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Accurate probabilistic weather forecasting demands both high accuracy and efficient uncertainty quantification, challenges that overburden both ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) and recent machine-learning methods. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

Earth system forecasting has traditionally relied on complex physical models that are computationally expensive and require significant domain expertise. In the past decade, the unprecedented increase in spatiotemporal Earth observation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Zhihan Gao , Xingjian Shi , Boran Han , Hao Wang , Xiaoyong Jin , Danielle Maddix , Yi Zhu , Mu Li , Yuyang Wang

With the goal of making high-resolution forecasts of regional rainfall, precipitation nowcasting has become an important and fundamental technology underlying various public services ranging from rainstorm warnings to flight safety.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-06 Xingjian Shi , Zhihan Gao , Leonard Lausen , Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung , Wai-kin Wong , Wang-chun Woo

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events due to global climate change urges accurate weather prediction. Recently, great advances have been made by the \textbf{end-to-end methods}, thanks to deep learning techniques, but they face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Shaohan Li , Hao Yang , Min Chen , Xiaolin Qin

Recently, Transformer-based architectures have advanced meteorological prediction. However, this position-centric tokenizer conflicts with the core principle of meteorological systems, where the weather phenomena undoubtedly involve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Qizhao Jin , Xianhuang Xu , Yong Cao , Shiming Xiang , Xinyu Xiao

Weather forecasting is a fundamental problem for anticipating and mitigating the impacts of climate change. Recently, data-driven approaches for weather forecasting based on deep learning have shown great promise, achieving accuracies that…

Near-real time estimation of damage to buildings and infrastructure, referred to as damage nowcasting in this study, is crucial for empowering emergency responders to make informed decisions regarding evacuation orders and infrastructure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Chia-Fu Liu , Lipai Huang , Kai Yin , Sam Brody , Ali Mostafavi

A number of studies have investigated the large-scale drivers and upstream-precursors of extreme weather events, making it clear that the earliest warning signs of extreme events can be remote in both time and space from the impacted…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-06-30 Joshua Dorrington , Christian Grams , Federico Grazzini , Linus Magnusson , Frederic Vitart

High-resolution nowcasting is an essential tool needed for effective adaptation to climate change, particularly for extreme weather. As Deep Learning (DL) techniques have shown dramatic promise in many domains, including the geosciences, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Shreya Agrawal , Luke Barrington , Carla Bromberg , John Burge , Cenk Gazen , Jason Hickey

Climate models are essential to understand and project climate change, yet long-standing biases and uncertainties in their projections remain. This is largely associated with the representation of subgrid-scale processes, particularly…

Forecasting motion and spatial positions of objects is of fundamental importance, especially in safety-critical settings such as autonomous driving. In this work, we address the issue by forecasting two different modalities that carry…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Andrea Ciamarra , Federico Becattini , Lorenzo Seidenari , Alberto Del Bimbo

Nowcasting leverages real-time atmospheric conditions to forecast weather over short periods. State-of-the-art models, including PySTEPS, encounter difficulties in accurately forecasting extreme weather events because of their unpredictable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Junzhe Yin , Cristian Meo , Ankush Roy , Zeineh Bou Cher , Yanbo Wang , Ruben Imhoff , Remko Uijlenhoet , Justin Dauwels

The performance of perception systems developed for autonomous driving vehicles has seen significant improvements over the last few years. This improvement was associated with the increasing use of LiDAR sensors and point cloud data to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Yahia Dalbah , Jean Lahoud , Hisham Cholakkal

Floods can cause horrific harm to life and property. However, they can be mitigated or even avoided by the effective use of hydraulic structures such as dams, gates, and pumps. By pre-releasing water via these structures in advance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Jimeng Shi , Vitalii Stebliankin , Giri Narasimhan

We propose R2RAG-Flood, a training-free retrieval-augmented generation framework for flood damage nowcasting with reinforced reasoning. The framework builds a reasoning-centric knowledge base from labeled tabular records, where each sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Lipai Huang , Kai Yin , Chia-Fu Liu , Ali Mostafavi

Precipitation nowcasting (short-term forecasting) is still often performed using numerical solvers for physical equations, which are computationally expensive and make limited use of the large volumes of available weather data. Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Samuel van Wonderen , Siamak Mehrkanoon

As global warming increases the complexity of weather patterns; the precision of weather forecasting becomes increasingly important. Our study proposes a novel preprocessing method and convolutional autoencoder model developed to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Yo-Hwan Choi , Seon-Yu Kang , Minjong Cheon

Accurate nowcasting of convective clouds from satellite imagery is essential for mitigating the impacts of meteorological disasters, especially in developing countries and remote regions with limited ground-based observations. Recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Haoming Chen , Xiaohui Zhong , Qiang Zhai , Xiaomeng Li , Ying Wa Chan , Pak Wai Chan , Yuanyuan Huang , Hao Li , Xiaoming Shi

Meteorological forecasting provides reliable prediction about the future weather within a given interval of time. Meteorological forecasting can be viewed as a form of hybrid diagnostic reasoning and can be mapped onto an integrated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-11 Matteo Cristani , Francesco Domenichini , Claudio Tomazzoli , Luca Viganò , Margherita Zorzi

Classical autonomous driving systems connect perception and prediction modules via hand-crafted bounding-box interfaces, limiting information flow and propagating errors to downstream tasks. Recent research aims to develop end-to-end models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Mohammed Amine Bencheikh Lehocine , Julian Schmidt , Frank Moosmann , Dikshant Gupta , Fabian Flohr