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Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Many statistical estimators for high-dimensional linear regression are M-estimators, formed through minimizing a data-dependent square loss function plus a regularizer. This work considers a new class of estimators implicitly defined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-15 Peng Zhao , Yun Yang , Qiao-Chu He

Classically, data interpolation with a parametrized model class is possible as long as the number of parameters is larger than the number of equations to be satisfied. A puzzling phenomenon in deep learning is that models are trained with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Sébastien Bubeck , Mark Sellke

An evolving line of machine learning works observe empirical evidence that suggests interpolating estimators -- the ones that achieve zero training error -- may not necessarily be harmful. This paper pursues theoretical understanding for an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Yue Li , Yuting Wei

A key challenge in building theoretical foundations for deep learning is the complex optimization dynamics of neural networks, resulting from the high-dimensional interactions between the large number of network parameters. Such non-trivial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Mohammad Pezeshki , Amartya Mitra , Yoshua Bengio , Guillaume Lajoie

There has been growing interest in generalization performance of large multilayer neural networks that can be trained to achieve zero training error, while generalizing well on test data. This regime is known as 'second descent' and it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-30 Eng Hock Lee , Vladimir Cherkassky

Robustness and counterfactual bias are usually evaluated on a test dataset. However, are these evaluations robust? If the test dataset is perturbed slightly, will the evaluation results keep the same? In this paper, we propose a "double…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Chong Zhang , Jieyu Zhao , Huan Zhang , Kai-Wei Chang , Cho-Jui Hsieh

Recent empirical and theoretical studies have shown that many learning algorithms -- from linear regression to neural networks -- can have test performance that is non-monotonic in quantities such the sample size and model size. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Preetum Nakkiran , Prayaag Venkat , Sham Kakade , Tengyu Ma

We consider ordinary least squares estimation and variations on least squares estimation such as penalized (regularized) least squares and spectral shrinkage estimates for problems with p > n and associated problems with prediction of new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-19 Ronald Christensen

Epoch-wise double descent is the phenomenon where generalisation performance improves beyond the point of overfitting, resulting in a generalisation curve exhibiting two descents under the course of learning. Understanding the mechanisms…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-20 Amanda Olmin , Fredrik Lindsten

We introduce a randomly extrapolated primal-dual coordinate descent method that adapts to sparsity of the data matrix and the favorable structures of the objective function. Our method updates only a subset of primal and dual variables with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Ahmet Alacaoglu , Olivier Fercoq , Volkan Cevher

Deep networks are typically trained with many more parameters than the size of the training dataset. Recent empirical evidence indicates that the practice of overparameterization not only benefits training large models, but also assists -…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Xiangyu Chang , Yingcong Li , Samet Oymak , Christos Thrampoulidis

Understanding generalization and estimation error of estimators for simple models such as linear and generalized linear models has attracted a lot of attention recently. This is in part due to an interesting observation made in machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-09 Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Tung Mai , Anup Rao , Ryan Rossi , Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher

We study the generalization behavior of transfer learning of deep neural networks (DNNs). We adopt the overparameterization perspective -- featuring interpolation of the training data (i.e., approximately zero train error) and the double…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Yehuda Dar , Lorenzo Luzi , Richard G. Baraniuk

Merging the two cultures of deep and statistical learning provides insights into structured high-dimensional data. Traditional statistical modeling is still a dominant strategy for structured tabular data. Deep learning can be viewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Jianeng Xu

This paper investigates the double descent phenomenon in two-layer neural networks, focusing on the role of L1 regularization and representation dimensions. It explores an alternative double descent phenomenon, named sparse double descent.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Ya Shi Zhang

This paper proposes a simple yet effective interpolation-based data augmentation approach termed DoubleMix, to improve the robustness of models in text classification. DoubleMix first leverages a couple of simple augmentation operations to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Hui Chen , Wei Han , Diyi Yang , Soujanya Poria

The recent success of neural network models has shone light on a rather surprising statistical phenomenon: statistical models that perfectly fit noisy data can generalize well to unseen test data. Understanding this phenomenon of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-13 Niladri S. Chatterji , Philip M. Long , Peter L. Bartlett

Modern deep learning models employ considerably more parameters than required to fit the training data. Whereas conventional statistical wisdom suggests such models should drastically overfit, in practice these models generalize remarkably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-18 Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

We study the relationship between model complexity and out-of-sample performance in the context of mean-variance portfolio optimization. Representing model complexity by the number of assets, we find that the performance of low-dimensional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Yonghe Lu , Yanrong Yang , Terry Zhang