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The maximum likelihood estimation for a time-dependent nonstationary (NS) extreme value model is often too sensitive to influential observations, such as large values toward the end of a sample. Thus, alternative methods using L-moments…
This paper presents, in a unified fashion, deterministic as well as statistical Lagrangian-verification techniques. They formally quantify the behavioral robustness of any time-continuous process, formulated as a continuous-depth model. To…
The simulation of complex stochastic network dynamics arising, for instance, from models of coupled biomolecular processes remains computationally challenging. Often, the necessity to scan a models' dynamics over a large parameter space…
This work investigates variational frameworks for modeling stochastic dynamics in incompressible fluids, focusing on large-scale fluid behavior alongside small-scale stochastic processes. The authors aim to develop a coupled system of…
Estimation of nonlinear dynamic models from data poses many challenges, including model instability and non-convexity of long-term simulation fidelity. Recently Lagrangian relaxation has been proposed as a method to approximate simulation…
A central challenge in physics is to describe non-equilibrium systems driven by randomness, such as a randomly growing interface, or fluids subject to random fluctuations that account e.g. for local stresses and heat fluxes not related to…
We present a general numerical scheme for the practical implementation of statistical moment closures suitable for modeling complex, large-scale, nonlinear systems. Building on recently developed equation-free methods, this approach…
Nonlinear dynamic models are widely used for characterizing functional forms of processes that govern complex biological pathway systems. Over the past decade, validation and further development of these models became possible due to data…
We propose a family of models that enable predictive estimation of time-varying extreme event probabilities in heavy-tailed and nonlinearly dependent time series. The models are a white noise process with conditionally log-Laplace…
Understanding how nonequilibrium systems respond to perturbations is a central challenge in physics. In this work, we establish mutual linearity in nonequilibrium overdamped Langevin systems. This theory provides a framework for controlling…
We explore a new type of discretizations of lattice dynamical models of the Klein-Gordon type relevant to the existence and long-term mobility of nonlinear waves. The discretization is based on non-holonomic constraints and is shown to…
A wide body of work has applied the concept of critical slowing down to estimate the stability of different Earth system components. Most of them -- such as global vegetation -- are inherently non-stationary, for example due to strong…
We provide a fully nonlinear port-Hamiltonian formulation for discrete elastodynamical systems as well as a structure-preserving time discretization. The governing equations are obtained in a variational manner and represent index-1…
The paper addresses the problem of passivation of a class of nonlinear systems where the dynamics are unknown. For this purpose, we use the highly flexible, data-driven Gaussian process regression for the identification of the unknown…
We present a stochastic, time-discrete boolean model which mimics the mesoscopic dynamics of the desorption reactions $A+A\to A+S$ and $A+A\to S+S$ in a 1D lattice. In the continuous-time limit, we derive a hierarchy of dynamical equations…
Classical nonlinear dynamical systems are often characterized by their steady-state probability distribution functions (PDFs). Typically, PDFs are accumulated from numerical simulations that involve solving the underlying dynamical…
In this paper, a practicable simulation-free model order reduction method by nonlinear moment matching is developed. Based on the steady-state interpretation of linear moment matching, we comprehensively explain the extension of this…
We develop a method to approximate the moments of a discrete-time stochastic polynomial system. Our method is built upon Carleman linearization with truncation. Specifically, we take a stochastic polynomial system with finitely many states…
We consider the problem of finding nearly optimal solutions of optimization problems with random objective functions. Two concrete problems we consider are (a) optimizing the Hamiltonian of a spherical or Ising $p$-spin glass model, and (b)…
The Swift-Hohenberg fluid convection system with both local and nonlocal nonlinearities under the influence of white noise is studied. The objective is to understand the difference in the dynamical behavior in both local and nonlocal cases.…