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The "double descent" risk curve was proposed to qualitatively describe the out-of-sample prediction accuracy of variably-parameterized machine learning models. This article provides a precise mathematical analysis for the shape of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Mikhail Belkin , Daniel Hsu , Ji Xu

Motivated by surprisingly good generalization properties of learned deep neural networks in overparameterized scenarios and by the related double descent phenomenon, this paper analyzes the relation between smoothness and low generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Yuege Xie , Hung-Hsu Chou , Holger Rauhut , Rachel Ward

Double descent presents a counter-intuitive aspect within the machine learning domain, and researchers have observed its manifestation in various models and tasks. While some theoretical explanations have been proposed for this phenomenon…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-26 Yufei Gu , Xiaoqing Zheng , Tomaso Aste

Classical learning theory describes a well-characterised U-shaped relationship between model complexity and prediction error, reflecting a transition from underfitting in underparameterised regimes to overfitting as complexity grows. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Guillermo Comesaña Cimadevila

We study generalization properties of random features (RF) regression in high dimensions optimized by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in under-/over-parameterized regime. In this work, we derive precise non-asymptotic error bounds of RF…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Fanghui Liu , Johan A. K. Suykens , Volkan Cevher

Motivated by a recent literature on the double-descent phenomenon in machine learning, we consider highly over-parameterized models in causal inference, including synthetic control with many control units. In such models, there may be so…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-16 Jann Spiess , Guido Imbens , Amar Venugopal

Subsampling methods have been recently proposed to speed up least squares estimation in large scale settings. However, these algorithms are typically not robust to outliers or corruptions in the observed covariates. The concept of influence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-20 Brian McWilliams , Gabriel Krummenacher , Mario Lucic , Joachim M. Buhmann

The phenomenon of model-wise double descent, where the test error peaks and then reduces as the model size increases, is an interesting topic that has attracted the attention of researchers due to the striking observed gap between theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Chris Yuhao Liu , Jeffrey Flanigan

The double descent (DD) paradox, where over-parameterized models see generalization improve past the interpolation point, remains largely unexplored in the non-stationary domain of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL). We present preliminary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Viktor Veselý , Aleksandar Todorov , Matthia Sabatelli

People usually believe that network pruning not only reduces the computational cost of deep networks, but also prevents overfitting by decreasing model capacity. However, our work surprisingly discovers that network pruning sometimes even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Zheng He , Zeke Xie , Quanzhi Zhu , Zengchang Qin

Finding the optimal size of deep learning models is very actual and of broad impact, especially in energy-saving schemes. Very recently, an unexpected phenomenon, the ``double descent'', has caught the attention of the deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Victor Quétu , Enzo Tartaglione

Classical semiparametric inference with missing outcome data is not robust to contamination of the observed data and a single observation can have arbitrarily large influence on estimation of a parameter of interest. This sensitivity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Eva Cantoni , Xavier de Luna

Challenges with data in the big-data era include (i) the dimension $p$ is often larger than the sample size $n$ (ii) outliers or contaminated points are frequently hidden and more difficult to detect. Challenge (i) renders most conventional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yijun Zuo

We show that a variety of modern deep learning tasks exhibit a "double-descent" phenomenon where, as we increase model size, performance first gets worse and then gets better. Moreover, we show that double descent occurs not just as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Preetum Nakkiran , Gal Kaplun , Yamini Bansal , Tristan Yang , Boaz Barak , Ilya Sutskever

`Double descent' delineates the generalization behaviour of models depending on the regime they belong to: under- or over-parameterized. The current theoretical understanding behind the occurrence of this phenomenon is primarily based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Sidak Pal Singh , Aurelien Lucchi , Thomas Hofmann , Bernhard Schölkopf

We consider linear regression problems with a varying number of random projections, where we provably exhibit a double descent curve for a fixed prediction problem, with a high-dimensional analysis based on random matrix theory. We first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Francis Bach

The double descent curve is one of the most intriguing properties of deep neural networks. It contrasts the classical bias-variance curve with the behavior of modern neural networks, occurring where the number of samples nears the number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 John Chen , Qihan Wang , Anastasios Kyrillidis

We study the transfer learning process between two linear regression problems. An important and timely special case is when the regressors are overparameterized and perfectly interpolate their training data. We examine a parameter transfer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Yehuda Dar , Richard G. Baraniuk

Double descent is a phenomenon of over-parameterized statistical models such as deep neural networks which have a re-descending property in their risk function. As the complexity of the model increases, risk exhibits a U-shaped region due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-16 Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

As the development of measuring instruments and computers has accelerated the collection of massive amounts of data, functional data analysis (FDA) has experienced a surge of attention. The FDA methodology treats longitudinal data as a set…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Tomoya Wakayama , Hidetoshi Matsui