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Infection by many viruses begins with fusion of viral and cellular lipid membranes, followed by entry of viral contents into the target cell and ultimately, after many biochemical steps, integration of viral DNA into that of the host cell.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-10 Bhaven Mistry , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Nicholas E. Webb , Benhur Lee , Tom Chou

We consider multiple diseases spreading in a static Configuration Model network. We make standard assumptions that infection transmits from neighbor to neighbor at a disease-specific rate and infected individuals recover at a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Joel C. Miller

In this research, we have derived a mathematical model for within human dynamics of COVID-19 infection using delay differential equations. The new model considers a 'latent period' and 'the time for immune response' as delay parameters,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Amar N. Chatterjee , Teklebirhan Abraha , Fahad Al Basir , Delfim F. M. Torres

Traditional epidemic models consider that individual processes occur at constant rates. That is, an infected individual has a constant probability per unit time of recovering from infection after contagion. This assumption certainly fails…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-18 Guillermo Abramson , Sebastian Gonçalves , Marcelo F. C. Gomes

At present, the best hope for eliminating HIV transmission and bringing the epidemic of HIV to an end lies in the use of anti-retroviral therapy for prevention, a strategy referred to variously as Test and Treat (T&T), Treatment as…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-06 Brian G. Williams

We study the growth of a population of bacteria in a dynamical hostile environment corresponding to the immune system of the colonised organism. The immune cells evolve as subcritical open clusters of oriented percolation and are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-07 Olivier Garet , Régine Marchand

Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

Arboviruses represent a significant threat to human, animal, and plant health worldwide. To elucidate transmission, anticipate their spread and efficiently control them, mechanistic modelling has proven its usefulness. However, most models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-06 Léa Loisel , Vincent Raquin , Maxime Ratinier , Pauline Ezanno , Gaël Beaunée

In this work, we aim to understand the influence of the heterogeneity of infection rates on the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic spreading. Employing the classic SIS model as the benchmark, we study the influence of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-06 Bo Qu , Huijuan Wang

We introduce a model for the spreading of epidemics by long-range infections and investigate the critical behaviour at the spreading transition. The model generalizes directed bond percolation and is characterized by a probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Haye Hinrichsen , Martin Howard

HIV dynamical models are often based on non-linear systems of ordinary differential equations (ODE), which do not have analytical solution. Introducing random effects in such models leads to very challenging non-linear mixed-effects models.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-03 D. Commenges , D. Jolly , H. Putter , R. Thiebaut

Infectious disease dynamics operate across multiple biological scales, with within-host viral dynamics being a key driver of between-host transmission. However, while models that explicitly link these scales exist, none have been developed…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Dylan J. Morris , Lauren Kennedy , Andrew J. Black

Intrapatient HIV-1 evolution is dominated by selection on the protein level in the arms race with the adaptive immune system. When cytotoxic CD8+ T-cells or neutralizing antibodies target a new epitope, the virus often escapes via…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-25 Fabio Zanini , Richard A. Neher

We model hypothetical bio-dispersal within a single Galactic region using the stochastic infection dynamics process, which is inspired by these local properties of life dispersal on Earth. We split the population of stellar systems into…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-27 Andjelka B. Kovacevic

We study the spread of susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) infectious diseases where an individual's infectiousness and probability of recovery depend on his/her "age" of infection. We focus first on early outbreak stages when stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-05-14 Joel Miller , Bahman Davoudi , Rafael Meza , Anja Slim , Babak Pourbohloul

In contrast to the common assumption in epidemic models that the rate of infection between individuals is constant, in reality, an individual's viral load determines their infectiousness. We compare the average and individual reproductive…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 Nicholas Landry

We explore the emergence of persistent infection in a patch of population, where the disease progression of the individuals is given by the SIRS model and an individual becomes infected on contact with another infected individual. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-08 Vidit Agrawal , Promit Moitra , Sudeshna Sinha

We establish a stochastic HIV/AIDS model for the individuals with protection awareness and reveal how the protection awareness plays its important role in the control of AIDS. We firstly show that there exists a global positive solution for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Xuanpei Zhai , Wenshuang Li , Fengying Wei , Xuerong Mao

We introduce a model for the evolution of sexually transmitted diseases, in which the social behavior is incorporated as a determinant factor for the further propagation of the infection. The system may be regarded as a society of agents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Sebatian Goncalves , Marcelo Kuperman

Bootstrap percolation is a process that is used to model the spread of an infection on a given graph. In the model considered here each vertex is equipped with an individual threshold. As soon as the number of infected neighbors exceeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou