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Combining the Hardy-Littlewood k-tuple conjecture with a heuristic application of extreme-value statistics, we propose a family of estimator formulas for predicting maximal gaps between prime k-tuples. Computations show that the estimator…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-14 Alexei Kourbatov

In this paper, we establish the necessary and sufficient criterion for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees (resp. random graphs) to exhibit the phase of extinction (resp. short survival). We prove that the survival threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Shankar Bhamidi , Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

A deep conjecture of Montgomery and Soundararajan on the distribution of prime numbers in short intervals of length $h$ says that the third moment is bounded by $\ll h^{\frac {3}{2}-c}$ for some $c>0$. There is in the literature some…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Tomos Parry

It is well known that random walks in one dimensional random environment can exhibit subdiffusive behavior due to presence of traps. In this paper we show that the passage times of different traps are asymptotically independent exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-14 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Ilya Goldsheid

Let X be the random variable that counts the number of triangles in the random graph G(n,p). We show that for some absolute constant c, the probability that X deviates from its expectation by at least \lambda \var(X)^{1/2} is at most…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-09-15 Guy Wolfovitz

This paper considers the posterior contraction of non-parametric Bayesian inference on non-homogeneous Poisson processes. We consider the quality of inference on a rate function $\lambda$, given non-identically distributed realisations,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 James A. Grant , David S. Leslie

We discuss in some detail the general problem of computing averages of convergent Euler products, and apply this to examples arising from singular series for the $k$-tuple conjecture and more general problems of polynomial representation of…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2010-05-28 Emmanuel Kowalski

The Piatetski-Shapiro sequences are of the form ${\mathcal{N}}^{(c)} := (\lfloor n^c \rfloor)_{n=1}^\infty$ with $c > 1, c \not\in \mathbb{N}$. In this paper, we study the distribution of pairs $(p, p^{\#})$ of consecutive primes such that…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Victor Z. Guo , Yuan Yi

We consider the limiting behavior of the count of subgraphs isomorphic to a graph $G$ with $m\geq 0$ fixed endpoints (or roots) in the random-connection model, as the intensity $\lambda$ of the underlying Poisson point process tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Qingwei Liu , Nicolas Privault

Assuming a $q$-variant of the prime $k$-tuple conjecture uniformly, we compute mixed moments of the number of primes in disjoint short intervals and progressions, respectively. This involves estimating the mean of singular series along…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Sun-Kai Leung

This paper considers limit theorems associated with subgraph counts in the age-dependent random connection model. First, we identify regimes where the count of sub-trees converges weakly to a stable random variable under suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Christian Hirsch , Takashi Owada

Let $N$ be the number of copies of a small subgraph $H$ in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph $G \sim \mathcal{G}(n, p_n)$ where $p_n \to 0$ is chosen so that $\mathbb{E} N = c$, a constant. Results of Bollob\'as show that for regular graphs $H$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Mriganka Basu Roy Chowdhury

We prove an analogue of the Hardy-Littlewood conjecture on the asymptotic distribution of prime constellations in the setting of short intervals in function fields of smooth projective curves over finite fields.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Efrat Bank , Tyler Foster

The article presents a generalization of the classical Hardy-Littlewood conjecture concerning the density of prime tuples to the case of tuples consisting of almost-prime numbers (numbers with a specified quantity of prime divisors). The…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Victor Volfson

In a surprising recent work, Lemke Oliver and Soundararajan noticed how experimental data exhibits erratic distributions for consecutive pairs of primes in arithmetic progressions, and proposed a heuristic model based on the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Chantal David , Lucile Devin , Jungbae Nam , Jeremy Schlitt

The classical Poisson theorem says that if $\xi_1,\xi_2,...$ are i.i.d. 0--1 Bernoulli random variables taking on 1 with probability $p_n\equiv \la/n$ then the sum $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n\xi_i$ is asymptotically in $n$ Poisson distributed with…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-11 Yuri Kifer

Nowadays in density estimation, posterior rates of convergence for location and location-scale mixtures of Gaussians are only known under light-tail assumptions; with better rates achieved by location mixtures. It is conjectured, but not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Zacharie Naulet , Judith Rousseau

We introduce a sieve for counting twin primes up to a given range. Our method depends on a parameter ${\lambda}_x$ and the estimation of the number of twin primes obtained as a result, is called a fundamental structure of the distribution…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Madieyna Diouf

We offer a general Bayes theoretic framework to derive posterior contraction rates under a hierarchical prior design: the first-step prior serves to assess the model selection uncertainty, and the second-step prior quantifies the prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Qiyang Han

The Littlewood-Offord problem is a classical question in probability theory and discrete mathematics, proposed, firstly by Littlewood and Offord in the 1940s. Given a set $A$ of integer, this problem asks for an upper bound on the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-08-09 Simone Costa