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We investigate the level spacing distribution for the quantum spectrum of the square billiard. Extending work of Connors--Keating, and Smilansky, we formulate an analog of the Hardy--Littlewood prime $k$-tuple conjecture for sums of two…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-01-06 Tristan Freiberg , Pär Kurlberg , Lior Rosenzweig

Using a sieve-theoretic argument, we show that almost all gaps $(p_n, p_{n+1})$ between consecutive primes $p_n, p_{n+1}$ contain a natural number $m$ whose least prime factor $p(m)$ is at least the length $p_{n+1} - p_n$ of the gap,…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Ayla Gafni , Terence Tao

We adopt a physically motivated empirical approach to the characterisation of the distributions of twin and triplet primes within the set of primes, rather than in the set of all natural numbers. Remarkably, the occurrences of twins or…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 P. F. Kelly , Terry Pilling

In the standard Bayesian framework data are assumed to be generated by a distribution parametrized by $\theta$ in a parameter space $\Theta$, over which a prior distribution $\pi$ is given. A Bayesian statistician quantifies the belief that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Sergiu Hart , Yosef Rinott

We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent $\alpha$ having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of $\alpha$ on the expectation and higher moments of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-06 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We derive an upper bound for the annealed return probability for the simple random walk on supercritical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees. The bound decays subexponentially in time $t$ with $t^{1/3}$ in the exponent. It is valid for all…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Markus Heydenreich , Peter Müller , Sara Terveer

We study the distribution of prime numbers under the unlikely assumption that Siegel zeros exist. In particular we prove for \[ \sum_{n \leq X} \Lambda(n) \Lambda(\pm n+h) \] an asymptotic formula which holds uniformly for $h = O(X)$. Such…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Kaisa Matomäki , Jori Merikoski

This paper investigates the dependence between primes in tuples through the analysis of the Hardy-Littlewood constant. A detailed analysis of the behavior of the constant for the pattern $(0,d)$ is conducted, depending on the arithmetic…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Victor Volfson

A random variable $\xi$ has a {\it light-tailed} distribution (for short: is light-tailed) if it possesses a finite exponential moment, $\E \exp (\lambda \xi) <\infty$ for some $\lambda >0$, and has a {\it heavy-tailed} distribution (is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Sergey Foss , Michael Scheutzow , Anton Tarasenko

We study the probability that the random graph $G(n,p)$ is triangle-free. When $p =o(n^{-1/2})$ or $p = \omega(n^{-1/2})$ the asymptotics of the logarithm of this probability are known via Janson's inequality in the former case and via…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Matthew Jenssen , Will Perkins , Aditya Potukuchi , Michael Simkin

Let $m$ and $n$ be positive integers with $m,n \geq 2$. The second Hardy-Littlewood conjecture states that the number of primes in the interval $(m,m+n]$ is always less than or equal to the number of primes in the interval $[2,n]$. Based on…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-01 Christian Axler

The Poisson distribution of order $k$ is a special case of a compound Poisson distribution. For $k=1$ it is the standard Poisson distribution. Our main result is a proof that for sufficiently small values of the rate parameter $\lambda$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 S. R. Mane

Gross and Smith have put forward generalizations of Hardy - Littlewood twin prime conjectures for algebraic number fields. We estimate the behavior of sums of a singular series that arises in these conjectures, up to lower order terms. More…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Vivian Kuperberg , Brad Rodgers , Edva Roditty-Gershon

We consider a random walk among a Poisson system of moving traps on ${\mathbb Z}$. In earlier work [DGRS12], the quenched and annealed survival probabilities of this random walk have been investigated. Here we study the path of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Siva Athreya , Alexander Drewitz , Rongfeng Sun

We establish an upper bound on the tails of a random variable that arises as a solution of a stochastic difference equation. In the non--negative case our bound is similar to a lower bound obtained by Goldie and Gr\"ubel in 1996.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-12 Pawel Hitczenko

The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson distribution is a two-parameter generalisation of the Poisson distribution that can be used to model data that is under- or over-dispersed relative to the Poisson distribution. The normalizing constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Robert E. Gaunt , Satish Iyengar , Adri B. Olde Daalhuis , Burcin Simsek

Motivated by seminal paper of Kozlov et al.(1975) we consider in this paper a branching process with a geometric offspring distribution parametrized by random success probability $A$ and immigration equals $1$ in each generation. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Ayan Bhattacharya , Zbigniew Palmowski

Assuming the Riemann hypothesis (RH) and the linear independence conjecture (LI), we show that the weighted count of primes in multiple short intervals follows a multivariate Gaussian distribution with weak negative correlations. As an…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Sun-Kai Leung

The survival problem for a diffusing particle moving among random traps is considered. We introduce a simple argument to derive the quenched asymptotics of the survival probability from the Lifshitz tail effect for the associated operator.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-17 Ryoki Fukushima

Let $X$ be the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions contained in the $p$-biased random subset of the first $N$ positive integers. We give asymptotically sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper-tail probability $\log \Pr(X \ge E[X] +…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij