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In this paper, we consider testing the martingale difference hypothesis for high-dimensional time series. Our test is built on the sum of squares of the element-wise max-norm of the proposed matrix-valued nonlinear dependence measure at…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-15 Jinyuan Chang , Qing Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

We compare two theoretically distinct approaches to generating artificial (or ``surrogate'') data for testing hypotheses about a given data set. The first and more straightforward approach is to fit a single ``best'' model to the original…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 James Theiler , Dean Prichard

Given the long follow-up periods that are often required for treatment or intervention studies, the potential to use surrogate markers to decrease the required follow-up time is a very attractive goal. However, previous studies have shown…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-12 Layla Parast , Tianxi Cai , Lu Tian

We present a Bayesian surrogate model for the analysis of periodic or quasi-periodic time series data. We describe a computationally efficient implementation that enables Bayesian model comparison. We apply this model to simulated and real…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-21 Eric B. Ford , Althea V. Moorhead , Dimitri Veras

Hypothesis testing based on surrogate data has emerged as a popular way to test the null hypothesis that a signal is a realization of a linear stochastic process. Typically, this is done by generating surrogates which are made to conform to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-08-12 Diego Guarin , Alvaro Orozco , Edilson Delgado

The method of constrained randomisation is applied to three-dimensional simulated galaxy distributions. With this technique we generate for a given data set surrogate data sets which have the same linear properties as the original data…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 C. Raeth , W. Bunk , M. Huber , G. Morfill , J. Retzlaff , P. Schuecker

We provide universality results that quantify how data augmentation affects the variance and limiting distribution of estimates through simple surrogates, and analyze several specific models in detail. The results confirm some observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Kevin Han Huang , Peter Orbanz , Morgane Austern

This paper considers the surrogate modeling of a complex numerical code in a multifidelity framework when the code output is a time series. Using an experimental design of the low-and high-fidelity code levels, an original Gaussian process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Baptiste Kerleguer

We generalize the method of surrogate data of testing for nonlinearity in time series to the case that the data are sampled with uneven time intervals. The null hypothesis will be that the data have been generated by a linear stochastic…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Andreas Schmitz , Thomas Schreiber

In many data sets, crucial elements co-exist with non-essential ones and noise. For data represented as networks in particular, several methods have been proposed to extract a "network backbone", i.e., the set of most important links.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Charley Presigny , Petter Holme , Alain Barrat

High dimensional time series datasets are becoming increasingly common in various fields such as economics, finance, meteorology, and neuroscience. Given this ubiquity of time series data, it is surprising that very few works on variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-17 Kashif Yousuf , Yang Feng

Study of time series data often involves measuring the strength of temporal dependence, on which statistical properties like consistency and central limit theorem are built. Historically, various dependence measures have been proposed. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Fang Han , Weibiao Wu

Surrogate models provide compact relations between user-defined input parameters and output quantities of interest, enabling the efficient evaluation of complex parametric systems in many-query settings. Such capabilities are essential in a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Matteo Giacomini , Pedro Díez

The finite sensitivity of instruments or detection methods means that data sets in many areas of astronomy, for example cosmological or exoplanet surveys, are necessarily systematically incomplete. Such data sets, where the population being…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-14 Adam B. Mantz

Surrogate testing techniques have been used widely to investigate the presence of dynamical nonlinearities, an essential ingredient of deterministic chaotic processes. Traditional surrogate testing subscribes to statistical hypothesis…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-18 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

Time series measured from real-world systems are generally noisy, complex and display statistical properties that evolve continuously over time. Here, we present a method that combines wavelet analysis and non-stationary surrogates to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Mario Chavez , Bernard Cazelles

We consider the limitations of two techniques for detecting nonlinearity in time series. The first technique compares the original time series to an ensemble of surrogate time series that are constructed to mimic the linear properties of…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 James Theiler , Paul S. Linsay , David M. Rubin

Contrastive representation learning encourages data representation to make semantically similar pairs closer than randomly drawn negative samples, which has been successful in various domains such as vision, language, and graphs. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Han Bao , Yoshihiro Nagano , Kento Nozawa

We consider a general nonlinear regression problem where the predictors contain measurement error. It has been recently discovered that several well-known dimension reduction methods, such as OLS, SIR and pHd, can be performed on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Bing Li , Xiangrong Yin

The concept of Granger causality is increasingly being applied for the characterization of directional interactions in different applications. A multivariate framework for estimating Granger causality is essential in order to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Angeliki Papana , Elsa Siggiridou , Dimitris Kugiumtzis