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We present a Bayesian hierarchical framework for a principled data analysis pipeline of peculiar velocity surveys, which makes explicit the inference problem of constraining cosmological parameters from redshift-independent distance…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-24 Lawrence Dam

The Bayesian evidence, crucial ingredient for model selection, is arguably the most important quantity in Bayesian data analysis: at the same time, however, it is also one of the most difficult to compute. In this paper we present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Stefano Rinaldi , Gabriele Demasi , Walter Del Pozzo , Otto A. Hannuksela

Many cosmological models have only a finite number of parameters of interest, but a very expensive data-generating process and an intractable likelihood function. We address the problem of performing likelihood-free Bayesian inference from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-14 Florent Leclercq

A Bayesian approach is presented for detecting and characterising the signal from discrete objects embedded in a diffuse background. The approach centres around the evaluation of the posterior distribution for the parameters of the discrete…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. P. Hobson , C. McLachlan

We present an introduction to some concepts of Bayesian data analysis in the context of atomic physics. Starting from basic rules of probability, we present the Bayes' theorem and its applications. In particular we discuss about how to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-30 Martino Trassinelli

Cosmological parameter uncertainties are often stated assuming a particular model, neglecting the model uncertainty, even when Bayesian model selection is unable to identify a conclusive best model. Bayesian model averaging is a method for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2010-12-23 David Parkinson , Andrew R. Liddle

We define an optimal basis system into which cosmological observables can be decomposed. The basis system can be optimised for a specific cosmological model or for an ensemble of models, even if based on drastically different physical…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2010-12-21 M. Maturi , C. Mignone

A probabilistic technique for the joint estimation of background and sources with the aim of detecting faint and extended celestial objects is described. Bayesian probability theory is applied to gain insight into the coexistence of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 F. Guglielmetti , R. Fischer , V. Dose

We extend field-level inference to jointly constrain the cosmological parameters $\{A,\omega_{\rm cdm},H_0\}$, in both real and redshift space. Our analyses are based on mock data generated using a perturbative forward model, with noise…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-25 Kazuyuki Akitsu , Marko Simonović , Shi-Fan Chen , Giovanni Cabass , Matias Zaldarriaga

Most parameter constraints obtained from cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy data are based on power estimates and rely on approximate likelihood functions; computational difficulties generally preclude an exact analysis based on…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 M. Douspis , J. G. Bartlett , A. Blanchard , M. Le Dour

Bayesian model selection provides the cosmologist with an exacting tool to distinguish between competing models based purely on the data, via the Bayesian evidence. Previous methods to calculate this quantity either lacked general…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 J. R. Shaw , M. Bridges , M. P. Hobson

Here we develop a method for performing nonparametric Bayesian inference on quantiles. Relying on geometric measure theory and employing a Hausdorff base measure, we are able to specify meaningful priors for the quantile while treating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-12 Luke Bornn , Neil Shephard , Reza Solgi

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor of the prior to posterior odds of two hypotheses, is a natural measure of statistical evidence for one hypothesis over the other. We show how Bayes factors can also be used for parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Samuel Pawel

We present a Bayesian hierarchical framework to analyze photometric galaxy survey data with stellar population synthesis (SPS) models. Our method couples robust modeling of spectral energy distributions with a population model and a noise…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-18 Boris Leistedt , Justin Alsing , Hiranya Peiris , Daniel Mortlock , Joel Leja

We discuss the use of the Bayesian evidence ratio, or Bayes factor, for model selection in astronomy. We treat the evidence ratio as a statistic and investigate its distribution over an ensemble of experiments, considering both simple…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 C. R. Jenkins , J. A. Peacock

The Bayesian Block algorithm, originally developed for applications in astronomy, can be used to improve the binning of histograms in high energy physics. The visual improvement can be dramatic, as shown here with two simple examples. More…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-14 Brian Pollack , Saptaparna Bhattacharya , Michael Schmitt

Gaussian graphical models typically assume a homogeneous structure across all subjects, which is often restrictive in applications. In this article, we propose a weighted pseudo-likelihood approach for graphical modeling which allows…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Sutanoy Dasgupta , Peng Zhao , Jacob Helwig , Prasenjit Ghosh , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

The advent of large data-set in cosmology has meant that in the past 10 or 20 years our knowledge and understanding of the Universe has changed not only quantitatively but also, and most importantly, qualitatively. Cosmologists rely on data…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Licia Verde

The general idea of determining cosmological parameters with gravitational lensing statistics is outlined, and then recent work---with an emphasis on applicability to all cosmological models, observational bias, better statistics and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-04-15 Phillip Helbig

The majority of present efforts to constrain cosmological parameters with cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy data employ approximate likelihood functions, the time consuming nature of a complete analysis being a major obstacle. We…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Douspis , J. G. Bartlett , A. Blanchard , M. Le Dour
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