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Accurate forecasting of extreme weather events such as heavy rainfall or storms is critical for risk management and disaster mitigation. Although high-resolution radar observations have spurred extensive research on nowcasting models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Changhoon Song , Teng Yuan Chang , Youngjoon Hong

The goal of convective storm nowcasting is local prediction of severe and imminent convective storms. Here, we consider the convective storm nowcasting problem from the perspective of machine learning. First, we use a pixel-wise sampling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-02 W. Zhang , H. Liu , P. Li , L. Han

Accurate weather forecasting is more than grid-wise regression: it must preserve coherent synoptic structures and physical consistency of meteorological fields, especially under autoregressive rollouts where small one-step errors can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Jing Wu , Yang Liu , Lin Zhang , Junbo Zeng , Jiabin Wang , Zi Ye , Guowen Li , Shilei Cao , Jiashun Cheng , Fang Wang , Meng Jin , Yerong Feng , Hong Cheng , Yutong Lu , Haohuan Fu , Juepeng Zheng

Global medium-range weather forecasting is critical to decision-making across many social and economic domains. Traditional numerical weather prediction uses increased compute resources to improve forecast accuracy, but cannot directly use…

Hail nowcasting is a considerable contributor to meteorological disasters and there is a great need to mitigate its socioeconomic effects through precise forecast that has high resolution, long lead times and local details with large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Haonan Shi , Long Tian , Jie Tao , Yufei Li , Liming Wang , Xiyang Liu

Precipitation nowcasting is to predict the future rainfall intensity over a short period of time, which mainly relies on the prediction of radar echo sequences. Though convolutional neural network (CNN) and recurrent neural network (RNN)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Ziao Yang , Xiangrui Yang , Qifeng Lin

A deep learning model is presented to nowcast the occurrence of lightning at a five-minute time resolution 60 minutes into the future. The model is based on a recurrent-convolutional architecture that allows it to recognize and predict the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-16 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Urs Germann

The focus of nowcasting development is transitioning from physically motivated advection methods to purely data-driven Machine Learning (ML) approaches. Nevertheless, recent work indicates that incorporating advection into the ML value…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-08 Christoph Metzl , Kianusch Vahid Yousefnia , Richard Müller , Virginia Poli , Miria Celano , Tobias Bölle

Precipitation nowcasting is a vital spatio-temporal prediction task for meteorological applications but faces challenges due to the chaotic property of precipitation systems. Existing methods predominantly rely on single-source radar data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Chunlei Shi , Hao Li , Yufeng Zhu , Boyu Liu , Yongchao Feng , Zengliang Zang , Hongbin Wang , Yanlan Yang , Dan Niu

Predicting precipitation maps is a highly complex spatiotemporal modeling task, critical for mitigating the impacts of extreme weather events. Short-term precipitation forecasting, or nowcasting, requires models that are not only accurate…

The short-term prediction of precipitation is critical in many areas of life. Recently, a large body of work was devoted to forecasting radar reflectivity images. The radar images are available only in areas with ground weather radars.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Jiří Pihrt , Rudolf Raevskiy , Petr Šimánek , Matej Choma

Recent machine-learning approaches to weather forecasting often employ a monolithic architecture in which distinct physical mechanisms-advection (long-range transport), diffusion-like mixing, thermodynamic processes, and forcing-are…

Designing early warning systems for harsh weather and its effects, such as urban flooding or landslides, requires accurate short-term forecasts (nowcasts) of precipitation. Nowcasting is a significant task with several environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Christos Kaparakis , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Deep-learning (DL) weather prediction models offer some notable advantages over traditional physics-based models, including auto-differentiability and low computational cost, enabling detailed diagnostics of forecast errors. Using our…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-23 Uros Perkan , Ziga Zaplotnik , Gregor Skok

Precipitation nowcasting, which predicts rainfall up to a few hours ahead, is a critical tool for vulnerable communities in the Global South frequently exposed to intense, rapidly developing storms. Timely forecasts provide a crucial window…

Precipitation nowcasting using neural networks and ground-based radars has become one of the key components of modern weather prediction services, but it is limited to the regions covered by ground-based radars. Truly global precipitation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Vladimir Ivashkin , Vadim Lebedev

Natural disasters caused by heavy rainfall often cost huge loss of life and property. To avoid it, the task of precipitation nowcasting is imminent. To solve the problem, increasingly deep learning methods are proposed to forecast future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Chuyao Luo , ZhengZhang , Rui Ye , Xutao Li , Yunming Ye

Radars are widely used to obtain echo information for effective prediction, such as precipitation nowcasting. In this paper, recent relevant scientific investigation and practical efforts using Deep Learning (DL) models for weather radar…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Qi Liu , Zhiyun Yang , Ru Ji , Yonghong Zhang , Muhammad Bilal , Xiaodong Liu , S Vimal , Xiaolong Xu

The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

This work addresses the challenge of forecasting urban water dynamics by developing a multi-input, multi-output deep learning model that incorporates both endogenous variables (e.g., water height or discharge) and exogenous factors (e.g.,…

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