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We explore efficient estimation of statistical quantities, particularly rare event probabilities, for stochastic reaction networks. Consequently, we propose an importance sampling (IS) approach to improve the Monte Carlo (MC) estimator…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Nadhir Ben Rached , Raúl Tempone , Sophia Wiechert

We extend the celebrated Stone's theorem to the framework of distributional regression. More precisely, we prove that weighted empirical distribution with local probability weights satisfying the conditions of Stone's theorem provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Clément Dombry , Thibault Modeste , Romain Pic

We investigate the Wasserstein distance between the empirical spectral distribution of non-Hermitian random matrices and the Circular Law. For general entry distributions, we obtain a nearly optimal rate of convergence in 1-Wasserstein…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Jonas Jalowy

We consider the sample efficient estimation of failure probabilities from expensive oracle evaluations of a limit state function via importance sampling (IS). In contrast to conventional ``two stage'' approaches, which first train a…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-10 Ashwin Renganathan , Annie S. Booth

Wasserstein distances define a metric between probability measures on arbitrary metric spaces, including meta-measures (measures over measures). The resulting Wasserstein over Wasserstein (WoW) distance is a powerful, but computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Moritz Piening , Robert Beinert

The coalescent is a foundational model of latent genealogical trees under neutral evolution, but suffers from intractable sampling probabilities. Methods for approximating these sampling probabilities either introduce bias or fail to scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Martina Favero , Jere Koskela

Sliced Wasserstein distances preserve properties of classic Wasserstein distances while being more scalable for computation and estimation in high dimensions. The goal of this work is to quantify this scalability from three key aspects: (i)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Sloan Nietert , Ritwik Sadhu , Ziv Goldfeld , Kengo Kato

We consider a sequence of identically independently distributed random samples from an absolutely continuous probability measure in one dimension with unbounded density. We establish a new rate of convergence of the $\infty-$Wasserstein…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Anning Liu , Jian-Guo Liu , Yulong Lu

We develop Wasserstein-based hypothesis tests for empirical-measure convergence in stationary dependent sequences. For a known candidate invariant measure, $\mu$, we study the statistic $T_n=\sqrt{n}\,W_1(\hat\mu_n,\mu)$ and establish…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-22 Alexander Yordanov , Peter Hristov

The asymptotic behaviour of empirical measures has plenty of studies. However, the research on conditional empirical measures is limited. Being the development of Wang \cite{eW1}, under the quadratic Wasserstein distance, we investigate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Huaiqian Li , Bingyao Wu

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

This paper studies convergence of empirical measures smoothed by a Gaussian kernel. Specifically, consider approximating $P\ast\mathcal{N}_\sigma$, for $\mathcal{N}_\sigma\triangleq\mathcal{N}(0,\sigma^2 \mathrm{I}_d)$, by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Ziv Goldfeld , Kristjan Greenewald , Yury Polyanskiy , Jonathan Weed

We consider sampling from a Gibbs distribution by evolving finitely many particles. We propose a preconditioned version of a recently proposed noise-free sampling method, governed by approximating the score function with the numerically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Hong Ye Tan , Stanley Osher , Wuchen Li

Standard rare-event simulation techniques require exact distributional specifications, which limits their effectiveness in the presence of distributional uncertainty. To address this, we develop a novel framework for estimating rare-event…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Dohyun Ahn , Huiyi Chen , Lewen Zheng

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

We consider the distributional connection between the lossy compressed representation of a high-dimensional signal $X$ using a random spherical code and the observation of $X$ under an additive white Gaussian noise (AWGN). We show that the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Alon Kipnis , Galen Reeves

Generalized sliced Wasserstein distance is a variant of sliced Wasserstein distance that exploits the power of non-linear projection through a given defining function to better capture the complex structures of the probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-20 Dung Le , Huy Nguyen , Khai Nguyen , Trang Nguyen , Nhat Ho

We study the problem of quantifying how far an empirical distribution deviates from Gaussianity under the framework of optimal transport. By exploiting the cone geometry of the relative translation invariant quadratic Wasserstein space, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Binshuai Wang , Peng Wei

We consider empirical measures of $\R^{d}$-valued stochastic process in finite discrete-time. We show that the adapted empirical measure introduced in the recent work \cite{backhoff2022estimating} by Backhoff et al. in compact spaces can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-25 Beatrice Acciaio , Songyan Hou

We study the multivariate deconvolution problem of recovering the distribution of a signal from independent and identically distributed observations additively contaminated with random errors (noise) from a known distribution. For errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo
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