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This paper gives a theoretical analysis of high dimensional linear discrimination of Gaussian data. We study the excess risk of linear discriminant rules. We emphasis on the poor performances of standard procedures in the case when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-19 Robin Girard

We explore the applicability of the causal analysis based on temporally shifted (lagged) Pearson correlation applied to diverse time series of different natures in context of the problem of financial market prediction. Theoretical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Anton Kolonin , Ali Raheman , Mukul Vishwas , Ikram Ansari , Juan Pinzon , Alice Ho

Gaussianization is a simple generative model that can be trained without backpropagation. It has shown compelling performance on low dimensional data. As the dimension increases, however, it has been observed that the convergence speed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Felix Draxler , Lars Kühmichel , Armand Rousselot , Jens Müller , Christoph Schnörr , Ullrich Köthe

Long-term outcomes are often unavailable in randomized clinical trials, although short-term surrogate outcomes are commonly observed. External observational data may contain the long-term outcome, but causal comparisons based on such data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Ziyang Liu , Niwen Zhou , Peng Wu , Xu Guo

Regression for spatially dependent outcomes poses many challenges, for inference and for computation. Non-spatial models and traditional spatial mixed-effects models each have their advantages and disadvantages, making it difficult for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-02 John Hughes

We introduce two types of ordinal pattern dependence between time series. Positive (resp. negative) ordinal pattern dependence can be seen as a non-paramatric and in particular non-linear counterpart to positive (resp. negative)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-26 Alexander Schnurr

On a high-frequency scale the time series are not homogeneous, therefore standard correlation measures can not be directly applied to the raw data. There are two ways to deal with this problem. The time series can be homogenised through an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Ovidiu Precup , Giulia Iori

Much of the on-going statistical analysis of DNA sequences is focused on the estimation of characteristics of coding and non-coding regions that would possibly allow discrimination of these regions. In the current approach, we concentrate…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 D. Kugiumtzis , A. Provata

Research into time series classification has tended to focus on the case of series of uniform length. However, it is common for real-world time series data to have unequal lengths. Differing time series lengths may arise from a number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-11 Chang Wei Tan , Francois Petitjean , Eamonn Keogh , Geoffrey I. Webb

It is well known that correlations in microarray data represent a serious nuisance deteriorating the performance of gene selection procedures. This paper is intended to demonstrate that the correlation structure of microarray data provides…

Applications · Statistics 2007-12-18 Lev Klebanov , Andrei Yakovlev

One of the main challenges in surrogate modeling is the limited availability of data due to resource constraints associated with computationally expensive simulations. Multi-fidelity methods provide a solution by chaining models in a…

Surrogate endpoints play an important role in drug development when they can be used to measure treatment effect early compared to the final clinical outcome and to predict clinical benefit or harm. Such endpoints are assessed for their…

Bayesian posterior distributions arising in modern applications, including inverse problems in partial differential equation models in tomography and subsurface flow, are often computationally intractable due to the large computational cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-10 Tapio Helin , Andrew Stuart , Aretha Teckentrup , Konstantinos Zygalakis

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

Scaling analysis of the magnitude series (volatile series) has been proposed recently to identify possible nonlinear/multifractal signatures in the given data [1-3]. In this letter, correlations of volatile series generated from stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

Two numerical methods are proposed for detection of coupling between multiple time series generated by deterministic nonlinear systems. The first detects interdependence or the existence of coupling between time series. The second…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-07 Timothy Sauer , George Sugihara

It is demonstrated how to generate time series with tailored nonlinearities by inducing well- defined constraints on the Fourier phases. Correlations between the phase information of adjacent phases and (static and dynamic) measures of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-10-21 C. Raeth , I. Laut

Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Dongwei Ye , Weihao Yan , Christoph Brune , Mengwu Guo

Estimating causal effects under exogeneity hinges on two key assumptions: unconfoundedness and overlap. Researchers often argue that unconfoundedness is more plausible when more covariates are included in the analysis. Less discussed is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Alexander D'Amour , Peng Ding , Avi Feller , Lihua Lei , Jasjeet Sekhon

Time series prediction is a widespread and well studied problem with applications in many domains (medical, geoscience, network analysis, finance, econometry etc.). In the case of multivariate time series, the key to good performances is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Darko Drakulic , Jean-Marc Andreoli