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Related papers: A model for complex aftershock sequences

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Very often damage and fracture in heterogeneous materials exhibit bursty dynamics made of successive impulse-like events which form characteristic aftershock sequences obeying specific scaling laws initially derived in seismology:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-07 Jonathan Barés , Daniel Bonamy , Alberto Rosso

With the help of the Diffusion Entropy technique we show the non-Poisson statistics of the distances between consecutive Omori's swarms of earthquakes. We give an analytical proof of the numerical results of an earlier paper…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 L. Palatella , P. Allegrini , P. Grigolini , V. Latora , M. S. Mega , A. Rapisarda , S. Vinciguerra

The dynamical behavior of the currency exchange rate after its large-scale catastrophe is discussed through a case study of the rate of Russian rubles to US dollars after its crash in 2014. It is shown that, similarly to the case of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-16 Vasilya Usmanova , Yury V. Lysogorskiy , Sumiyoshi Abe

A discretized version of the Burridge-Knopoff train model with (non-linear friction force replaced by) random pinning is studied in one and two dimensions. A scale free distribution of avalanches and the Omori law type behaviour for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-09-26 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Purusattam Ray , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

Long sequences of slidings of solid blocks on an inclined rough surface submitted to small controlled perturbations are examined and scaling relations are found for the time distribution of slidings between pairs of large events as well as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 E. J. R. Parteli , M. A. F. Gomes , E. Montarroyos , V. P. Brito

The acoustic emission activity associated with recent rock fracture experiments under different conditions has indicated that some features of event-event triggering are independent of the details of the experiment and the materials used…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-01-17 Jordi Baró , Jörn Davidsen

The Multifractal Stress-Activated (MSA) model is a statistical model of triggered seismicity based on mechanical and thermodynamic principles. It predicts that, above a triggering magnitude cut-off $M_0$, the exponent $p$ of the Omori law…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-06-13 G. Ouillon , E. Ribeiro , D. Sornette

Static and dynamic stress changes in the Earth's crust induced by an earthquake typically trigger other earthquakes. Identifying such aftershocks is an important step in seismic hazard assessment but has remained challenging, especially in…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-14 Andreu Puy , Jordi Baró , Jörn Davidsen , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

Computational earthquake sequence models provide generative estimates of the time, location, and size of synthetic seismic events that can be compared with observed earthquake histories and assessed as rupture forecasts. Here we describe a…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-17 Brendan J. Meade

The paper provides a synoptic overview of a series of works carried out by a group of researchers at the Institute of Physics of the Earth RAS with the aim of finding new approaches to the problems of earthquake physics. The fundamental…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-10 A. V. Guglielmi , A. D. Zavyalov , O. D. Zotov , B. I. Klain

The aftershock productivity law, first described by Utsu in 1970, is an exponential function of the form K=K0.exp({\alpha}M) where K is the number of aftershocks, M the mainshock magnitude, and {\alpha} the productivity parameter. The Utsu…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-03-30 Arnaud Mignan

The fundamentals of the phenomenological theory of aftershocks are presented. The theory contains an original concept of the proper time of the earthquake source, the course of which, generally speaking, differs from the course of world…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-10-03 A. V. Guglielmi

Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

It has been long stated that there are profound analogies between fracture experiments and earthquakes; however, few works attempt a complete characterization of the parallelisms between these so separate phenomena. We study the Acoustic…

We discuss the statistical properties of index returns in a financial market just after a major market crash. The observed non-stationary behavior of index returns is characterized in terms of the exceedances over a given threshold. This…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Properties of the Olami-Feder-Christensen (OFC) model of earthquakes are studied by numerical simulations. The previous study indicated that the model exhibits ``asperity''-like phenomena, {\it i.e.}, the same region ruptures many times…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Hikaru Kawamura , Takumi Yamamoto , Takeshi Kotani , Hajime Yoshino

In statistical seismology, the Epidemic Type Aftershocks Sequence (ETAS) model is a branching process used world-wide to forecast earthquake intensity rates and reproduce many statistical features observed in seismicity catalogs. In this…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-01-09 Lorenzo Cristofaro , Roberto Garra , Enrico Scalas , Ilaria Spassiani

Point processes have been dominant in modeling the evolution of seismicity for decades, with the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model being most popular. Recent advances in machine learning have constructed highly flexible point…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-04 Samuel Stockman , Daniel J. Lawson , Maximilian J. Werner

We study earthquake interval time statistics, paying special attention to inter-occurrence times in the two-dimensional (2D) stick-slip (block-slider) model. Inter-occurrence times are the time interval between successive earthquakes on all…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-23 Tomohiro Hasumi , Yoji Aizawa

We analyze 21 aftershock sequences of California to test for evidence of space-time diffusion. Aftershock diffusion may result from stress diffusion and is also predicted by any mechanism of stress weakening. Here, we test an alternative…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-26 Agnes Helmstetter , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette
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