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The purpose of this paper is to investigate the deviation inequalities and the moderate deviation principle of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of general $p$th-order bifurcating autoregressive processes, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Hacène Djellout , Valère Bitseki Penda

The Erd\H{o}s-Kac theorem is a celebrated result in number theory which says that the number of distinct prime factors of a uniformly chosen random integer satisfies a central limit theorem. In this paper, we establish the large deviations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-10 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

We present precise moderate deviation probabilities, in both quenched and annealed settings, for a recurrent diffusion process with a Brownian potential. Our method relies on fine tools in stochastic calculus, including Kotani's lemma and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

The moderate deviation regime is concerned with the finite block length trade-off between communication cost and error for information processing tasks in the asymptotic regime, where the communication cost approaches a capacity-like…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-10 Navneeth Ramakrishnan , Marco Tomamichel , Mario Berta

This work studies a two-time-scale functional system given by two jump-diffusions under the scale separation by a small parameter $\varepsilon \rightarrow 0$. The coefficients of the equations that govern the dynamics of the system depend…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-15 André de Oliveira Gomes , Pedro Catuogno

This is basically a polished presentation for Sections 1,2 of arXiv:0801.1050. The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Boris Tsirelson

We derive a large deviation principle for random permutations induced by probability measures of the unit square, called permutons. These permutations are called $\mu$-random permutations. We also introduce and study a new general class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Jacopo Borga , Sayan Das , Sumit Mukherjee , Peter Winkler

We study moderate deviations from hydrodynamic limits of a reaction diffusion model. The process is defined as the superposition of the symmetric exclusion process with a Glauber dynamics. When the process starts from a product measure with…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Linjie Zhao

The Gaussian theory of errors has been generalized to situations, where the Gaussian distribution and, hence, the Gaussian rules of error propagation are inadequate. The generalizations are based on Bayes' theorem and a suitable measure.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Hanns L. Harney

In this paper, we aim to study the asymptotic behavior for multi-scale McKean-Vlasov stochastic dynamical systems. Firstly, we obtain a central limit type theorem, i.e, the deviation between the slow component $X^{\varepsilon}$ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Wei Liu , Xiaobin Sun

In this paper, we prove large deviations principle for the Nadaraya-Watson estimator and for the semi-recursive kernel estimator of the regression in the multidimensional case. Under suitable conditions, we show that the rate function is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Abdelkader Mokkadem , Mariane Pelletier , Baba Thiam

We consider the set M_n of all n-truncated power moment sequences of probability measures on [0,1]. We endow this set with the uniform probability. Picking randomly a point in M_n, we show that the upper canonical measure associated with…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Fabrice Gamboa , Li-Vang Lozada-Chang

Functionals in geometric probability are often expressed as sums of bounded functions exhibiting exponential stabilization. Methods based on cumulant techniques and exponential modifications of measures show that such functionals satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Yu Baryshnikov , P. Eichelsbacher , T. Schreiber , J. E. Yukich

The fluctuation theorem for entropy production is a remarkable symmetry of the distribution of produced entropy that holds universally in non-equilibrium steady states with Markovian dynamics. However, in systems with slow degrees of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-21 Matthias Uhl , Patrick Pietzonka , Udo Seifert

We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa

The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and scantily understood for random fields. Here it is established for splittable random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Boris Tsirelson

The law of large numbers for the empirical density for the pairs of uniformly distributed integers with a given greatest common divisor is a classic result in number theory. In this paper, we study the large deviations of the empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-07 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

Moderate deviation principles for empirical measure processes associated with weakly interacting Markov processes are established. Two families of models are considered: the first corresponds to a system of interacting diffusions whereas…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Amarjit Budhiraja , Ruoyu Wu

In this paper, we obtain a large and moderate deviation principle for the law of the maximum of a random Dyck path. Our result extend the results of Chung, Kennedy, Kaigh and Khorunzhiy and Marckert.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-19 Termeh Kousha

In this paper we establish a moderate deviation principle of the hitting times for trajectories of sums of independent and identically distributed random variables. The main idea of proof is to convert the moderate deviations over a small…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-10 Yuheng He