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Strategic uncertainty complicates policy design in coordination games. To rein in strategic uncertainty, the Planner in this paper connects the problem of policy design to that of equilibrium selection. We characterize the subsidy scheme…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-09-01 Roweno J. R. K. Heijmans

Mediation analyses are a statistical tool for testing the hypothesis about how the relationship between two variables may be direct or indirect via a third variable. Assessing statistical significance has been an area of active research;…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-07 Jason Steffener

Nash equilibria are defined using uncorrelated behavioural or mixed joint probability distributions effectively assuming that players of bounded rationality must discard information to locate equilibria. We propose instead that rational…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Kae Nemoto , Michael J Gagen

We study the design of effort-maximizing grading schemes between agents with private abilities. Assuming agents derive value from the information their grade reveals about their ability, we find that more informative grading schemes induce…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Sumit Goel

Feature attribution is widely used in interpretable machine learning to explain how influential each measured input feature value is for an output inference. However, measurements can be uncertain, and it is unclear how the awareness of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Danding Wang , Wencan Zhang , Brian Y. Lim

Reinforcement learning has been shown to be an effective strategy for automatically training policies for challenging control problems. Focusing on non-cooperative multi-agent systems, we propose a novel reinforcement learning framework for…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Kishor Jothimurugan , Suguman Bansal , Osbert Bastani , Rajeev Alur

Tournaments are frequently used incentive mechanisms to enhance performance. In this paper, we use field data and show that skill disparities among contestants asymmetrically affect the performance of contestants. Skill disparities have…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-29 Enzo Brox , Daniel Goller

Information asymmetry in games enables players with the information advantage to manipulate others' beliefs by strategically revealing information to other players. This work considers a double-sided information asymmetry in a Bayesian…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Tao Li , Quanyan Zhu

Learning problems commonly exhibit an interesting feedback mechanism wherein the population data reacts to competing decision makers' actions. This paper formulates a new game theoretic framework for this phenomenon, called "multi-player…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Adhyyan Narang , Evan Faulkner , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Maryam Fazel , Lillian J. Ratliff

We study information design in multi-agent systems (MAS) with binary actions and strategic complementarities, where an external designer influences behavior only through signals. Agents play the smallest-equilibrium of the induced Bayesian…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Farzaneh Farhadi , Maria Chli

We study two-player constant-sum Bayesian games with type-independent payoffs. Under a "completeness" statistical condition, any "identifiable'" equilibrium is an ex-post equilibrium. We apply this result to a Downsian election in which…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-22 Navin Kartik , Francesco Squintani , Katrin Tinn

We consider multi-agent decision making where each agent optimizes its convex cost function subject to individual and coupling constraints. The constraint sets are compact convex subsets of a Euclidean space. To learn Nash equilibria, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Tatiana Tatarenko , Maryam Kamgarpour

Correlated equilibria enable a coordinator to influence the self-interested agents by recommending actions that no player has an incentive to deviate from. However, the effectiveness of this mechanism relies on accurate knowledge of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Jaehan Im , Ufuk Topcu , David Fridovich-Keil

This paper studies multi-user communication systems with two groups of users: leaders which possess system information, and followers which have no system information using the formulation of Stackelberg games. In such games, the leaders…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-08-26 saeedeh parsaeefard , Mihaela van der Schaar , Ahmad R. Sharafat

We consider a market in which both suppliers and consumers compete for a product via scalar-parameterized supply offers and demand bids. Scalar-parameterized offers/bids are appealing due to their modeling simplicity and desirable…

General Economics · Economics 2020-03-04 Mariola Ndrio , Khaled Alshehri , Subhonmesh Bose

In the contest design problem, there are $n$ strategic contestants, each of whom decides an effort level. A contest designer with a fixed budget must then design a mechanism that allocates a prize $p_i$ to the $i$-th rank based on the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Negin Golrezaei , MohammadTaghi Hajiaghayi , Suho Shin

Our objective is to construct well-calibrated prediction sets for a time-to-event outcome subject to right-censoring with guaranteed coverage. Inspired by modern conformal inference, our approach avoids the need for a well-specified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Rebecca Farina , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We discuss a model of a two-person, non-cooperative stochastic game, inspired by the discrete version of the red-and-black gambling problem presented by Dubins and Savage. Assume that two players hold certain amounts of money. At each stage…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Włodzimierz Fechner

We study a stochastic process that mimics single-game elimination tournaments. In our model, the outcome of each match is stochastic: the weaker player wins with upset probability q<=1/2, and the stronger player wins with probability 1-q.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , S. Redner , F. Vazquez

We study the plausibility of sub-optimal Nash equilibria of the direct revelation mechanism associated with a strategy-proof social choice function. By using the recently introduced empirical equilibrium analysis (Velez and Brown, 2019,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-07-08 Rodrigo A. Velez , Alexander L. Brown