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Related papers: The Wasserstein cost of Importance Sampling

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This paper presents a unified approach based on Wasserstein distance to derive concentration bounds for empirical estimates for two broad classes of risk measures defined in the paper. The classes of risk measures introduced include as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat

In this paper, we study statistical inference for the Wasserstein distance, which has attracted much attention and has been applied to various machine learning tasks. Several studies have been proposed in the literature, but almost all of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-21 Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Ichiro Takeuchi

Let $M$ be a connected compact Riemannian manifold possibly with a boundary, let $V\in C^2(M)$ such that $\mu(\d x):=\e^{V(x)}\d x$ is a probability measure, where $\d x$ is the volume measure, and let $L=\Delta+\nabla V$. The exact…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-27 Feng-Yu Wang , Bingyao Wu

The marginal likelihood is a central tool for drawing Bayesian inference about the number of components in mixture models. It is often approximated since the exact form is unavailable. A bias in the approximation may be due to an incomplete…

Computation · Statistics 2014-11-14 Jeong Eun Lee , Christian P. Robert

The convergence rate in Wasserstein distance is estimated for empirical measures of ergodic Markov processes, and the estimate can be sharp in some specific situations. The main result is applied to subordinations of typical models excluded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Feng-Yu Wang

The squared Wasserstein distance is a natural quantity to compare probability distributions in a non-parametric setting. This quantity is usually estimated with the plug-in estimator, defined via a discrete optimal transport problem which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Lenaic Chizat , Pierre Roussillon , Flavien Léger , François-Xavier Vialard , Gabriel Peyré

This paper deals with the estimation of a probability measure on the real line from data observed with an additive noise. We are interested in rates of convergence for the Wasserstein metric of order $p\geq 1$. The distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-05 Jérôme Dedecker , Aurélie Fischer , Bertrand Michel

This paper deals with the Monte-Carlo methods for evaluating expectations of functionals of solutions to McKean-Vlasov Stochastic Differential Equations (MV-SDE) with drifts of super-linear growth. We assume that the MV-SDE is approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-15 Goncalo dos Reis , Greig Smith , Peter Tankov

The empirical distribution function assigns mass $1/n$ to each of the $n$ observations in a sample. As these are highly variable, estimation error may be reduced by replacing them with estimated observations that are asymptotically less…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tommaso Lando , Lorenzo Tedesco

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov

In this paper, for $\mu$ and $\nu$ two probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with finite moments of order $\rho\ge 1$, we define the respective projections for the $W_\rho$-Wasserstein distance of $\mu$ and $\nu$ on the sets of probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Aurélien Alfonsi , Jacopo Corbetta , Benjamin Jourdain

Impractical assumptions, an inherently myopic nature, and the crucial role of the initial design, all together contribute to making theoretical convergence proofs of little value in real-life Bayesian Optimization applications. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Antonio Candelieri , Francesco Archetti

We consider Ising mixed $p$-spin glasses at high-temperature and without external field, and study the problem of sampling from the Gibbs distribution $\mu$ in polynomial time. We develop a new sampling algorithm with complexity of the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Ahmed El Alaoui , Andrea Montanari , Mark Sellke

Importance sampling is often used in machine learning when training and testing data come from different distributions. In this paper we propose a new variant of importance sampling that can reduce the variance of importance sampling-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Philip S. Thomas , Emma Brunskill

Parameter estimation is a fundamental challenge in machine learning, crucial for tasks such as neural network weight fitting and Bayesian inference. This paper focuses on the complexity of estimating translation $\boldsymbol{\mu} \in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Valentio Iverson , Stephen Vavasis

Importance sampling is a popular technique in Bayesian inference: by reweighting samples drawn from a proposal distribution we are able to obtain samples and moment estimates from a Bayesian posterior over latent variables. Recent work,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-19 Sam Bowyer , Thomas Heap , Laurence Aitchison

Let $(M^n,g,f)$ be a Ricci shrinker such that $\textrm{Ric}_f=\frac{1}{2}g$ and the measure induced by the weighted volume element $(4\pi)^{-\frac{n}{2}}e^{-f}dv_{g}$ is a probability measure. Given a point $p\in M$, we consider two…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Franciele Conrado , Detang Zhou

Consider an empirical measure $\mathbb{P}_n$ induced by $n$ iid samples from a $d$-dimensional $K$-subgaussian distribution $\mathbb{P}$ and let $\gamma = N(0,\sigma^2 I_d)$ be the isotropic Gaussian measure. We study the speed of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Adam Block , Zeyu Jia , Yury Polyanskiy , Alexander Rakhlin

Importance sampling is a common technique for Monte Carlo approximation, including Monte Carlo approximation of p-values. Here it is shown that a simple correction of the usual importance sampling p-values creates valid p-values, meaning…

Computation · Statistics 2011-04-12 Matthew T. Harrison

The Wasserstein distance is a distance between two probability distributions and has recently gained increasing popularity in statistics and machine learning, owing to its attractive properties. One important approach to extending this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-14 Ryo Okano , Masaaki Imaizumi