continuation methods that can reliably find the correct physical solution of large-scale power system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Martin R. Wagner , Amritanshu Pandey , Marko Jereminov , Larry Pileggi

We consider here systems with piecewise linear dynamics that are periodically sampled with a given period {\tau} . At each sampling time, the mode of the system, i.e., the parameters of the linear dynamics, can be switched, according to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-11-15 Laurent Fribourg , Bertrand Revol , Romain Soulat

We present a common framework to study decay and exchanges rates in a wide class of dynamical systems. Several applications, ranging form the metric theory of continuons fractions and the Shannon capacity of contrained systems to the decay…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Gerhard Keller , Carlangelo Liverani

We analyse features of the patterns formed from a simple model for a martensitic phase transition. This is a fragmentation model that can be encoded by a general branching random walk. An important quantity is the distribution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-19 Pierluigi Cesana , Ben Hambly

We formulate theoretical modeling approaches and develop practical computational simulation methods for investigating the non-equilibrium statistical mechanics of fluid interfaces with passive and active immersed particles. Our approaches…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-10-03 Dev Jasuja , Paul J. Atzberger