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Related papers: Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo mode…

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Physics-based solar cycle predictions provide an effective way to verify our understanding of the solar cycle. Before the start of cycle 25, several physics-based solar cycle predictions were developed. These predictions use flux transport…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-08 Jie Jiang , Zebin Zhang , Kristóf Petrovay

A phenomenological model is presented for the quantitative description of individual solar cycles' features, such as onset, intensity, evolution, in terms of the number of M and X-class solar flares. The main elements of the model are the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-14 Eleni Petrakou

Here we study the prediction of even and odd numbered sunspot cycles separately, thereby taking into account the Hale cyclicity of solar magnetism. We first show that the temporal evolution and shape of all sunspot cycles are extremely well…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-11 Timo Asikainen , Jani Mantere

Prediction of the Sun's magnetic activity is important because of its effect on space environment and climate. However, recent efforts to predict the amplitude of the solar cycle have resulted in diverging forecasts with no consensus.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-12-07 Bidya Binay Karak , Dibyendu Nandy

The solar cycle and its associated magnetic activity are the main drivers behind changes in the interplanetary environment and Earth's upper atmosphere (commonly referred to as space weather and climate). In recent years there has been an…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-10-08 Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , Laura A. Balmaceda , Edward E. DeLuca

Solar activity and solar wind parameters decreased significantly in solar cycles (SCs) 23-24. In this paper, we analyze solar wind measurements at the rising phase of SC 25 and compare them with similar data from the previous cycles. For…

The solar cycle is a complex phenomenon. To comprehensively understand it, we have to study various tracers. The most important component of this complex is the solar dynamo, which is understood as self-excitation of the solar magnetic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-10 V. N. Obridko , A. S. Shibalova , D. D. Sokoloff

The Sun's surface field, especially the polar field, sets the boundary condition for the coronal and heliospheric magnetic fields, but also provides us insight into the dynamo process. The evolution of the polar fields results from the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-05 Jie Jiang , Jinbin Cao

Sunspots have been observed for over four centuries and the magnetic nature of sunspot cycles has been known for about a century; however, some of its underlying physics still remain elusive. It is known that the solar magnetic cycle…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-26 Priyansh Jaswal , Chitradeep Saha , Dibyendu Nandy

The record of solar activity is reviewed here with emphasis on peculiarities. Since sunspot positions tell us a lot more about the solar dynamo than the various global sunspot numbers, we first focus on the records of telescopic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 R. Arlt , N. Weiss

The magnetic activity of the Sun, as manifested in the sunspot cycle, originates deep within its convection zone through a dynamo mechanism which involves non-trivial interactions between the plasma and magnetic field in the solar interior.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Dibyendu Nandy

Human living environment is influenced by intense solar activity. The solar activity exhibits periodicity and regularity. Although many deep-learning models are currently used for solar cycle prediction, most of them are based on a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-04 Cui Zhao , Kun Liu , Shangbin Yang , Jinchao Xia , Jingxia Chen , Jie Ren , Shiyuan Liu , Fangyuan He

Solar activities have a great impact on modern high-tech systems, such as human aerospace, satellite communication and navigation, deep space exploration, and related scientific research. Therefore, studying the long - term evolution trend…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-21 Peixin Luo , Baolin Tan

In this review, we discuss whether the present solar dynamo models can be extrapolated to explain various aspects of stellar activity. We begin with a summary of the following kinds of data for solar-like stars: (i) data pertaining to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-09 Arnab Rai Choudhuri

We could infer a secular decreasing trend in the poloidal to toroidal solar magnetic flux amplification factor ( Af) using geomagnetic observations ( classic and IHV corrected aa indices) during the sunspot cycles 9-23. A similar decreasing…

General Physics · Physics 2010-12-23 T. E. Girish , G. Gopkumar

The meridional circulation of the Sun is observationally found to vary with the solar cycle, becoming slower during the solar maxima. We explain this by constructing a theoretical model in which the equation of the meridional circulation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-30 Gopal Hazra , Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Polar fields in solar cycle 23 were about 50% weaker than those in cycle 22. The only theoretical models which have addressed this puzzle are surface transport models and flux-transport dynamo models. Comparing polar fields obtained from…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 Mausumi Dikpati

This article reviews some of the leading results obtained in solar dynamo physics by using temporal oscillator models as a tool to interpret observational data and dynamo model predictions. We discuss how solar observational data such as…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-21 Ilídio Lopes , Dário Passos , Melinda Nagy , Kristof Petrovay

We compare spectra of the zonal harmonics of the large-scale magnetic field of the Sun using observation results and solar dynamo models. The main solar activity cycle as recorded in these tracers is a much more complicated phenomenon than…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-16 V. N. Obridko , V. V. Pipin , D. D. Sokoloff , A. S. Shibalova

The magnetic field of the Sun is generated by internal dynamo process with a cyclic period of 11 years or a 22 year magnetic cycle. The signatures of the Sun's magnetic cycle are observed in the different layers of its atmosphere and in its…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-26 Sandra V. Jeffers , Rene Kiefer , Travis S. Metcalfe