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Bayesian field theory denotes a nonparametric Bayesian approach for learning functions from observational data. Based on the principles of Bayesian statistics, a particular Bayesian field theory is defined by combining two models: a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Lemm

Combining different observational probes, such as galaxy clustering and weak lensing, is a promising technique for unveiling the physics of the Universe with upcoming dark energy experiments. Whilst this strategy significantly improves…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-02 Rossana Ruggeri , Chris Blake

With several examples and in an analysis of the Pantheon+ supernova sample we discuss the properties of the marginal posterior distribution versus the profiled posterior distribution -- the profile likelihood in a Bayesian disguise. We…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-05 Martin Kerscher , Jochen Weller

The subject of this paper is a quantification of the information content of cosmological probes of the large-scale structures, specifically of temperature and polarisation anisotropies in the cosmic microwave background, CMB-lensing, weak…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-06 Ana Marta Pinho , Robert Reischke , Marie Teich , Björn Malte Schäfer

We perform a cosmographic analysis using several cosmological observables such as the luminosity distance moduli, the volume distance, the angular diameter distance and the Hubble parameter. These quantities are determined using different…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-05-30 Jun-Qing Xia , Vincenzo Vitagliano , Stefano Liberati , Matteo Viel

In the typical analysis of a data set, a single method is selected for statistical reporting even when equally applicable methods yield very different results. Examples of equally applicable methods can correspond to those of different…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-30 David R. Bickel

Bayesian networks provide a method of representing conditional independence between random variables and computing the probability distributions associated with these random variables. In this paper, we extend Bayesian network structures to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Eric Driver , Darryl Morrell

The histogram method is a powerful non-parametric approach for estimating the probability density function of a continuous variable. But the construction of a histogram, compared to the parametric approaches, demands a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-29 Hideaki Kim , Hiroshi Sawada

Focusing on the well motivated aperture mass statistics $\Map$, we study the possibility of constraining cosmological parameters using future space based SNAP class weak lensing missions. Using completely analytical results we construct the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dipak Munshi , Patrick Valageas

In recent years, constraints on the Hubble parameter using multiple dark sirens have been made,relying on a galaxy catalogue, correlations between the mass and redshift distributions, or both. Those studies have typically used only…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-17 Reiko Harada , Heather Fong , Kipp Cannon

We use cosmography to present constraints on the kinematics of the Universe, without postulating any underlying theoretical model. To this end, we use a Monte Carlo Markov Chain analysis to perform comparisons to the supernova Ia Union 2…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-05-30 Alejandro Aviles , Christine Gruber , Orlando Luongo , Hernando Quevedo

We derive a Bayesian framework for incorporating selection effects into population analyses. We allow for both measurement uncertainty in individual measurements and, crucially, for selection biases on the population of measurements, and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-04-10 Ilya Mandel , Will M. Farr , Jonathan R. Gair

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini

With the use of simulated supernova catalogs, we show that the statefinder parameters turn out to be poorly and biased estimated by standard cosmography. To this end, we compute their standard deviations and several bias statistics on…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-09 Alejandro Aviles , Jaime Klapp , Orlando Luongo

Cosmological weak lensing is the powerful probe of cosmology. Here we address one of the most fundamental, statistical questions inherent in weak lensing cosmology: whether or not we can recover the initial Gaussian information content of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-15 Masahiro Takada

This paper develops Bayesian sample size formulae for experiments comparing two groups. We assume the experimental data will be analysed in the Bayesian framework, where pre-experimental information from multiple sources can be represented…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-09 Haiyan Zheng , Thomas Jaki , James M. S. Wason

A common problem in natural sciences is the comparison of competing models in the light of observed data. Bayesian model comparison provides a statistically sound framework for this comparison based on the evidence each model provides for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-23 Jan Boelts

We revisit and generalize the concept of composite likelihood as a method to make a probabilistic inference by aggregation of multiple Bayesian agents, thereby defining a class of predictive models which we call composite Bayesian. This…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-18 Alexis Roche

This perspective chapter briefly surveys: (1) past growth in the use of Bayesian methods in astrophysics; (2) current misconceptions about both frequentist and Bayesian statistical inference that hinder wider adoption of Bayesian methods by…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-07 Thomas J. Loredo

Multi-connected universe models with space identification scales smaller than the size of the observable universe produce topological images of cosmic sources. We generalise to locally hyperbolic spaces the crystallographic method, aimed to…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-23 Jean-Philippe Uzan , Roland Lehoucq , Jean-Pierre Luminet
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